Rating
Burundi risk rating
Expired, last assessment only · Model activity-rating-2
Computed: 2026-10-07 23:38:39 UTC · Valid until: 2026-10-08 01:38:39 UTC
Coverage is selective. Missing or expired assessments do not mean zero hazard. Scores are heuristic indices, not calibrated probabilities. Model cards and limits
- state:
- partial
- missing Country:
- unassessed
- country Limit:
- 100
- forecast:
- assessed
- population Metric:
- urban event exposures not unique people
This is a last assessment, not a current rating. Its validity has expired or was not recorded. That does not establish that no events or hazards are present.
The rating is a composite index of reported activity; it does not measure structural vulnerability or coping capacity. It shares inputs with the Calamity Forecast Index. Neither index is a calibrated event probability. Model cards and formulas.
Rating components
Recorded hazard contributions
Mean event index: 27/100 · Eligible records: 1
Rating history
- AtoAindex 8 → 135d agoActivity score changed from 8 to 13Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 43); cause of change not attributedseverity component 3.6 → 15.8
Activity score changed from 8 to 13. Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 43); cause of change not attributed. severity component 3.6 → 15.8. Context: EVENT: Extended satellite heat detection — BI Detected: 2026-10-06T12:12:00.000Z CalamityScore: 43/100 Severity: medium CONTEXT: Country: BI. Consult current official local emergency instructions. This automated index does not issue evacuation orders. No scenario matched the configured rules; this does not establish absence of risk.
- AtoAindex 15 → 8Yellow → Green8d agoOperational status changed from yellow to greenCurrent dominant event: Moderate Wildfire (CalamityScore 18); cause of change not attributedseverity component 19.8 → 3.6
- AtoAindex 10 → 159d agoActivity score changed from 10 to 15Current dominant event: Large Wildfire (CalamityScore 27); cause of change not attributedseverity component 9.0 → 19.8
- AtoAindex 8 → 10Green → Yellow9d agoOperational status changed from green to yellowCurrent dominant event: Moderate Wildfire (CalamityScore 27); cause of change not attributedseverity component 3.6 → 9.0
- AtoAindex 16 → 8Orange → Green10d agoOperational status changed from orange to greenCurrent dominant event: Moderate Wildfire (CalamityScore 18); cause of change not attributedseverity component 21.6 → 3.6forecast component 49.5 → 45.0
- AtoAindex 15 → 16Yellow → Orange12d agoOperational status changed from yellow to orangeCurrent dominant event: Major Wildfire (CalamityScore 36); cause of change not attributedseverity component 19.8 → 21.6
- AtoAindex 20 → 15Orange → Yellow12d agoOperational status changed from orange to yellowCurrent dominant event: Major Wildfire (CalamityScore 36); cause of change not attributedseverity component 31.8 → 19.8population component 0.7 → 0.0
- AtoAindex 14 → 20Yellow → Orange12d agoOperational status changed from yellow to orangeCurrent dominant event: Major Wildfire (CalamityScore 43); cause of change not attributedseverity component 17.6 → 31.8population component 0.0 → 0.7
- AtoAindex 20 → 14Orange → Yellow13d agoOperational status changed from orange to yellowCurrent dominant event: Major Wildfire (CalamityScore 43); cause of change not attributedseverity component 30.8 → 17.6population component 1.2 → 0.0
- AtoAindex 11 → 20Yellow → Orange13d agoOperational status changed from yellow to orangeCurrent dominant event: Major Wildfire (CalamityScore 43); cause of change not attributedseverity component 9.0 → 30.8population component 0.0 → 1.2
- AtoAindex 19 → 11Orange → Yellow14d agoOperational status changed from orange to yellowCurrent dominant event: Large Wildfire (CalamityScore 27); cause of change not attributedseverity component 25.8 → 9.0population component 4.2 → 0.0
- AtoAindex 15 → 19Yellow → Orange14d agoOperational status changed from yellow to orangeCurrent dominant event: Moderate Wildfire (CalamityScore 39); cause of change not attributedseverity component 16.8 → 25.8
- BtoAindex 28 → 15Orange → Yellow15d agoCountry rating changed from B to A (score 28 → 15)Operational status changed from orange to yellowCurrent dominant event: Moderate Wildfire (CalamityScore 39); cause of change not attributedseverity component 27.6 → 16.8population component 46.8 → 4.2
- AtoBindex 12 → 28Yellow → Orange15d agoCountry rating changed from A to B (score 12 → 28)Operational status changed from yellow to orangeCurrent dominant event: Large Wildfire (CalamityScore 48); cause of change not attributedseverity component 12.6 → 27.6population component 0.0 → 46.8
- AtoAindex 17 → 12Orange → Yellow16d agoOperational status changed from orange to yellowCurrent dominant event: Moderate Wildfire (CalamityScore 27); cause of change not attributedseverity component 22.0 → 12.6population component 2.2 → 0.0
- AtoAindex 12 → 17Yellow → Orange16d agoOperational status changed from yellow to orangeCurrent dominant event: Major Wildfire (CalamityScore 44); cause of change not attributedseverity component 12.6 → 22.0population component 0.0 → 2.2
- AtoAindex 18 → 12Orange → Yellow17d agoOperational status changed from orange to yellowCurrent dominant event: Large Wildfire (CalamityScore 36); cause of change not attributedseverity component 24.0 → 12.6population component 3.5 → 0.0
- AtoAindex 13 → 18Yellow → Orange17d agoOperational status changed from yellow to orangeCurrent dominant event: Large Wildfire (CalamityScore 39); cause of change not attributedseverity component 11.4 → 24.0population component 3.6 → 3.5
- AtoAindex 16 → 13Orange → Yellow18d agoOperational status changed from orange to yellowCurrent dominant event: Moderate Wildfire (CalamityScore 39); cause of change not attributedseverity component 9.6 → 11.4population component 22.8 → 3.6
- AtoAindex 14 → 16Yellow → Orange18d agoOperational status changed from yellow to orangeCurrent dominant event: Minor Wildfire (CalamityScore 48); cause of change not attributedseverity component 16.2 → 9.6population component 0.0 → 22.8