Rating
Latvia risk rating
Expired, last assessment only · Model activity-rating-2
Computed: 2026-10-10 00:51:47 UTC · Valid until: 2026-10-10 02:51:47 UTC
Coverage is selective. Missing or expired assessments do not mean zero hazard. Scores are heuristic indices, not calibrated probabilities. Model cards and limits
- state:
- partial
- missing Country:
- unassessed
- country Limit:
- 100
- forecast:
- assessed
- population Metric:
- urban event exposures not unique people
This is a last assessment, not a current rating. Its validity has expired or was not recorded. That does not establish that no events or hazards are present.
The rating is a composite index of reported activity; it does not measure structural vulnerability or coping capacity. It shares inputs with the Calamity Forecast Index. Neither index is a calibrated event probability. Model cards and formulas.
Rating components
Recorded hazard contributions
Mean event index: 41/100 · Eligible records: 1
Rating history
- BtoBindex 35 → 27Yellow → Green2d agoOperational status changed from yellow to greenCurrent dominant event: Moderate weather warning — Riga, Latvia (CalamityScore 41); cause of change not attributedseverity component 25.2 → 8.2population component 100.0 → 92.7forecast component 34.5 → 33.0
Operational status changed from yellow to green. Current dominant event: Moderate weather warning — Riga, Latvia (CalamityScore 41); cause of change not attributed. severity component 25.2 → 8.2. population component 100.0 → 92.7. forecast component 34.5 → 33.0. Context: EVENT: Moderate weather warning — Riga, Latvia — LV Detected: 2026-10-09T16:00:00.000Z CalamityScore: 41/100 Severity: medium URBAN EXPOSURE INDEX: 926,695 weighted city population units; not unique people or a census of the affected area CONTEXT: Country: LV. Consult current official local emergency instructions. This automated index does not issue evacuation orders. No scenario matched the configured rules; this does not establish absence of risk.
- BtoBindex 27 → 35Green → Yellow2d agoOperational status changed from green to yellowCurrent dominant event: Severe weather warning — Liepāja, Latvia (CalamityScore 45); cause of change not attributedseverity component 8.2 → 25.2population component 92.0 → 100.0forecast component 33.0 → 34.5
- BtoBindex 38 → 27Yellow → Green2d agoOperational status changed from yellow to greenCurrent dominant event: Moderate weather warning — Jūrmala, Latvia (CalamityScore 41); cause of change not attributedseverity component 28.4 → 8.2population component 100.0 → 92.0forecast component 42.0 → 33.0
- BtoBindex 27 → 38Green → Yellow11d agoOperational status changed from green to yellowCurrent dominant event: Moderate weather warning — Riga, Latvia (CalamityScore 41); cause of change not attributedseverity component 8.2 → 28.4population component 92.7 → 100.0forecast component 37.5 → 42.0
- CtoBindex 41 → 27Yellow → Green13d agoCountry rating changed from C to B (score 41 → 27)Operational status changed from yellow to greenCurrent dominant event: Moderate weather warning — Riga, Latvia (CalamityScore 41); cause of change not attributedseverity component 36.6 → 8.2population component 100.0 → 92.7forecast component 43.5 → 37.5
- BtoCindex 38 → 4113d agoCountry rating changed from B to C (score 38 → 41)Current dominant event: Moderate weather warning — Riga, Latvia (CalamityScore 41); cause of change not attributedseverity component 28.4 → 36.6forecast component 42.0 → 43.5
- BtoBindex 32 → 38Green → Yellow20d agoOperational status changed from green to yellowCurrent dominant event: Moderate weather warning — Riga, Latvia (CalamityScore 41); cause of change not attributedseverity component 16.4 → 28.4forecast component 39.0 → 42.0
- BtoBindex 38 → 32Yellow → Green20d agoOperational status changed from yellow to greenCurrent dominant event: Moderate weather warning — Jūrmala, Latvia (CalamityScore 41); cause of change not attributedseverity component 28.4 → 16.4forecast component 42.0 → 39.0
- BtoBindex 31 → 3821d agoActivity score changed from 31 to 38Current dominant event: Moderate weather warning — Riga, Latvia (CalamityScore 41); cause of change not attributedforecast component 0.0 → 42.0
- BtoBindex 38 → 3121d agoActivity score changed from 38 to 31Current dominant event: Moderate weather warning — Riga, Latvia (CalamityScore 41); cause of change not attributedforecast component 42.0 → 0.0
- AtoCindex 17 → 43Green → Yellow38d agoCountry rating changed from A to C (score 17 → 43)Operational status changed from green to yellowModerate weather warning — Jūrmala, Latvia (CalamityScore 41)
- AtoAindex 10 → 10Yellow → Green51d agoOperational status changed from yellow to greenUnhealthy Air Quality (AQI 159) (CalamityScore 14)
- AtoAindex 12 → 12Orange → Green110d agoOperational status changed from orange to greenUnhealthy Air Quality (AQI 154) (CalamityScore 14)
- AtoAindex 12 → 12Green → Orange110d agoOperational status changed from green to orangeHazardous Air Quality (AQI 331) (CalamityScore 14)
- AtoAindex 10 → 11Orange → Green110d agoOperational status changed from orange to greenUnhealthy Air Quality (AQI 178) (CalamityScore 14)
- AtoAindex 10 → 10Green → Orange110d agoOperational status changed from green to orangeHazardous Air Quality (AQI 400) (CalamityScore 14)
- AtoAindex 10 → 10Orange → Green153d agoOperational status changed from orange to greenUnhealthy Air Quality (AQI 162) (CalamityScore 14)
- AtoAindex 10 → 10Orange → Yellow154d agoOperational status changed from orange to yellowVery Unhealthy Air Quality (AQI 234) (CalamityScore 14)
- AtoAindex 10 → 10Green → Yellow154d agoOperational status changed from green to yellowVery Unhealthy Air Quality (AQI 294) (CalamityScore 14)
- AtoAindex 10 → 10Yellow → Orange156d agoOperational status changed from yellow to orangeHazardous Air Quality (AQI 428) (CalamityScore 14)