Rating
Iraq risk rating
Current assessment · Model activity-rating-2
Computed: 2026-10-12 06:05:15 UTC · Valid until: 2026-10-12 08:05:15 UTC
Coverage is selective. Missing or expired assessments do not mean zero hazard. Scores are heuristic indices, not calibrated probabilities. Model cards and limits
- state:
- partial
- missing Country:
- unassessed
- country Limit:
- 100
- forecast:
- assessed
- population Metric:
- urban event exposures not unique people
The rating is a composite index of reported activity; it does not measure structural vulnerability or coping capacity. It shares inputs with the Calamity Forecast Index. Neither index is a calibrated event probability. Model cards and formulas.
Rating components
Recorded hazard contributions
Mean event index: 54/100 · Eligible records: 6
Rating history
- DtoCindex 69 → 516h agoCountry rating changed from D to C (score 69 → 51)Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 64); cause of change not attributedseverity component 100.0 → 54.8
Country rating changed from D to C (score 69 → 51). Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 64); cause of change not attributed. severity component 100.0 → 54.8. Context: EVENT: Extended satellite heat detection — IQ Detected: 2026-10-11T22:16:00.000Z CalamityScore: 64/100 Severity: medium URBAN EXPOSURE INDEX: 229,183 weighted city population units; not unique people or a census of the affected area CONTEXT: Country: IQ. Consult current official local emergency instructions. This automated index does not issue evacuation orders. No scenario matched the configured rules; this does not establish absence of risk.
- DtoDindex 64 → 691d agoActivity score changed from 64 to 69Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 68); cause of change not attributedseverity component 88.2 → 100.0
- CtoDindex 50 → 641d agoCountry rating changed from C to D (score 50 → 64)Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 66); cause of change not attributedseverity component 52.2 → 88.2
- DtoCindex 69 → 502d agoCountry rating changed from D to C (score 69 → 50)Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 64); cause of change not attributedseverity component 100.0 → 52.2
- CtoDindex 55 → 693d agoCountry rating changed from C to D (score 55 → 69)Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 66); cause of change not attributedseverity component 66.8 → 100.0
- BtoCindex 39 → 553d agoCountry rating changed from B to C (score 39 → 55)Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 64); cause of change not attributedseverity component 39.8 → 66.8population component 69.1 → 100.0
- BtoBindex 37 → 39Green → Yellow4d agoOperational status changed from green to yellowCurrent dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 64); cause of change not attributedseverity component 34.4 → 39.8population component 70.2 → 69.1
- BtoBindex 40 → 37Yellow → Green4d agoOperational status changed from yellow to greenCurrent dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 64); cause of change not attributedseverity component 40.0 → 34.4population component 74.1 → 70.2
- CtoBindex 51 → 404d agoCountry rating changed from C to B (score 51 → 40)Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 64); cause of change not attributedseverity component 54.4 → 40.0population component 100.0 → 74.1
- CtoCindex 41 → 51Green → Yellow4d agoOperational status changed from green to yellowCurrent dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 64); cause of change not attributedseverity component 32.8 → 54.4population component 94.2 → 100.0
- CtoCindex 53 → 41Yellow → Green5d agoOperational status changed from yellow to greenCurrent dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 64); cause of change not attributedseverity component 61.2 → 32.8population component 100.0 → 94.2
- CtoCindex 47 → 535d agoActivity score changed from 47 to 53Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 66); cause of change not attributedseverity component 46.0 → 61.2
- CtoCindex 44 → 47Green → Yellow6d agoOperational status changed from green to yellowCurrent dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 66); cause of change not attributedseverity component 37.4 → 46.0
- DtoCindex 69 → 44Yellow → Green6d agoCountry rating changed from D to C (score 69 → 44)Operational status changed from yellow to greenCurrent dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 66); cause of change not attributedseverity component 100.0 → 37.4
- CtoDindex 60 → 697d agoCountry rating changed from C to D (score 60 → 69)Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 73); cause of change not attributedseverity component 78.4 → 100.0
- DtoCindex 69 → 607d agoCountry rating changed from D to C (score 69 → 60)Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 73); cause of change not attributedseverity component 100.0 → 78.4
- DtoDindex 69 → 69Red → Yellow8d agoOperational status changed from red to yellowCurrent dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 67); cause of change not attributed
- DtoDindex 62 → 698d agoActivity score changed from 62 to 69Current dominant event: Major Wildfire (CalamityScore 66); cause of change not attributedseverity component 82.4 → 100.0
- CtoDindex 44 → 628d agoCountry rating changed from C to D (score 44 → 62)Current dominant event: Major Wildfire (CalamityScore 64); cause of change not attributedseverity component 54.4 → 82.4population component 68.2 → 100.0
- BtoCindex 38 → 448d agoCountry rating changed from B to C (score 38 → 44)Current dominant event: Major Wildfire (CalamityScore 64); cause of change not attributedseverity component 39.2 → 54.4population component 66.3 → 68.2