Rating
DR Congo risk rating
Current assessment · Model activity-rating-2
Computed: 2026-10-12 16:13:32 UTC · Valid until: 2026-10-12 18:13:32 UTC
Coverage is selective. Missing or expired assessments do not mean zero hazard. Scores are heuristic indices, not calibrated probabilities. Model cards and limits
- state:
- partial
- missing Country:
- unassessed
- country Limit:
- 100
- forecast:
- assessed
- population Metric:
- urban event exposures not unique people
The rating is a composite index of reported activity; it does not measure structural vulnerability or coping capacity. It shares inputs with the Calamity Forecast Index. Neither index is a calibrated event probability. Model cards and formulas.
Rating components
Recorded hazard contributions
Mean event index: 49/100 · Eligible records: 6
Rating history
- BtoCindex 33 → 431h agoCountry rating changed from B to C (score 33 → 43)Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 64); cause of change not attributedseverity component 39.0 → 59.0population component 38.3 → 51.7
Country rating changed from B to C (score 33 → 43). Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 64); cause of change not attributed. severity component 39.0 → 59.0. population component 38.3 → 51.7. Context: EVENT: Extended satellite heat detection — CD Detected: 2026-10-12T00:03:00.000Z CalamityScore: 64/100 Severity: medium URBAN EXPOSURE INDEX: 313,583 weighted city population units; not unique people or a census of the affected area CONTEXT: Country: CD. Consult current official local emergency instructions. This automated index does not issue evacuation orders. No scenario matched the configured rules; this does not establish absence of risk.
- CtoBindex 43 → 331h agoCountry rating changed from C to B (score 43 → 33)Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 64); cause of change not attributedseverity component 59.0 → 39.0population component 51.7 → 38.3
- BtoCindex 30 → 43Green → Yellow3h agoCountry rating changed from B to C (score 30 → 43)Operational status changed from green to yellowCurrent dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 64); cause of change not attributedseverity component 32.2 → 59.0population component 40.5 → 51.7
- AtoBindex 19 → 3014h agoCountry rating changed from A to B (score 19 → 30)Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 64); cause of change not attributedseverity component 19.4 → 32.2population component 10.6 → 40.5
- DtoAindex 69 → 19Yellow → Green16h agoCountry rating changed from D to A (score 69 → 19)Operational status changed from yellow to greenCurrent dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 53); cause of change not attributedseverity component 100.0 → 19.4population component 100.0 → 10.6
- DtoDindex 61 → 691d agoActivity score changed from 61 to 69Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 64); cause of change not attributedpopulation component 55.6 → 100.0
- CtoDindex 56 → 611d agoCountry rating changed from C to D (score 56 → 61)Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 64); cause of change not attributedpopulation component 32.8 → 55.6
- DtoCindex 69 → 561d agoCountry rating changed from D to C (score 69 → 56)Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 55); cause of change not attributedpopulation component 99.7 → 32.8
- DtoDindex 64 → 692d agoActivity score changed from 64 to 69Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 64); cause of change not attributedpopulation component 74.6 → 99.7
- DtoDindex 69 → 642d agoActivity score changed from 69 to 64Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 64); cause of change not attributedpopulation component 100.0 → 74.6
- CtoDindex 59 → 692d agoCountry rating changed from C to D (score 59 → 69)Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 64); cause of change not attributedpopulation component 50.0 → 100.0
- CtoCindex 51 → 592d agoActivity score changed from 51 to 59Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 64); cause of change not attributedseverity component 94.4 → 100.0population component 19.8 → 50.0
- DtoCindex 69 → 512d agoCountry rating changed from D to C (score 69 → 51)Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 55); cause of change not attributedseverity component 100.0 → 94.4population component 100.0 → 19.8
- DtoDindex 64 → 694d agoActivity score changed from 64 to 69Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 64); cause of change not attributedpopulation component 73.2 → 100.0
- CtoDindex 56 → 645d agoCountry rating changed from C to D (score 56 → 64)Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 59); cause of change not attributedpopulation component 33.9 → 73.2
- CtoCindex 47 → 565d agoActivity score changed from 47 to 56Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 59); cause of change not attributedseverity component 82.0 → 100.0population component 25.3 → 33.9
- DtoCindex 66 → 475d agoCountry rating changed from D to C (score 66 → 47)Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 59); cause of change not attributedseverity component 100.0 → 82.0population component 84.8 → 25.3
- CtoDindex 60 → 667d agoCountry rating changed from C to D (score 60 → 66)Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 64); cause of change not attributedseverity component 92.2 → 100.0population component 67.9 → 84.8
- CtoCindex 55 → 607d agoActivity score changed from 55 to 60Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 64); cause of change not attributedseverity component 91.2 → 92.2population component 46.3 → 67.9
- CtoCindex 49 → 557d agoActivity score changed from 49 to 55Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 59); cause of change not attributedseverity component 79.4 → 91.2population component 37.7 → 46.3