Rating
Ireland risk rating
Expired, last assessment only · Model activity-rating-2
Computed: 2026-10-08 19:39:38 UTC · Valid until: 2026-10-08 21:39:38 UTC
Coverage is selective. Missing or expired assessments do not mean zero hazard. Scores are heuristic indices, not calibrated probabilities. Model cards and limits
- state:
- partial
- missing Country:
- unassessed
- country Limit:
- 100
- forecast:
- assessed
- population Metric:
- urban event exposures not unique people
This is a last assessment, not a current rating. Its validity has expired or was not recorded. That does not establish that no events or hazards are present.
The rating is a composite index of reported activity; it does not measure structural vulnerability or coping capacity. It shares inputs with the Calamity Forecast Index. Neither index is a calibrated event probability. Model cards and formulas.
Rating components
Recorded hazard contributions
Mean event index: 33/100 · Eligible records: 4
Rating history
- AtoBindex 7 → 23Green → Yellow4d agoCountry rating changed from A to B (score 7 → 23)Operational status changed from green to yellowCurrent dominant event: Moderate weather warning — Galway, Ireland (CalamityScore 37); cause of change not attributedseverity component 3.2 → 26.0population component 0.0 → 33.7forecast component 39.0 → 37.5
Country rating changed from A to B (score 7 → 23). Operational status changed from green to yellow. Current dominant event: Moderate weather warning — Galway, Ireland (CalamityScore 37); cause of change not attributed. severity component 3.2 → 26.0. population component 0.0 → 33.7. forecast component 39.0 → 37.5. Context: EVENT: Moderate weather warning — Galway, Ireland — IE Detected: 2026-10-08T08:00:00.000Z CalamityScore: 37/100 Severity: medium URBAN EXPOSURE INDEX: 108,732 weighted city population units; not unique people or a census of the affected area CONTEXT: Country: IE. Consult current official local emergency instructions. This automated index does not issue evacuation orders. No scenario matched the configured rules; this does not establish absence of risk.
- BtoAindex 32 → 712d agoCountry rating changed from B to A (score 32 → 7)Current dominant event: Hazardous Ocean Conditions — Buoy 62105 (CalamityScore 16); cause of change not attributedseverity component 15.6 → 3.2population component 100.0 → 0.0
- CtoBindex 56 → 32Yellow → Green12d agoCountry rating changed from C to B (score 56 → 32)Operational status changed from yellow to greenCurrent dominant event: Moderate weather warning — Dublin, Ireland (CalamityScore 46); cause of change not attributedseverity component 72.0 → 15.6forecast component 51.0 → 39.0
- BtoCindex 36 → 5613d agoCountry rating changed from B to C (score 36 → 56)Current dominant event: Rain warning for Cork, Kerry, Waterford — Cork (CalamityScore 37); cause of change not attributedseverity component 42.2 → 72.0population component 63.1 → 100.0forecast component 46.5 → 51.0
- BtoBindex 29 → 3613d agoActivity score changed from 29 to 36Current dominant event: Wind warning for Donegal, Galway, Mayo, Sligo — Donegal (CalamityScore 37); cause of change not attributedseverity component 34.8 → 42.2population component 44.1 → 63.1forecast component 45.0 → 46.5
- BtoBindex 21 → 2913d agoActivity score changed from 21 to 29Current dominant event: Moderate weather warning — Galway, Ireland (CalamityScore 37); cause of change not attributedseverity component 21.8 → 34.8population component 31.3 → 44.1forecast component 42.0 → 45.0
- AtoBindex 20 → 21Green → Yellow13d agoCountry rating changed from A to B (score 20 → 21)Operational status changed from green to yellowCurrent dominant event: Moderate weather warning — Cork, Ireland (CalamityScore 37); cause of change not attributedseverity component 18.6 → 21.8forecast component 39.0 → 42.0
- AtoAindex 9 → 2013d agoActivity score changed from 9 to 20Current dominant event: Moderate weather warning — Cork, Ireland (CalamityScore 37); cause of change not attributedseverity component 5.6 → 18.6population component 3.9 → 31.3
- DtoAindex 68 → 9Orange → Green13d agoCountry rating changed from D to A (score 68 → 9)Operational status changed from orange to greenCurrent dominant event: Wind warning for Munster — Tipperary (CalamityScore 28); cause of change not attributedseverity component 100.0 → 5.6population component 100.0 → 3.9forecast component 55.5 → 39.0
- CtoDindex 49 → 68Yellow → Orange15d agoCountry rating changed from C to D (score 49 → 68)Operational status changed from yellow to orangeCurrent dominant event: Rain warning for Carlow, Kilkenny, Wexford, Wicklow, Cork, Waterford — Wicklow (CalamityScore 58); cause of change not attributedseverity component 53.8 → 100.0forecast component 49.5 → 55.5
- AtoCindex 11 → 49Green → Yellow15d agoCountry rating changed from A to C (score 11 → 49)Operational status changed from green to yellowCurrent dominant event: Moderate weather warning — Cork, Ireland (CalamityScore 49); cause of change not attributedseverity component 11.2 → 53.8population component 4.3 → 100.0forecast component 39.0 → 49.5
- AtoAindex 6 → 1117d agoActivity score changed from 6 to 11Current dominant event: Rain warning for Cork, Kerry, Waterford, Wexford (CalamityScore 28); cause of change not attributedseverity component 8.2 → 11.2population component 1.6 → 4.3forecast component 18.0 → 39.0
- AtoAindex 10 → 6Yellow → Green17d agoOperational status changed from yellow to greenCurrent dominant event: Unhealthy Air Quality (AQI 179) (CalamityScore 41); cause of change not attributedseverity component 11.0 → 8.2population component 2.1 → 1.6forecast component 37.5 → 18.0
- AtoAindex 8 → 10Green → Yellow19d agoOperational status changed from green to yellowCurrent dominant event: Blight advisory for Ireland (CalamityScore 28); cause of change not attributedseverity component 5.6 → 11.0forecast component 33.0 → 37.5
- BtoAindex 23 → 1430d agoCountry rating changed from B to A (score 23 → 14)Blight advisory for Ireland (CalamityScore 28)
- AtoBindex 19 → 2330d agoCountry rating changed from A to B (score 19 → 23)Moderate weather warning — Cork, Ireland (CalamityScore 37)
- BtoAindex 23 → 1930d agoCountry rating changed from B to A (score 23 → 19)Moderate weather warning — Cork, Ireland (CalamityScore 37)
- BtoBindex 28 → 23Yellow → Green30d agoOperational status changed from yellow to greenModerate weather warning — Cork, Ireland (CalamityScore 37)
- AtoBindex 20 → 33Green → Yellow31d agoCountry rating changed from A to B (score 20 → 33)Operational status changed from green to yellowModerate weather warning — Cork, Ireland (CalamityScore 37)
- AtoBindex 19 → 2143d agoCountry rating changed from A to B (score 19 → 21)Rain and Thunderstorm warning for Ireland (CalamityScore 28)