Calamity
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Rating

Guinea risk rating

Last activity grade, not currentAindex 8.0/100
Operational statusYellow, expired
Last updated9d ago

Expired, last assessment only · Model activity-rating-2

Computed: 2026-10-03 00:00:23 UTC · Valid until: 2026-10-03 02:00:23 UTC

Coverage is selective. Missing or expired assessments do not mean zero hazard. Scores are heuristic indices, not calibrated probabilities. Model cards and limits

state:
partial
missing Country:
unassessed
country Limit:
100
forecast:
assessed
population Metric:
urban event exposures not unique people

This is a last assessment, not a current rating. Its validity has expired or was not recorded. That does not establish that no events or hazards are present.

The rating is a composite index of reported activity; it does not measure structural vulnerability or coping capacity. It shares inputs with the Calamity Forecast Index. Neither index is a calibrated event probability. Model cards and formulas.

Rating components

Summed event intensity77.0/100
Scenario weight00.0/100
Cumulative urban PEI10.8/100
CFI activity proxy3333.0/100

Recorded hazard contributions

Fire

Mean event index: 35/100 · Eligible records: 1

Rating history

  1. AtoAindex 6 → 8Green → Yellow9d ago
    Operational status changed from green to yellowCurrent dominant event: Moderate Wildfire (CalamityScore 35); cause of change not attributedseverity component 3.6 → 7.0population component 0.0 → 0.8

    Operational status changed from green to yellow. Current dominant event: Moderate Wildfire (CalamityScore 35); cause of change not attributed. severity component 3.6 → 7.0. population component 0.0 → 0.8. Context: EVENT: Moderate Wildfire — GN Detected: 2026-10-02T14:18:00.000Z CalamityScore: 35/100 Severity: high URBAN EXPOSURE INDEX: 7,866 weighted city population units; not unique people or a census of the affected area CONTEXT: Country: GN. Consult current official local emergency instructions. This automated index does not issue evacuation orders. No scenario matched the configured rules; this does not establish absence of risk.

  2. AtoAindex 9 → 6Yellow → Green10d ago
    Operational status changed from yellow to greenCurrent dominant event: Moderate Wildfire (CalamityScore 18); cause of change not attributedseverity component 7.8 → 3.6population component 2.4 → 0.0
  3. AtoAindex 6 → 9Green → Yellow10d ago
    Operational status changed from green to yellowCurrent dominant event: Large Wildfire (CalamityScore 39); cause of change not attributedseverity component 3.6 → 7.8population component 0.0 → 2.4
  4. AtoAindex 9 → 6Yellow → Green11d ago
    Operational status changed from yellow to greenCurrent dominant event: Moderate Wildfire (CalamityScore 18); cause of change not attributedseverity component 7.8 → 3.6population component 1.2 → 0.0forecast component 37.5 → 33.0
  5. AtoAindex 9 → 9Green → Yellow11d ago
    Operational status changed from green to yellowCurrent dominant event: Moderate Wildfire (CalamityScore 39); cause of change not attributedseverity component 7.2 → 7.8population component 0.0 → 1.2forecast component 43.5 → 37.5
  6. AtoAindex 11 → 9Yellow → Green15d ago
    Operational status changed from yellow to greenCurrent dominant event: Moderate Wildfire (CalamityScore 18); cause of change not attributedseverity component 10.6 → 7.2population component 0.4 → 0.0forecast component 45.0 → 43.5
  7. AtoAindex 7 → 11Green → Yellow15d ago
    Operational status changed from green to yellowCurrent dominant event: Moderate Wildfire (CalamityScore 35); cause of change not attributedseverity component 3.6 → 10.6population component 0.0 → 0.4forecast component 39.0 → 45.0
  8. BtoAindex 37 → 15Orange → Yellow37d ago
    Country rating changed from B to A (score 37 → 15)Operational status changed from orange to yellowModerate Wildfire (CalamityScore 43)
  9. AtoBindex 15 → 37Yellow → Orange37d ago
    Country rating changed from A to B (score 15 → 37)Operational status changed from yellow to orangeModerate Wildfire (CalamityScore 60)1 new cascade alert(s)
  10. AtoAindex 13 → 19Green → Yellow127d ago
    Operational status changed from green to yellowLarge Wildfire (CalamityScore 35)
  11. AtoAindex 13 → 19Green → Yellow127d ago
    Operational status changed from green to yellowLarge Wildfire (CalamityScore 35)
  12. AtoAindex 13 → 19Green → Yellow127d ago
    Operational status changed from green to yellowLarge Wildfire (CalamityScore 35)
  13. AtoAindex 13 → 19Green → Yellow127d ago
    Operational status changed from green to yellowLarge Wildfire (CalamityScore 35)
  14. AtoAindex 13 → 19Green → Yellow127d ago
    Operational status changed from green to yellowLarge Wildfire (CalamityScore 35)
  15. AtoAindex 13 → 19Green → Yellow127d ago
    Operational status changed from green to yellowLarge Wildfire (CalamityScore 35)
  16. AtoAindex 13 → 19Green → Yellow127d ago
    Operational status changed from green to yellowLarge Wildfire (CalamityScore 35)
  17. AtoAindex 13 → 19Green → Yellow127d ago
    Operational status changed from green to yellowLarge Wildfire (CalamityScore 35)
  18. AtoAindex 13 → 19Green → Yellow127d ago
    Operational status changed from green to yellowLarge Wildfire (CalamityScore 35)
  19. AtoAindex 13 → 19Green → Yellow127d ago
    Operational status changed from green to yellowLarge Wildfire (CalamityScore 35)
  20. AtoAindex 13 → 19Green → Yellow127d ago
    Operational status changed from green to yellowLarge Wildfire (CalamityScore 35)
Forecast for GuineaActive events in Guinea