Rating
Chile risk rating
Activity gradeAindex 9.0/100
Operational statusGreen
Last updated22m ago
Current assessment · Model activity-rating-2
Computed: 2026-10-12 11:52:07 UTC · Valid until: 2026-10-12 13:52:07 UTC
Coverage is selective. Missing or expired assessments do not mean zero hazard. Scores are heuristic indices, not calibrated probabilities. Model cards and limits
- state:
- partial
- missing Country:
- unassessed
- country Limit:
- 100
- forecast:
- assessed
- population Metric:
- urban event exposures not unique people
The rating is a composite index of reported activity; it does not measure structural vulnerability or coping capacity. It shares inputs with the Calamity Forecast Index. Neither index is a calibrated event probability. Model cards and formulas.
Rating components
Summed event intensity7.2/100
Scenario weight0.0/100
Cumulative urban PEI0.0/100
CFI activity proxy37.5/100
Recorded hazard contributions
Fire
Mean event index: 36/100 · Eligible records: 1
Rating history
- CtoAindex 55 → 9Yellow → Green14h agoCountry rating changed from C to A (score 55 → 9)Operational status changed from yellow to greenCurrent dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 36); cause of change not attributedseverity component 72.8 → 7.2population component 100.0 → 0.0forecast component 42.0 → 37.5
Country rating changed from C to A (score 55 → 9). Operational status changed from yellow to green. Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 36); cause of change not attributed. severity component 72.8 → 7.2. population component 100.0 → 0.0. forecast component 42.0 → 37.5. Context: EVENT: Extended satellite heat detection — CL Detected: 2026-10-11T19:00:00.000Z CalamityScore: 36/100 Severity: medium CONTEXT: Country: CL. Consult current official local emergency instructions. This automated index does not issue evacuation orders. No scenario matched the configured rules; this does not establish absence of risk.
- DtoCindex 66 → 553d agoCountry rating changed from D to C (score 66 → 55)Current dominant event: Probables Tormentas Eléctricas en zonas desde la región de Coquimbo a la región del Biobío (CalamityScore 46); cause of change not attributedseverity component 100.0 → 72.8
- CtoDindex 60 → 663d agoCountry rating changed from C to D (score 60 → 66)Current dominant event: Tormentas Eléctricas en zonas desde la región de Valparaíso a la región del Maule (CalamityScore 46); cause of change not attributedseverity component 83.4 → 100.0forecast component 43.5 → 42.0
- DtoCindex 68 → 604d agoCountry rating changed from D to C (score 68 → 60)Current dominant event: Probables Tormentas Eléctricas en zonas desde la región de Coquimbo a la región del Biobío (CalamityScore 46); cause of change not attributedseverity component 100.0 → 83.4forecast component 51.0 → 43.5
- DtoDindex 61 → 684d agoActivity score changed from 61 to 68Current dominant event: Precipitaciones Moderadas a Fuertes en zonas desde la región de Coquimbo a la región de O'Higgins (CalamityScore 46); cause of change not attributedseverity component 91.6 → 100.0forecast component 31.5 → 51.0
- AtoDindex 10 → 61Green → Yellow5d agoCountry rating changed from A to D (score 10 → 61)Operational status changed from green to yellowCurrent dominant event: Precipitaciones Moderadas a Fuertes en zonas desde la región de Coquimbo a la región de O'Higgins (CalamityScore 46); cause of change not attributedseverity component 13.0 → 91.6population component 0.0 → 100.0forecast component 32.3 → 31.5
- AtoAindex 12 → 10Yellow → Green8d agoOperational status changed from yellow to greenCurrent dominant event: Unhealthy Air Quality — Coyhaique II, Chile (CalamityScore 29); cause of change not attributedseverity component 14.4 → 13.0forecast component 42.0 → 32.3
- AtoAindex 9 → 12Green → Yellow8d agoOperational status changed from green to yellowCurrent dominant event: Moderate Wildfire (CalamityScore 18); cause of change not attributedseverity component 7.2 → 14.4forecast component 37.5 → 42.0
- AtoAindex 14 → 9Yellow → Green9d agoOperational status changed from yellow to greenCurrent dominant event: Moderate Wildfire (CalamityScore 18); cause of change not attributedseverity component 21.2 → 7.2population component 2.0 → 0.0forecast component 32.3 → 37.5
- AtoAindex 9 → 14Green → Yellow9d agoOperational status changed from green to yellowCurrent dominant event: Unhealthy Air Quality (AQI 155) (CalamityScore 41); cause of change not attributedseverity component 7.2 → 21.2population component 0.0 → 2.0forecast component 37.5 → 32.3
- AtoAindex 11 → 9Yellow → Green9d agoOperational status changed from yellow to greenCurrent dominant event: Moderate Wildfire (CalamityScore 18); cause of change not attributedseverity component 14.8 → 7.2forecast component 33.8 → 37.5
- AtoAindex 9 → 11Green → Yellow9d agoOperational status changed from green to yellowCurrent dominant event: Unhealthy Air Quality (AQI 159) (CalamityScore 29); cause of change not attributedseverity component 7.2 → 14.8forecast component 40.5 → 33.8
- AtoAindex 12 → 9Yellow → Green9d agoOperational status changed from yellow to greenCurrent dominant event: Moderate Wildfire (CalamityScore 18); cause of change not attributedseverity component 16.8 → 7.2population component 1.3 → 0.0forecast component 33.8 → 40.5
- AtoAindex 9 → 12Green → Yellow9d agoOperational status changed from green to yellowCurrent dominant event: Very Unhealthy Air Quality (AQI 209) (CalamityScore 48); cause of change not attributedseverity component 7.2 → 16.8population component 0.0 → 1.3forecast component 40.5 → 33.8
- AtoAindex 11 → 9Yellow → Green10d agoOperational status changed from yellow to greenCurrent dominant event: Moderate Wildfire (CalamityScore 18); cause of change not attributedseverity component 11.4 → 7.2population component 9.0 → 0.0forecast component 27.8 → 40.5
- AtoAindex 18 → 1110d agoActivity score changed from 18 to 11Current dominant event: Nevados de Chillan (Chile) - Report for 16 September-22 September 2026 - New Eruptive Activity (CalamityScore 30); cause of change not attributedseverity component 27.8 → 11.4population component 14.1 → 9.0forecast component 27.5 → 27.8
- BtoAindex 22 → 1810d agoCountry rating changed from B to A (score 22 → 18)Current dominant event: Unhealthy Air Quality (AQI 188) (CalamityScore 41); cause of change not attributedseverity component 36.0 → 27.8population component 19.5 → 14.1
- AtoBindex 18 → 2210d agoCountry rating changed from A to B (score 18 → 22)Current dominant event: Very Unhealthy Air Quality (AQI 200) (CalamityScore 41); cause of change not attributedseverity component 27.8 → 36.0population component 15.7 → 19.5
- BtoAindex 21 → 1810d agoCountry rating changed from B to A (score 21 → 18)Current dominant event: Very Unhealthy Air Quality (AQI 200) (CalamityScore 41); cause of change not attributedseverity component 33.6 → 27.8population component 15.1 → 15.7
- AtoBindex 19 → 2110d agoCountry rating changed from A to B (score 19 → 21)Current dominant event: Unhealthy Air Quality (AQI 167) (CalamityScore 41); cause of change not attributedseverity component 30.4 → 33.6population component 11.4 → 15.1forecast component 29.5 → 27.5