Rating
French Guiana risk rating
Last activity grade, not currentAindex 10.0/100
Operational statusGreen, expired
Last updated20h ago
Expired, last assessment only · Model activity-rating-2
Computed: 2026-10-11 23:31:59 UTC · Valid until: 2026-10-12 01:31:59 UTC
Coverage is selective. Missing or expired assessments do not mean zero hazard. Scores are heuristic indices, not calibrated probabilities. Model cards and limits
- state:
- partial
- missing Country:
- unassessed
- country Limit:
- 100
- forecast:
- assessed
- population Metric:
- urban event exposures not unique people
This is a last assessment, not a current rating. Its validity has expired or was not recorded. That does not establish that no events or hazards are present.
The rating is a composite index of reported activity; it does not measure structural vulnerability or coping capacity. It shares inputs with the Calamity Forecast Index. Neither index is a calibrated event probability. Model cards and formulas.
Rating components
Summed event intensity8.6/100
Scenario weight0.0/100
Cumulative urban PEI0.0/100
CFI activity proxy42.0/100
Recorded hazard contributions
Fire
Mean event index: 43/100 · Eligible records: 1
Rating history
- AtoAindex 19 → 102d agoActivity score changed from 19 to 10Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 43); cause of change not attributedseverity component 29.6 → 8.6population component 2.3 → 0.0forecast component 42.0 → 43.5
Activity score changed from 19 to 10. Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 43); cause of change not attributed. severity component 29.6 → 8.6. population component 2.3 → 0.0. forecast component 42.0 → 43.5. Context: EVENT: Extended satellite heat detection — GF Detected: 2026-10-10T16:50:00.000Z CalamityScore: 43/100 Severity: medium CONTEXT: Country: GF. Consult current official local emergency instructions. This automated index does not issue evacuation orders. No scenario matched the configured rules; this does not establish absence of risk.
- AtoAindex 14 → 194d agoActivity score changed from 14 to 19Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 55); cause of change not attributedseverity component 18.2 → 29.6population component 1.6 → 2.3forecast component 43.5 → 42.0
- AtoAindex 9 → 148d agoActivity score changed from 9 to 14Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 55); cause of change not attributedseverity component 7.2 → 18.2population component 0.0 → 1.6
- AtoAindex 12 → 9Yellow → Green8d agoOperational status changed from yellow to greenCurrent dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 36); cause of change not attributedseverity component 12.6 → 7.2
- AtoAindex 18 → 12Orange → Yellow9d agoOperational status changed from orange to yellowCurrent dominant event: Moderate Wildfire (CalamityScore 27); cause of change not attributedseverity component 26.0 → 12.6population component 5.3 → 0.0
- AtoAindex 13 → 1810d agoActivity score changed from 13 to 18Current dominant event: Major Wildfire (CalamityScore 55); cause of change not attributedseverity component 15.4 → 26.0population component 0.6 → 5.3forecast component 48.0 → 43.5
- AtoAindex 12 → 13Yellow → Orange12d agoOperational status changed from yellow to orangeCurrent dominant event: Major Wildfire (CalamityScore 50); cause of change not attributedseverity component 12.6 → 15.4population component 0.0 → 0.6
- AtoAindex 18 → 12Red → Yellow12d agoOperational status changed from red to yellowCurrent dominant event: Large Wildfire (CalamityScore 36); cause of change not attributedseverity component 25.6 → 12.6population component 1.9 → 0.0
- AtoAindex 16 → 18Orange → Red13d agoOperational status changed from orange to redCurrent dominant event: Large Wildfire (CalamityScore 48); cause of change not attributedseverity component 21.4 → 25.6population component 0.9 → 1.9
- BtoAindex 21 → 1613d agoCountry rating changed from B to A (score 21 → 16)Current dominant event: Major Wildfire (CalamityScore 35); cause of change not attributedseverity component 33.2 → 21.4population component 1.3 → 0.9
- AtoBindex 17 → 2114d agoCountry rating changed from A to B (score 17 → 21)Current dominant event: Major Wildfire (CalamityScore 50); cause of change not attributedseverity component 24.4 → 33.2population component 0.5 → 1.3forecast component 46.5 → 48.0
- BtoAindex 26 → 17Red → Orange14d agoCountry rating changed from B to A (score 26 → 17)Operational status changed from red to orangeCurrent dominant event: Major Wildfire (CalamityScore 50); cause of change not attributedseverity component 44.8 → 24.4population component 2.4 → 0.5forecast component 51.0 → 46.5
- AtoBindex 16 → 26Orange → Red15d agoCountry rating changed from A to B (score 16 → 26)Operational status changed from orange to redCurrent dominant event: Major Wildfire (CalamityScore 50); cause of change not attributedseverity component 23.2 → 44.8population component 0.2 → 2.4forecast component 46.5 → 51.0
- AtoAindex 15 → 16Yellow → Orange16d agoOperational status changed from yellow to orangeCurrent dominant event: Large Wildfire (CalamityScore 44); cause of change not attributedseverity component 18.6 → 23.2population component 1.7 → 0.2
- AtoAindex 17 → 15Orange → Yellow16d agoOperational status changed from orange to yellowCurrent dominant event: Large Wildfire (CalamityScore 39); cause of change not attributedseverity component 24.0 → 18.6population component 1.4 → 1.7forecast component 48.0 → 46.5
- AtoAindex 11 → 17Yellow → Orange17d agoOperational status changed from yellow to orangeCurrent dominant event: Major Wildfire (CalamityScore 39); cause of change not attributedseverity component 10.8 → 24.0population component 0.0 → 1.4forecast component 45.0 → 48.0
- AtoAindex 14 → 11Orange → Yellow17d agoOperational status changed from orange to yellowCurrent dominant event: Large Wildfire (CalamityScore 27); cause of change not attributedseverity component 18.0 → 10.8forecast component 46.5 → 45.0
- AtoAindex 13 → 14Yellow → Orange18d agoOperational status changed from yellow to orangeCurrent dominant event: Large Wildfire (CalamityScore 27); cause of change not attributedseverity component 14.2 → 18.0population component 0.5 → 0.0forecast component 45.0 → 46.5
- AtoAindex 12 → 13Orange → Yellow18d agoOperational status changed from orange to yellowCurrent dominant event: Moderate Wildfire (CalamityScore 35); cause of change not attributedseverity component 12.4 → 14.2population component 0.6 → 0.5
- AtoAindex 8 → 12Green → Orange19d agoOperational status changed from green to orangeCurrent dominant event: Large Wildfire (CalamityScore 44); cause of change not attributedseverity component 3.6 → 12.4population component 0.0 → 0.6forecast component 46.5 → 45.0