Rating
Ivory Coast risk rating
Expired, last assessment only · Model activity-rating-2
Computed: 2026-10-04 01:30:50 UTC · Valid until: 2026-10-04 03:30:50 UTC
Coverage is selective. Missing or expired assessments do not mean zero hazard. Scores are heuristic indices, not calibrated probabilities. Model cards and limits
- state:
- partial
- missing Country:
- unassessed
- country Limit:
- 100
- forecast:
- assessed
- population Metric:
- urban event exposures not unique people
This is a last assessment, not a current rating. Its validity has expired or was not recorded. That does not establish that no events or hazards are present.
The rating is a composite index of reported activity; it does not measure structural vulnerability or coping capacity. It shares inputs with the Calamity Forecast Index. Neither index is a calibrated event probability. Model cards and formulas.
Rating components
Recorded hazard contributions
Mean event index: 14/100 · Eligible records: 2
Rating history
- AtoAindex 10 → 8Yellow → Green8d agoOperational status changed from yellow to greenCurrent dominant event: Moderate Wildfire (CalamityScore 18); cause of change not attributedseverity component 9.0 → 5.4forecast component 43.5 → 39.0
Operational status changed from yellow to green. Current dominant event: Moderate Wildfire (CalamityScore 18); cause of change not attributed. severity component 9.0 → 5.4. forecast component 43.5 → 39.0. Context: EVENT: Moderate Wildfire — CI Detected: 2026-10-03T13:57:00.000Z CalamityScore: 18/100 Severity: medium CONTEXT: Country: CI. Consult current official local emergency instructions. This automated index does not issue evacuation orders. No scenario matched the configured rules; this does not establish absence of risk.
- AtoAindex 7 → 10Green → Yellow9d agoOperational status changed from green to yellowCurrent dominant event: Large Wildfire (CalamityScore 18); cause of change not attributedseverity component 3.6 → 9.0forecast component 39.0 → 43.5
- AtoAindex 17 → 13Yellow → Green35d agoOperational status changed from yellow to greenMinor Wildfire (CalamityScore 18)
- AtoAindex 9 → 9Yellow → Green66d agoOperational status changed from yellow to greenUnhealthy Air Quality (AQI 192) (CalamityScore 14)
- AtoAindex 9 → 9Green → Yellow66d agoOperational status changed from green to yellowVery Unhealthy Air Quality (AQI 223) (CalamityScore 14)
- AtoAindex 9 → 9Yellow → Green66d agoOperational status changed from yellow to greenUnhealthy Air Quality (AQI 175) (CalamityScore 14)
- AtoAindex 9 → 9Green → Yellow66d agoOperational status changed from green to yellowVery Unhealthy Air Quality (AQI 249) (CalamityScore 14)
- AtoAindex 9 → 9Yellow → Green67d agoOperational status changed from yellow to greenUnhealthy Air Quality (AQI 185) (CalamityScore 14)
- AtoAindex 9 → 9Green → Yellow67d agoOperational status changed from green to yellowVery Unhealthy Air Quality (AQI 210) (CalamityScore 14)
- AtoAindex 8 → 8Yellow → Green72d agoOperational status changed from yellow to greenUnhealthy Air Quality (AQI 173) (CalamityScore 14)
- AtoAindex 19 → 10Yellow → Green141d agoOperational status changed from yellow to greenUnhealthy Air Quality (AQI 183) (CalamityScore 14)
- AtoAindex 19 → 10Yellow → Green141d agoOperational status changed from yellow to greenUnhealthy Air Quality (AQI 163) (CalamityScore 14)
- AtoAindex 19 → 10Yellow → Green141d agoOperational status changed from yellow to greenUnhealthy Air Quality (AQI 163) (CalamityScore 14)
- AtoAindex 19 → 10Yellow → Green141d agoOperational status changed from yellow to greenUnhealthy Air Quality (AQI 163) (CalamityScore 14)
- CtoBindex 41 → 24Orange → Yellow142d agoCountry rating changed from C to B (score 41 → 24)Operational status changed from orange to yellowLarge Wildfire (CalamityScore 53)
- CtoBindex 41 → 24Orange → Yellow142d agoCountry rating changed from C to B (score 41 → 24)Operational status changed from orange to yellowLarge Wildfire (CalamityScore 53)
- CtoBindex 41 → 24Orange → Yellow142d agoCountry rating changed from C to B (score 41 → 24)Operational status changed from orange to yellowLarge Wildfire (CalamityScore 53)
- BtoCindex 39 → 41142d agoCountry rating changed from B to C (score 39 → 41)Large Wildfire (CalamityScore 66)
- BtoAindex 39 → 12Orange → Green142d agoCountry rating changed from B to A (score 39 → 12)Operational status changed from orange to greenUnhealthy Air Quality (AQI 179) (CalamityScore 14)
- CtoBindex 41 → 39142d agoCountry rating changed from C to B (score 41 → 39)Large Wildfire (CalamityScore 66)