Calamity
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Rating

Gabon risk rating

Last activity grade, not currentAindex 11.0/100
Operational statusYellow, expired
Last updated8d ago

Expired, last assessment only · Model activity-rating-2

Computed: 2026-10-04 01:30:50 UTC · Valid until: 2026-10-04 03:30:50 UTC

Coverage is selective. Missing or expired assessments do not mean zero hazard. Scores are heuristic indices, not calibrated probabilities. Model cards and limits

state:
partial
missing Country:
unassessed
country Limit:
100
forecast:
assessed
population Metric:
urban event exposures not unique people

This is a last assessment, not a current rating. Its validity has expired or was not recorded. That does not establish that no events or hazards are present.

The rating is a composite index of reported activity; it does not measure structural vulnerability or coping capacity. It shares inputs with the Calamity Forecast Index. Neither index is a calibrated event probability. Model cards and formulas.

Rating components

Summed event intensity1312.6/100
Scenario weight00.0/100
Cumulative urban PEI00.0/100
CFI activity proxy4242.0/100

Recorded hazard contributions

Fire

Mean event index: 16/100 · Eligible records: 4

Rating history

  1. AtoAindex 7 → 12Green → Yellow8d ago
    Operational status changed from green to yellowCurrent dominant event: Minor Wildfire (CalamityScore 18); cause of change not attributedseverity component 1.8 → 14.4forecast component 42.0 → 43.5

    Operational status changed from green to yellow. Current dominant event: Minor Wildfire (CalamityScore 18); cause of change not attributed. severity component 1.8 → 14.4. forecast component 42.0 → 43.5. Context: EVENT: Minor Wildfire — GA Detected: 2026-10-03T13:10:00.000Z CalamityScore: 18/100 Severity: medium CONTEXT: Country: GA. Consult current official local emergency instructions. This automated index does not issue evacuation orders. No scenario matched the configured rules; this does not establish absence of risk.

  2. AtoAindex 18 → 7Orange → Green10d ago
    Operational status changed from orange to greenCurrent dominant event: Moderate Wildfire (CalamityScore 9); cause of change not attributedseverity component 28.8 → 1.8forecast component 46.5 → 42.0
  3. BtoAindex 26 → 1811d ago
    Country rating changed from B to A (score 26 → 18)Current dominant event: Large Wildfire (CalamityScore 27); cause of change not attributedseverity component 40.2 → 28.8population component 12.2 → 0.0forecast component 52.5 → 46.5
  4. AtoBindex 15 → 2611d ago
    Country rating changed from A to B (score 15 → 26)Current dominant event: Large Wildfire (CalamityScore 48); cause of change not attributedseverity component 13.2 → 40.2population component 11.2 → 12.2forecast component 48.0 → 52.5
  5. AtoAindex 8 → 15Green → Orange12d ago
    Operational status changed from green to orangeCurrent dominant event: Moderate Wildfire (CalamityScore 48); cause of change not attributedseverity component 1.8 → 13.2population component 0.0 → 11.2
  6. AtoAindex 12 → 8Yellow → Green16d ago
    Operational status changed from yellow to greenCurrent dominant event: Moderate Wildfire (CalamityScore 9); cause of change not attributedseverity component 12.6 → 1.8
  7. BtoAindex 24 → 12Orange → Yellow17d ago
    Country rating changed from B to A (score 24 → 12)Operational status changed from orange to yellowCurrent dominant event: Major Wildfire (CalamityScore 27); cause of change not attributedseverity component 38.4 → 12.6population component 1.1 → 0.0forecast component 54.0 → 48.0
  8. BtoBindex 21 → 24Yellow → Orange18d ago
    Operational status changed from yellow to orangeCurrent dominant event: Major Wildfire (CalamityScore 36); cause of change not attributedseverity component 32.4 → 38.4population component 0.0 → 1.1forecast component 52.5 → 54.0
  9. BtoBindex 27 → 21Orange → Yellow18d ago
    Operational status changed from orange to yellowCurrent dominant event: Large Wildfire (CalamityScore 27); cause of change not attributedseverity component 46.8 → 32.4forecast component 55.5 → 52.5
  10. AtoBindex 19 → 27Yellow → Orange18d ago
    Country rating changed from A to B (score 19 → 27)Operational status changed from yellow to orangeCurrent dominant event: Major Wildfire (CalamityScore 36); cause of change not attributedseverity component 28.8 → 46.8forecast component 52.5 → 55.5
  11. AtoAindex 12 → 1918d ago
    Activity score changed from 12 to 19Current dominant event: Large Wildfire (CalamityScore 27); cause of change not attributedseverity component 12.6 → 28.8forecast component 48.0 → 52.5
  12. AtoAindex 10 → 12Green → Yellow19d ago
    Operational status changed from green to yellowCurrent dominant event: Moderate Wildfire (CalamityScore 18); cause of change not attributedseverity component 7.2 → 12.6
  13. BtoAindex 22 → 10Orange → Green19d ago
    Country rating changed from B to A (score 22 → 10)Operational status changed from orange to greenCurrent dominant event: Minor Wildfire (CalamityScore 18); cause of change not attributedseverity component 22.2 → 7.2population component 30.9 → 0.0
  14. BtoBindex 27 → 2220d ago
    Activity score changed from 27 to 22Current dominant event: Large Wildfire (CalamityScore 48); cause of change not attributedseverity component 29.2 → 22.2population component 39.2 → 30.9
  15. AtoBindex 15 → 27Yellow → Orange20d ago
    Country rating changed from A to B (score 15 → 27)Operational status changed from yellow to orangeCurrent dominant event: Large Wildfire (CalamityScore 48); cause of change not attributedseverity component 16.0 → 29.2population component 8.8 → 39.2
  16. AtoAindex 20 → 15Orange → Yellow21d ago
    Operational status changed from orange to yellowCurrent dominant event: Moderate Wildfire (CalamityScore 44); cause of change not attributedseverity component 24.0 → 16.0population component 10.2 → 8.8forecast component 52.5 → 48.0
  17. AtoAindex 16 → 20Yellow → Orange21d ago
    Operational status changed from yellow to orangeCurrent dominant event: Large Wildfire (CalamityScore 48); cause of change not attributedseverity component 17.8 → 24.0population component 6.2 → 10.2forecast component 49.5 → 52.5
  18. AtoAindex 11 → 1622d ago
    Activity score changed from 11 to 16Current dominant event: Large Wildfire (CalamityScore 44); cause of change not attributedseverity component 9.0 → 17.8population component 0.0 → 6.2forecast component 48.0 → 49.5
  19. AtoAindex 19 → 1122d ago
    Activity score changed from 19 to 11Current dominant event: Moderate Wildfire (CalamityScore 27); cause of change not attributedseverity component 26.8 → 9.0population component 5.2 → 0.0forecast component 51.0 → 48.0
  20. AtoAindex 12 → 1923d ago
    Activity score changed from 12 to 19Current dominant event: Large Wildfire (CalamityScore 44); cause of change not attributedseverity component 9.6 → 26.8population component 3.8 → 5.2forecast component 48.0 → 51.0
Forecast for GabonActive events in Gabon