Rating

Congo risk rating

Last activity grade, not currentAindex 11.0/100
Operational statusGreen, expired
Last updated2d ago

Expired, last assessment only · Model activity-rating-2

Computed: 2026-10-09 23:43:44 UTC · Valid until: 2026-10-10 01:43:44 UTC

Coverage is selective. Missing or expired assessments do not mean zero hazard. Scores are heuristic indices, not calibrated probabilities. Model cards and limits

state:
partial
missing Country:
unassessed
country Limit:
100
forecast:
assessed
population Metric:
urban event exposures not unique people

This is a last assessment, not a current rating. Its validity has expired or was not recorded. That does not establish that no events or hazards are present.

The rating is a composite index of reported activity; it does not measure structural vulnerability or coping capacity. It shares inputs with the Calamity Forecast Index. Neither index is a calibrated event probability. Model cards and formulas.

Rating components

Summed event intensity77.2/100
Scenario weight00.0/100
Cumulative urban PEI00.0/100
CFI activity proxy5655.5/100

Recorded hazard contributions

Fire

Mean event index: 36/100 · Eligible records: 1

Rating history

  1. CtoAindex 43 → 11Yellow → Green3d ago
    Country rating changed from C to A (score 43 → 11)Operational status changed from yellow to greenCurrent dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 36); cause of change not attributedseverity component 70.0 → 7.2population component 32.2 → 0.0

    Country rating changed from C to A (score 43 → 11). Operational status changed from yellow to green. Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 36); cause of change not attributed. severity component 70.0 → 7.2. population component 32.2 → 0.0. Context: EVENT: Extended satellite heat detection — CG Detected: 2026-10-08T13:16:00.000Z CalamityScore: 36/100 Severity: medium CONTEXT: Country: CG. Consult current official local emergency instructions. This automated index does not issue evacuation orders. No scenario matched the configured rules; this does not establish absence of risk.

  2. BtoCindex 24 → 43Green → Yellow4d ago
    Country rating changed from B to C (score 24 → 43)Operational status changed from green to yellowCurrent dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 57); cause of change not attributedseverity component 31.2 → 70.0population component 17.0 → 32.2
  3. AtoBindex 14 → 245d ago
    Country rating changed from A to B (score 14 → 24)Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 57); cause of change not attributedseverity component 14.0 → 31.2population component 0.0 → 17.0
  4. BtoAindex 22 → 14Yellow → Green6d ago
    Country rating changed from B to A (score 22 → 14)Operational status changed from yellow to greenCurrent dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 43); cause of change not attributedseverity component 32.6 → 14.0population component 4.6 → 0.0
  5. AtoBindex 13 → 22Green → Yellow7d ago
    Country rating changed from A to B (score 13 → 22)Operational status changed from green to yellowCurrent dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 48); cause of change not attributedseverity component 9.6 → 32.6population component 2.2 → 4.6
  6. BtoAindex 34 → 138d ago
    Country rating changed from B to A (score 34 → 13)Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 48); cause of change not attributedseverity component 13.2 → 9.6population component 100.0 → 2.2
  7. AtoBindex 17 → 34Yellow → Green8d ago
    Country rating changed from A to B (score 17 → 34)Operational status changed from yellow to greenCurrent dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 66); cause of change not attributedseverity component 20.4 → 13.2population component 2.4 → 100.0
  8. BtoAindex 30 → 17Orange → Yellow8d ago
    Country rating changed from B to A (score 30 → 17)Operational status changed from orange to yellowCurrent dominant event: Large Wildfire (CalamityScore 39); cause of change not attributedseverity component 52.8 → 20.4population component 2.5 → 2.4
  9. BtoBindex 22 → 30Yellow → Orange9d ago
    Operational status changed from yellow to orangeCurrent dominant event: Large Wildfire (CalamityScore 39); cause of change not attributedseverity component 34.2 → 52.8population component 0.0 → 2.5
  10. AtoBindex 19 → 229d ago
    Country rating changed from A to B (score 19 → 22)Current dominant event: Moderate Wildfire (CalamityScore 27); cause of change not attributedseverity component 27.0 → 34.2
  11. BtoAindex 23 → 199d ago
    Country rating changed from B to A (score 23 → 19)Current dominant event: Moderate Wildfire (CalamityScore 27); cause of change not attributedseverity component 36.0 → 27.0
  12. AtoBindex 15 → 2310d ago
    Country rating changed from A to B (score 15 → 23)Current dominant event: Moderate Wildfire (CalamityScore 27); cause of change not attributedseverity component 16.2 → 36.0
  13. AtoAindex 11 → 15Green → Yellow10d ago
    Operational status changed from green to yellowCurrent dominant event: Moderate Wildfire (CalamityScore 18); cause of change not attributedseverity component 7.2 → 16.2
  14. CtoAindex 49 → 11Red → Green10d ago
    Country rating changed from C to A (score 49 → 11)Operational status changed from red to greenCurrent dominant event: Minor Wildfire (CalamityScore 18); cause of change not attributedseverity component 89.8 → 7.2population component 21.5 → 0.0
  15. DtoCindex 68 → 4911d ago
    Country rating changed from D to C (score 68 → 49)Current dominant event: Major Wildfire (CalamityScore 67); cause of change not attributedseverity component 96.8 → 89.8population component 100.0 → 21.5forecast component 60.0 → 55.5
  16. AtoDindex 10 → 68Green → Red12d ago
    Country rating changed from A to D (score 10 → 68)Operational status changed from green to redCurrent dominant event: Major Wildfire (CalamityScore 64); cause of change not attributedseverity component 1.8 → 96.8population component 0.0 → 100.0
  17. BtoAindex 29 → 10Red → Green12d ago
    Country rating changed from B to A (score 29 → 10)Operational status changed from red to greenCurrent dominant event: Moderate Wildfire (CalamityScore 9); cause of change not attributedseverity component 49.4 → 1.8population component 2.9 → 0.0
  18. BtoBindex 39 → 2913d ago
    Activity score changed from 39 to 29Current dominant event: Major Wildfire (CalamityScore 48); cause of change not attributedseverity component 72.6 → 49.4population component 3.3 → 2.9
  19. BtoBindex 26 → 39Orange → Red14d ago
    Operational status changed from orange to redCurrent dominant event: Major Wildfire (CalamityScore 48); cause of change not attributedseverity component 41.4 → 72.6population component 0.0 → 3.3
  20. AtoBindex 15 → 26Yellow → Orange14d ago
    Country rating changed from A to B (score 15 → 26)Operational status changed from yellow to orangeCurrent dominant event: Moderate Wildfire (CalamityScore 27); cause of change not attributedseverity component 14.4 → 41.4forecast component 61.5 → 60.0