Rating

Hungary risk rating

Last activity grade, not currentAindex 9.0/100
Operational statusOrange, expired
Last updated7d ago

Expired, last assessment only · Model activity-rating-2

Computed: 2026-10-04 11:47:25 UTC · Valid until: 2026-10-04 13:47:25 UTC

Coverage is selective. Missing or expired assessments do not mean zero hazard. Scores are heuristic indices, not calibrated probabilities. Model cards and limits

state:
partial
missing Country:
unassessed
country Limit:
100
forecast:
assessed
population Metric:
urban event exposures not unique people

This is a last assessment, not a current rating. Its validity has expired or was not recorded. That does not establish that no events or hazards are present.

The rating is a composite index of reported activity; it does not measure structural vulnerability or coping capacity. It shares inputs with the Calamity Forecast Index. Neither index is a calibrated event probability. Model cards and formulas.

Rating components

Summed event intensity1211.8/100
Scenario weight00.0/100
Cumulative urban PEI88.4/100
CFI activity proxy1818.0/100

Recorded hazard contributions

Air Quality

Mean event index: 59/100 · Eligible records: 1

Rating history

  1. AtoAindex 14 → 9Red → Orange8d ago
    Operational status changed from red to orangeCurrent dominant event: Hazardous Air Quality (AQI 999) (CalamityScore 63); cause of change not attributedseverity component 21.8 → 12.6forecast component 24.0 → 18.0

    Operational status changed from red to orange. Current dominant event: Hazardous Air Quality (AQI 999) (CalamityScore 63); cause of change not attributed. severity component 21.8 → 12.6. forecast component 24.0 → 18.0. Context: EVENT: Hazardous Air Quality (AQI 999) — HU Detected: 2026-10-03T17:00:00.000Z CalamityScore: 63/100 Severity: critical URBAN EXPOSURE INDEX: 83,793 weighted city population units; not unique people or a census of the affected area CONTEXT: Country: HU. Consult current official local emergency instructions. This automated index does not issue evacuation orders. No scenario matched the configured rules; this does not establish absence of risk.

  2. AtoAindex 9 → 14Orange → Red8d ago
    Operational status changed from orange to redCurrent dominant event: Hazardous Air Quality (AQI 999) (CalamityScore 63); cause of change not attributedseverity component 11.8 → 21.8forecast component 18.0 → 24.0
  3. AtoAindex 8 → 9Green → Orange9d ago
    Operational status changed from green to orangeCurrent dominant event: Hazardous Air Quality (AQI 590) (CalamityScore 59); cause of change not attributedseverity component 9.2 → 11.8
  4. AtoAindex 9 → 8Yellow → Green9d ago
    Operational status changed from yellow to greenCurrent dominant event: Unhealthy Air Quality (AQI 169) (CalamityScore 46); cause of change not attributedseverity component 10.6 → 9.2
  5. AtoAindex 8 → 9Green → Yellow9d ago
    Operational status changed from green to yellowCurrent dominant event: Very Unhealthy Air Quality (AQI 204) (CalamityScore 53); cause of change not attributedseverity component 9.2 → 10.6
  6. AtoAindex 9 → 8Yellow → Green9d ago
    Operational status changed from yellow to greenCurrent dominant event: Unhealthy Air Quality (AQI 180) (CalamityScore 46); cause of change not attributedseverity component 10.6 → 9.2
  7. AtoAindex 9 → 9Orange → Yellow9d ago
    Operational status changed from orange to yellowCurrent dominant event: Very Unhealthy Air Quality (AQI 240) (CalamityScore 53); cause of change not attributedseverity component 11.8 → 10.6
  8. AtoAindex 6 → 9Yellow → Orange9d ago
    Operational status changed from yellow to orangeCurrent dominant event: Hazardous Air Quality (AQI 486) (CalamityScore 59); cause of change not attributedseverity component 7.2 → 11.8population component 0.0 → 8.4
  9. AtoAindex 8 → 6Green → Yellow9d ago
    Operational status changed from green to yellowCurrent dominant event: Very Unhealthy Air Quality (AQI 262) (CalamityScore 36); cause of change not attributedseverity component 9.2 → 7.2population component 8.4 → 0.0
  10. AtoAindex 8 → 8Yellow → Green10d ago
    Operational status changed from yellow to greenCurrent dominant event: Unhealthy Air Quality (AQI 163) (CalamityScore 46); cause of change not attributed
  11. AtoAindex 9 → 8Orange → Yellow10d ago
    Operational status changed from orange to yellowCurrent dominant event: Very Unhealthy Air Quality (AQI 200) (CalamityScore 46); cause of change not attributedseverity component 11.8 → 9.2
  12. AtoAindex 9 → 9Yellow → Orange10d ago
    Operational status changed from yellow to orangeCurrent dominant event: Hazardous Air Quality (AQI 330) (CalamityScore 59); cause of change not attributedseverity component 10.6 → 11.8
  13. AtoAindex 9 → 9Orange → Yellow10d ago
    Operational status changed from orange to yellowCurrent dominant event: Very Unhealthy Air Quality (AQI 272) (CalamityScore 53); cause of change not attributedseverity component 12.6 → 10.6
  14. AtoAindex 8 → 9Yellow → Orange10d ago
    Operational status changed from yellow to orangeCurrent dominant event: Hazardous Air Quality (AQI 843) (CalamityScore 63); cause of change not attributedseverity component 6.0 → 12.6population component 0.1 → 8.4forecast component 39.0 → 18.0
  15. AtoAindex 9 → 8Green → Yellow12d ago
    Operational status changed from green to yellowCurrent dominant event: Moderate Wildfire (CalamityScore 30); cause of change not attributedseverity component 7.2 → 6.0population component 0.0 → 0.1forecast component 43.5 → 39.0
  16. AtoAindex 12 → 9Yellow → Green20d ago
    Operational status changed from yellow to greenCurrent dominant event: Moderate Wildfire (CalamityScore 18); cause of change not attributedseverity component 10.8 → 7.2forecast component 49.5 → 43.5
  17. AtoAindex 9 → 12Green → Yellow20d ago
    Operational status changed from green to yellowCurrent dominant event: Moderate Wildfire (CalamityScore 18); cause of change not attributedseverity component 5.4 → 10.8forecast component 43.5 → 49.5
  18. AtoAindex 9 → 9Yellow → Green23d ago
    Operational status changed from yellow to greenCurrent dominant event: Moderate Wildfire (CalamityScore 18); cause of change not attributedseverity component 7.8 → 5.4population component 2.0 → 0.0forecast component 39.0 → 43.5
  19. BtoAindex 27 → 9Orange → Yellow26d ago
    Country rating changed from B to A (score 27 → 9)Operational status changed from orange to yellowCurrent dominant event: Moderate Wildfire (CalamityScore 39); cause of change not attributedseverity component 10.4 → 7.8cascade component 65.0 → 0.0forecast component 42.8 → 39.0
  20. AtoBindex 9 → 27Yellow → Orange26d ago
    Country rating changed from A to B (score 9 → 27)Operational status changed from yellow to orangeCurrent dominant event: Moderate Wildfire (CalamityScore 52); cause of change not attributed1 new cascade alert(s)severity component 7.8 → 10.4cascade component 0.0 → 65.0forecast component 39.0 → 42.8