Rating

Greece risk rating

Activity gradeCindex 52.0/100
Operational statusOrange
Last updated26m ago

Current assessment · Model activity-rating-2

Computed: 2026-10-12 21:01:22 UTC · Valid until: 2026-10-12 23:01:22 UTC

Coverage is selective. Missing or expired assessments do not mean zero hazard. Scores are heuristic indices, not calibrated probabilities. Model cards and limits

state:
partial
missing Country:
unassessed
country Limit:
100
forecast:
assessed
population Metric:
urban event exposures not unique people

The rating is a composite index of reported activity; it does not measure structural vulnerability or coping capacity. It shares inputs with the Calamity Forecast Index. Neither index is a calibrated event probability. Model cards and formulas.

Rating components

Summed event intensity6969.4/100
Scenario weight00.0/100
Cumulative urban PEI100100.0/100
CFI activity proxy3231.5/100

Recorded hazard contributions

Weather

Mean event index: 35/100 · Eligible records: 10

Rating history

  1. BtoCindex 39 → 52Yellow → Orange26m ago
    Country rating changed from B to C (score 39 → 52)Operational status changed from yellow to orangeCurrent dominant event: Severe weather warning — Ionion Islands, Greece (CalamityScore 45); cause of change not attributedseverity component 34.8 → 69.4

    Country rating changed from B to C (score 39 → 52). Operational status changed from yellow to orange. Current dominant event: Severe weather warning — Ionion Islands, Greece (CalamityScore 45); cause of change not attributed. severity component 34.8 → 69.4. Context: EVENT: Severe weather warning — Ionion Islands, Greece — GR Detected: 2026-10-12T21:00:00.000Z CalamityScore: 45/100 Severity: high URBAN EXPOSURE INDEX: 62,660 weighted city population units; not unique people or a census of the affected area CONTEXT: Country: GR. Consult current official local emergency instructions. This automated index does not issue evacuation orders. No scenario matched the configured rules; this does not establish absence of risk.

  2. AtoBindex 14 → 39Green → Yellow9h ago
    Country rating changed from A to B (score 14 → 39)Operational status changed from green to yellowCurrent dominant event: Moderate weather warning — Central Makedonia, Greece (CalamityScore 41); cause of change not attributedseverity component 17.8 → 34.8population component 5.6 → 100.0forecast component 37.5 → 31.5
  3. AtoAindex 7 → 147d ago
    Activity score changed from 7 to 14Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 53); cause of change not attributedseverity component 3.6 → 17.8population component 0.0 → 5.6
  4. AtoAindex 10 → 7Yellow → Green8d ago
    Operational status changed from yellow to greenCurrent dominant event: Moderate Wildfire (CalamityScore 18); cause of change not attributedseverity component 11.4 → 3.6population component 0.1 → 0.0
  5. AtoAindex 7 → 10Green → Yellow10d ago
    Operational status changed from green to yellowCurrent dominant event: Moderate Wildfire (CalamityScore 30); cause of change not attributedseverity component 1.8 → 11.4population component 0.0 → 0.1forecast component 42.0 → 37.5
  6. AtoAindex 14 → 7Orange → Green12d ago
    Operational status changed from orange to greenCurrent dominant event: Moderate Wildfire (CalamityScore 9); cause of change not attributedseverity component 15.2 → 1.8population component 18.1 → 0.0forecast component 29.3 → 42.0
  7. AtoAindex 7 → 14Green → Orange16d ago
    Operational status changed from green to orangeCurrent dominant event: Hazardous Air Quality (AQI 880) (CalamityScore 67); cause of change not attributedseverity component 1.8 → 15.2population component 0.0 → 18.1forecast component 42.0 → 29.3
  8. AtoAindex 9 → 7Orange → Green17d ago
    Operational status changed from orange to greenCurrent dominant event: Moderate Wildfire (CalamityScore 9); cause of change not attributedseverity component 10.4 → 1.8forecast component 30.0 → 42.0
  9. AtoAindex 7 → 9Green → Orange17d ago
    Operational status changed from green to orangeCurrent dominant event: Hazardous Air Quality (AQI 880) (CalamityScore 43); cause of change not attributedseverity component 7.6 → 10.4forecast component 29.3 → 30.0
  10. AtoAindex 9 → 7Orange → Green17d ago
    Operational status changed from orange to greenCurrent dominant event: Unhealthy Air Quality (AQI 171) (CalamityScore 29); cause of change not attributedseverity component 12.2 → 7.6
  11. AtoAindex 11 → 9Green → Orange18d ago
    Operational status changed from green to orangeCurrent dominant event: Hazardous Air Quality (AQI 310) (CalamityScore 43); cause of change not attributedseverity component 15.2 → 12.2forecast component 32.3 → 29.3
  12. AtoAindex 6 → 11Orange → Green19d ago
    Operational status changed from orange to greenCurrent dominant event: Unhealthy Air Quality (AQI 188) (CalamityScore 29); cause of change not attributedseverity component 8.6 → 15.2forecast component 16.5 → 32.3
  13. AtoAindex 11 → 6Yellow → Orange20d ago
    Operational status changed from yellow to orangeCurrent dominant event: Hazardous Air Quality (AQI 500) (CalamityScore 43); cause of change not attributedseverity component 9.0 → 8.6forecast component 46.5 → 16.5
  14. AtoAindex 9 → 11Orange → Yellow21d ago
    Operational status changed from orange to yellowCurrent dominant event: Large Wildfire (CalamityScore 18); cause of change not attributedseverity component 10.4 → 9.0forecast component 29.3 → 46.5
  15. AtoAindex 7 → 9Green → Orange22d ago
    Operational status changed from green to orangeCurrent dominant event: Hazardous Air Quality (AQI 500) (CalamityScore 43); cause of change not attributedseverity component 7.6 → 10.4
  16. AtoAindex 6 → 7Orange → Green22d ago
    Operational status changed from orange to greenCurrent dominant event: Unhealthy Air Quality (AQI 174) (CalamityScore 29); cause of change not attributedseverity component 8.6 → 7.6forecast component 16.5 → 29.3
  17. BtoAindex 35 → 622d ago
    Country rating changed from B to A (score 35 → 6)Current dominant event: Hazardous Air Quality (AQI 408) (CalamityScore 43); cause of change not attributedseverity component 20.4 → 8.6population component 100.0 → 0.0forecast component 48.0 → 16.5
  18. BtoBindex 36 → 35Red → Orange23d ago
    Operational status changed from red to orangeCurrent dominant event: Moderate Wildfire (CalamityScore 57); cause of change not attributedseverity component 29.0 → 20.4forecast component 32.3 → 48.0
  19. BtoBindex 38 → 36Orange → Red23d ago
    Operational status changed from orange to redCurrent dominant event: Moderate Wildfire (CalamityScore 57); cause of change not attributedseverity component 26.4 → 29.0forecast component 48.0 → 32.3
  20. AtoBindex 16 → 38Yellow → Orange24d ago
    Country rating changed from A to B (score 16 → 38)Operational status changed from yellow to orangeCurrent dominant event: Moderate Wildfire (CalamityScore 57); cause of change not attributedseverity component 20.4 → 26.4population component 3.5 → 100.0forecast component 49.5 → 48.0