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Rating

Bahrain risk rating

Last activity grade, not currentAindex 7.0/100
Operational statusGreen, expired
Last updated13d ago

Expired, last assessment only · Model activity-rating-2

Computed: 2026-09-28 23:03:24 UTC · Valid until: 2026-09-29 01:03:24 UTC

Coverage is selective. Missing or expired assessments do not mean zero hazard. Scores are heuristic indices, not calibrated probabilities. Model cards and limits

state:
partial
missing Country:
unassessed
country Limit:
100
forecast:
assessed
population Metric:
urban event exposures not unique people

This is a last assessment, not a current rating. Its validity has expired or was not recorded. That does not establish that no events or hazards are present.

The rating is a composite index of reported activity; it does not measure structural vulnerability or coping capacity. It shares inputs with the Calamity Forecast Index. Neither index is a calibrated event probability. Model cards and formulas.

Rating components

Summed event intensity43.6/100
Scenario weight00.0/100
Cumulative urban PEI00.0/100
CFI activity proxy3939.0/100

Recorded hazard contributions

Fire

Mean event index: 18/100 · Eligible records: 1

Rating history

  1. AtoBindex 20 → 2586d ago
    Country rating changed from A to B (score 20 → 25)Large Wildfire (CalamityScore 48)

    EVENT: Large Wildfire — BH Detected: 2026-07-18T14:38:45.646Z CalamityScore: 48/100 Severity: high POPULATION AT RISK: Estimated 436,545 people within impact zone HISTORICAL CONTEXT: This is a notable fire event with potential for substantial impact. Location: BH region. RECOMMENDED ACTIONS: Prepare evacuation notices. Deploy additional firefighting crews. Issue air quality advisories for downwind areas. No cascade risks detected for this event.

  2. AtoBindex 20 → 2586d ago
    Country rating changed from A to B (score 20 → 25)Large Wildfire (CalamityScore 48)
  3. AtoBindex 20 → 2586d ago
    Country rating changed from A to B (score 20 → 25)Large Wildfire (CalamityScore 48)
  4. AtoBindex 20 → 2586d ago
    Country rating changed from A to B (score 20 → 25)Large Wildfire (CalamityScore 48)
  5. AtoBindex 20 → 2586d ago
    Country rating changed from A to B (score 20 → 25)Large Wildfire (CalamityScore 48)
  6. AtoBindex 20 → 2586d ago
    Country rating changed from A to B (score 20 → 25)Large Wildfire (CalamityScore 48)
  7. AtoBindex 20 → 2586d ago
    Country rating changed from A to B (score 20 → 25)Large Wildfire (CalamityScore 48)
  8. AtoBindex 20 → 2586d ago
    Country rating changed from A to B (score 20 → 25)Large Wildfire (CalamityScore 48)
  9. AtoBindex 20 → 2586d ago
    Country rating changed from A to B (score 20 → 25)Large Wildfire (CalamityScore 48)
  10. AtoBindex 20 → 2586d ago
    Country rating changed from A to B (score 20 → 25)Large Wildfire (CalamityScore 48)
  11. AtoBindex 20 → 2586d ago
    Country rating changed from A to B (score 20 → 25)Large Wildfire (CalamityScore 48)
Forecast for BahrainActive events in Bahrain