Rating

Ghana risk rating

Last activity grade, not currentAindex 17.0/100
Operational statusOrange, expired
Last updated8d ago

Expired, last assessment only · Model activity-rating-2

Computed: 2026-10-04 01:30:50 UTC · Valid until: 2026-10-04 03:30:50 UTC

Coverage is selective. Missing or expired assessments do not mean zero hazard. Scores are heuristic indices, not calibrated probabilities. Model cards and limits

state:
partial
missing Country:
unassessed
country Limit:
100
forecast:
assessed
population Metric:
urban event exposures not unique people

This is a last assessment, not a current rating. Its validity has expired or was not recorded. That does not establish that no events or hazards are present.

The rating is a composite index of reported activity; it does not measure structural vulnerability or coping capacity. It shares inputs with the Calamity Forecast Index. Neither index is a calibrated event probability. Model cards and formulas.

Rating components

Summed event intensity1918.6/100
Scenario weight00.0/100
Cumulative urban PEI1616.0/100
CFI activity proxy4443.5/100

Recorded hazard contributions

Fire

Mean event index: 23/100 · Eligible records: 4

Rating history

  1. BtoAindex 21 → 178d ago
    Country rating changed from B to A (score 21 → 17)Current dominant event: Large Wildfire (CalamityScore 48); cause of change not attributedseverity component 19.2 → 18.6population component 34.1 → 16.0forecast component 40.5 → 43.5

    Country rating changed from B to A (score 21 → 17). Current dominant event: Large Wildfire (CalamityScore 48); cause of change not attributed. severity component 19.2 → 18.6. population component 34.1 → 16.0. forecast component 40.5 → 43.5. Context: EVENT: Large Wildfire — GH Detected: 2026-10-03T13:57:00.000Z CalamityScore: 48/100 Severity: critical URBAN EXPOSURE INDEX: 160,024 weighted city population units; not unique people or a census of the affected area CONTEXT: Country: GH. Consult current official local emergency instructions. This automated index does not issue evacuation orders. No scenario matched the configured rules; this does not establish absence of risk.

  2. AtoBindex 18 → 218d ago
    Country rating changed from A to B (score 18 → 21)Current dominant event: Major Wildfire (CalamityScore 48); cause of change not attributedpopulation component 17.2 → 34.1forecast component 43.5 → 40.5
  3. AtoAindex 12 → 18Yellow → Orange9d ago
    Operational status changed from yellow to orangeCurrent dominant event: Large Wildfire (CalamityScore 39); cause of change not attributedseverity component 13.2 → 19.2population component 1.8 → 17.2forecast component 42.0 → 43.5
  4. CtoAindex 45 → 12Orange → Yellow9d ago
    Country rating changed from C to A (score 45 → 12)Operational status changed from orange to yellowCurrent dominant event: Large Wildfire (CalamityScore 39); cause of change not attributedseverity component 46.0 → 13.2population component 94.5 → 1.8forecast component 49.5 → 42.0
  5. AtoCindex 18 → 459d ago
    Country rating changed from A to C (score 18 → 45)Current dominant event: Moderate Wildfire (CalamityScore 53); cause of change not attributedseverity component 28.6 → 46.0population component 0.3 → 94.5forecast component 46.5 → 49.5
  6. AtoAindex 19 → 18Yellow → Orange9d ago
    Operational status changed from yellow to orangeCurrent dominant event: Moderate Wildfire (CalamityScore 35); cause of change not attributedpopulation component 0.3 → 0.3forecast component 49.5 → 46.5
  7. AtoAindex 20 → 19Orange → Yellow10d ago
    Operational status changed from orange to yellowCurrent dominant event: Moderate Wildfire (CalamityScore 35); cause of change not attributedseverity component 30.6 → 28.6population component 0.0 → 0.3
  8. AtoAindex 8 → 20Yellow → Orange10d ago
    Operational status changed from yellow to orangeCurrent dominant event: Moderate Wildfire (CalamityScore 27); cause of change not attributedseverity component 5.4 → 30.6forecast component 39.0 → 49.5
  9. AtoAindex 7 → 8Green → Yellow12d ago
    Operational status changed from green to yellowCurrent dominant event: Moderate Wildfire (CalamityScore 27); cause of change not attributedseverity component 3.6 → 5.4
  10. BtoAindex 24 → 716d ago
    Country rating changed from B to A (score 24 → 7)Current dominant event: Minor Wildfire (CalamityScore 18); cause of change not attributedseverity component 14.6 → 3.6population component 72.3 → 0.0forecast component 27.8 → 39.0
  11. AtoBindex 8 → 2416d ago
    Country rating changed from A to B (score 8 → 24)Current dominant event: Unhealthy Air Quality (AQI 153) (CalamityScore 55); cause of change not attributedseverity component 9.4 → 14.6population component 0.0 → 72.3
  12. AtoAindex 16 → 820d ago
    Activity score changed from 16 to 8Current dominant event: Unhealthy Air Quality (AQI 163) (CalamityScore 29); cause of change not attributedseverity component 10.0 → 9.4population component 47.1 → 0.0forecast component 16.5 → 27.8
  13. AtoAindex 7 → 1621d ago
    Activity score changed from 7 to 16Current dominant event: Unhealthy Air Quality (AQI 159) (CalamityScore 50); cause of change not attributedseverity component 3.6 → 10.0population component 0.0 → 47.1forecast component 39.0 → 16.5
  14. BtoAindex 28 → 723d ago
    Country rating changed from B to A (score 28 → 7)Current dominant event: Moderate Wildfire (CalamityScore 18); cause of change not attributedseverity component 14.6 → 3.6population component 88.9 → 0.0forecast component 27.8 → 39.0
  15. AtoBindex 7 → 2824d ago
    Country rating changed from A to B (score 7 → 28)Current dominant event: Unhealthy Air Quality (AQI 155) (CalamityScore 55); cause of change not attributedseverity component 1.8 → 14.6population component 0.0 → 88.9forecast component 39.0 → 27.8
  16. AtoBindex 11 → 3141d ago
    Country rating changed from A to B (score 11 → 31)Unhealthy Air Quality (AQI 187) (CalamityScore 32)
  17. AtoBindex 11 → 2946d ago
    Country rating changed from A to B (score 11 → 29)Unhealthy Air Quality (AQI 155) (CalamityScore 40)
  18. BtoBindex 32 → 32Yellow → Green46d ago
    Operational status changed from yellow to greenUnhealthy Air Quality (AQI 179) (CalamityScore 44)
  19. BtoBindex 32 → 32Green → Yellow46d ago
    Operational status changed from green to yellowVery Unhealthy Air Quality (AQI 222) (CalamityScore 44)
  20. AtoBindex 11 → 3248d ago
    Country rating changed from A to B (score 11 → 32)Unhealthy Air Quality (AQI 151) (CalamityScore 44)