Rating
Bolivia risk rating
Activity gradeAindex 14.0/100
Operational statusGreen
Last updated25m ago
Current assessment · Model activity-rating-2
Computed: 2026-10-12 12:53:25 UTC · Valid until: 2026-10-12 14:53:25 UTC
Coverage is selective. Missing or expired assessments do not mean zero hazard. Scores are heuristic indices, not calibrated probabilities. Model cards and limits
- state:
- partial
- missing Country:
- unassessed
- country Limit:
- 100
- forecast:
- assessed
- population Metric:
- urban event exposures not unique people
The rating is a composite index of reported activity; it does not measure structural vulnerability or coping capacity. It shares inputs with the Calamity Forecast Index. Neither index is a calibrated event probability. Model cards and formulas.
Rating components
Summed event intensity12.4/100
Scenario weight0.0/100
Cumulative urban PEI0.3/100
CFI activity proxy61.5/100
Recorded hazard contributions
Fire
Mean event index: 31/100 · Eligible records: 2
Rating history
- BtoAindex 27 → 11Yellow → Green13h agoCountry rating changed from B to A (score 27 → 11)Operational status changed from yellow to greenCurrent dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 27); cause of change not attributedseverity component 42.0 → 5.4population component 7.2 → 0.0
Country rating changed from B to A (score 27 → 11). Operational status changed from yellow to green. Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 27); cause of change not attributed. severity component 42.0 → 5.4. population component 7.2 → 0.0. Context: EVENT: Extended satellite heat detection — BO Detected: 2026-10-11T18:06:00.000Z CalamityScore: 27/100 Severity: medium CONTEXT: Country: BO. Consult current official local emergency instructions. This automated index does not issue evacuation orders. No scenario matched the configured rules; this does not establish absence of risk.
- CtoBindex 49 → 271d agoCountry rating changed from C to B (score 49 → 27)Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 59); cause of change not attributedseverity component 96.0 → 42.0population component 8.5 → 7.2
- CtoCindex 43 → 492d agoActivity score changed from 43 to 49Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 53); cause of change not attributedseverity component 83.6 → 96.0population component 0.1 → 8.5
- BtoCindex 37 → 432d agoCountry rating changed from B to C (score 37 → 43)Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 43); cause of change not attributedseverity component 70.2 → 83.6population component 0.2 → 0.1
- CtoBindex 49 → 372d agoCountry rating changed from C to B (score 49 → 37)Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 43); cause of change not attributedseverity component 98.2 → 70.2population component 0.6 → 0.2
- CtoCindex 43 → 492d agoActivity score changed from 43 to 49Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 44); cause of change not attributedseverity component 83.8 → 98.2
- BtoCindex 36 → 433d agoCountry rating changed from B to C (score 36 → 43)Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 44); cause of change not attributedseverity component 66.2 → 83.8population component 0.6 → 0.6
- CtoBindex 53 → 363d agoCountry rating changed from C to B (score 53 → 36)Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 44); cause of change not attributedseverity component 100.0 → 66.2population component 18.6 → 0.6
- BtoCindex 37 → 533d agoCountry rating changed from B to C (score 37 → 53)Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 57); cause of change not attributedseverity component 67.0 → 100.0population component 4.4 → 18.6
- BtoBindex 32 → 374d agoActivity score changed from 32 to 37Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 55); cause of change not attributedseverity component 54.4 → 67.0population component 4.3 → 4.4
- CtoBindex 51 → 324d agoCountry rating changed from C to B (score 51 → 32)Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 55); cause of change not attributedseverity component 100.0 → 54.4population component 8.4 → 4.3
- CtoCindex 44 → 514d agoActivity score changed from 44 to 51Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 55); cause of change not attributedseverity component 79.2 → 100.0population component 17.6 → 8.4
- BtoCindex 30 → 444d agoCountry rating changed from B to C (score 30 → 44)Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 57); cause of change not attributedseverity component 49.6 → 79.2population component 2.2 → 17.6
- CtoBindex 52 → 305d agoCountry rating changed from C to B (score 52 → 30)Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 50); cause of change not attributedseverity component 100.0 → 49.6population component 11.7 → 2.2
- DtoCindex 62 → 526d agoCountry rating changed from D to C (score 62 → 52)Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 55); cause of change not attributedpopulation component 64.0 → 11.7
- AtoDindex 18 → 62Green → Yellow6d agoCountry rating changed from A to D (score 18 → 62)Operational status changed from green to yellowCurrent dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 62); cause of change not attributedseverity component 21.2 → 100.0population component 0.0 → 64.0
- DtoAindex 62 → 18Yellow → Green6d agoCountry rating changed from D to A (score 62 → 18)Operational status changed from yellow to greenCurrent dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 43); cause of change not attributedseverity component 100.0 → 21.2population component 64.0 → 0.0
- CtoDindex 57 → 627d agoCountry rating changed from C to D (score 57 → 62)Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 62); cause of change not attributedpopulation component 39.0 → 64.0
- CtoCindex 51 → 577d agoActivity score changed from 51 to 57Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 57); cause of change not attributedseverity component 96.0 → 100.0population component 17.2 → 39.0
- BtoCindex 37 → 518d agoCountry rating changed from B to C (score 37 → 51)Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 57); cause of change not attributedseverity component 62.2 → 96.0population component 14.4 → 17.2