Rating

Hong Kong risk rating

Last activity grade, not currentBindex 29.0/100
Operational statusYellow, expired
Last updated18h ago

Expired, last assessment only · Model activity-rating-2

Computed: 2026-10-11 12:15:06 UTC · Valid until: 2026-10-11 14:15:06 UTC

Coverage is selective. Missing or expired assessments do not mean zero hazard. Scores are heuristic indices, not calibrated probabilities. Model cards and limits

state:
partial
missing Country:
unassessed
country Limit:
100
forecast:
assessed
population Metric:
urban event exposures not unique people

This is a last assessment, not a current rating. Its validity has expired or was not recorded. That does not establish that no events or hazards are present.

The rating is a composite index of reported activity; it does not measure structural vulnerability or coping capacity. It shares inputs with the Calamity Forecast Index. Neither index is a calibrated event probability. Model cards and formulas.

Rating components

Summed event intensity1110.6/100
Scenario weight00.0/100
Cumulative urban PEI100100.0/100
CFI activity proxy2928.5/100

Recorded hazard contributions

Weather

Mean event index: 53/100 · Eligible records: 1

Rating history

  1. BtoBindex 29 → 29Green → Yellow5d ago
    Operational status changed from green to yellowCurrent dominant event: Red Fire Danger Warning — Hong Kong (CalamityScore 58); cause of change not attributedseverity component 9.2 → 11.6forecast component 36.0 → 28.5

    Operational status changed from green to yellow. Current dominant event: Red Fire Danger Warning — Hong Kong (CalamityScore 58); cause of change not attributed. severity component 9.2 → 11.6. forecast component 36.0 → 28.5. Context: EVENT: Red Fire Danger Warning — Hong Kong — HK Detected: 2026-10-06T23:45:00.000Z CalamityScore: 58/100 Severity: high URBAN EXPOSURE INDEX: 49,218,257 weighted city population units; not unique people or a census of the affected area CONTEXT: Country: HK. Consult current official local emergency instructions. This automated index does not issue evacuation orders. No scenario matched the configured rules; this does not establish absence of risk.

  2. BtoBindex 36 → 299d ago
    Activity score changed from 36 to 29Current dominant event: HKO: WTS (CalamityScore 46); cause of change not attributedseverity component 27.6 → 9.2
  3. BtoBindex 29 → 369d ago
    Activity score changed from 29 to 36Current dominant event: HKO: WTS (CalamityScore 46); cause of change not attributedseverity component 9.2 → 27.6
  4. BtoBindex 34 → 29Yellow → Green10d ago
    Operational status changed from yellow to greenCurrent dominant event: HKO: WTS (CalamityScore 46); cause of change not attributedseverity component 20.8 → 9.2
  5. BtoBindex 29 → 34Green → Yellow10d ago
    Operational status changed from green to yellowCurrent dominant event: HKO: WFIRE (CalamityScore 58); cause of change not attributedseverity component 9.2 → 20.8
  6. BtoBindex 31 → 29Yellow → Green10d ago
    Operational status changed from yellow to greenCurrent dominant event: HKO: WHOT (CalamityScore 46); cause of change not attributedseverity component 11.6 → 9.2forecast component 40.5 → 36.0
  7. BtoBindex 30 → 31Green → Yellow11d ago
    Operational status changed from green to yellowCurrent dominant event: HKO: WFIRE (CalamityScore 58); cause of change not attributedseverity component 9.2 → 11.6
  8. BtoBindex 34 → 30Yellow → Green14d ago
    Operational status changed from yellow to greenCurrent dominant event: HKO: WHOT (CalamityScore 46); cause of change not attributedseverity component 20.8 → 9.2
  9. BtoBindex 30 → 34Green → Yellow14d ago
    Operational status changed from green to yellowCurrent dominant event: HKO: WFIRE (CalamityScore 58); cause of change not attributedseverity component 9.2 → 20.8forecast component 42.0 → 40.5
  10. BtoBindex 31 → 30Yellow → Green16d ago
    Operational status changed from yellow to greenCurrent dominant event: HKO: WHOT (CalamityScore 46); cause of change not attributedseverity component 11.6 → 9.2
  11. BtoBindex 30 → 31Green → Yellow17d ago
    Operational status changed from green to yellowCurrent dominant event: HKO: WFIRE (CalamityScore 58); cause of change not attributedseverity component 9.2 → 11.6
  12. BtoBindex 31 → 30Yellow → Green21d ago
    Operational status changed from yellow to greenCurrent dominant event: HKO: WTS (CalamityScore 46); cause of change not attributedseverity component 11.6 → 9.2
  13. BtoBindex 30 → 31Green → Yellow21d ago
    Operational status changed from green to yellowCurrent dominant event: HKO: WFIRE (CalamityScore 58); cause of change not attributedseverity component 9.2 → 11.6
  14. BtoBindex 31 → 30Yellow → Green21d ago
    Operational status changed from yellow to greenCurrent dominant event: HKO: WHOT (CalamityScore 46); cause of change not attributedseverity component 11.6 → 9.2
  15. BtoBindex 30 → 31Green → Yellow22d ago
    Operational status changed from green to yellowCurrent dominant event: HKO: WFIRE (CalamityScore 58); cause of change not attributedseverity component 9.2 → 11.6forecast component 43.5 → 42.0
  16. BtoBindex 31 → 30Yellow → Green22d ago
    Operational status changed from yellow to greenCurrent dominant event: HKO: WHOT (CalamityScore 46); cause of change not attributedseverity component 11.6 → 9.2
  17. BtoBindex 30 → 31Green → Yellow23d ago
    Operational status changed from green to yellowCurrent dominant event: HKO: WFIRE (CalamityScore 58); cause of change not attributedseverity component 9.2 → 11.6
  18. BtoCindex 39 → 42Green → Yellow116d ago
    Country rating changed from B to C (score 39 → 42)Operational status changed from green to yellowHKO: WL (CalamityScore 58)
  19. AtoBindex 14 → 32156d ago
    Country rating changed from A to B (score 14 → 32)Unhealthy Air Quality (AQI 158) (CalamityScore 44)
  20. AtoBindex 11 → 32175d ago
    Country rating changed from A to B (score 11 → 32)Unhealthy Air Quality (AQI 171) (CalamityScore 44)