Rating
Moldova risk rating
Expired, last assessment only · Model activity-rating-2
Computed: 2026-10-03 11:58:58 UTC · Valid until: 2026-10-03 13:58:58 UTC
Coverage is selective. Missing or expired assessments do not mean zero hazard. Scores are heuristic indices, not calibrated probabilities. Model cards and limits
- state:
- partial
- missing Country:
- unassessed
- country Limit:
- 100
- forecast:
- assessed
- population Metric:
- urban event exposures not unique people
This is a last assessment, not a current rating. Its validity has expired or was not recorded. That does not establish that no events or hazards are present.
The rating is a composite index of reported activity; it does not measure structural vulnerability or coping capacity. It shares inputs with the Calamity Forecast Index. Neither index is a calibrated event probability. Model cards and formulas.
Rating components
Recorded hazard contributions
Mean event index: 9/100 · Eligible records: 1
Rating history
- CtoAindex 55 → 6Yellow → Green4d agoCountry rating changed from C to A (score 55 → 6)Operational status changed from yellow to greenCurrent dominant event: Moderate Wildfire (CalamityScore 9); cause of change not attributedseverity component 71.8 → 1.8population component 100.0 → 0.0forecast component 45.0 → 34.5
Country rating changed from C to A (score 55 → 6). Operational status changed from yellow to green. Current dominant event: Moderate Wildfire (CalamityScore 9); cause of change not attributed. severity component 71.8 → 1.8. population component 100.0 → 0.0. forecast component 45.0 → 34.5. Context: EVENT: Moderate Wildfire — MD Detected: 2026-10-03T01:00:00.000Z CalamityScore: 9/100 Severity: medium CONTEXT: Country: MD. Consult current official local emergency instructions. This automated index does not issue evacuation orders. No scenario matched the configured rules; this does not establish absence of risk.
- AtoCindex 7 → 55Green → Yellow5d agoCountry rating changed from A to C (score 7 → 55)Operational status changed from green to yellowCurrent dominant event: Moderate weather warning — Strășeni, Moldova (CalamityScore 41); cause of change not attributedseverity component 1.8 → 71.8population component 0.0 → 100.0forecast component 40.5 → 45.0
- AtoDindex 15 → 6632d agoCountry rating changed from A to D (score 15 → 66)Moderate weather warning — Orhei, Moldova (CalamityScore 41)
- AtoCindex 15 → 5533d agoCountry rating changed from A to C (score 15 → 55)Moderate weather warning — Orhei, Moldova (CalamityScore 41)
- AtoAindex 12 → 15Green → Yellow33d agoOperational status changed from green to yellowModerate Wildfire (CalamityScore 27)
- AtoAindex 13 → 12Yellow → Green33d agoOperational status changed from yellow to greenMinor Wildfire (CalamityScore 18)
- AtoAindex 15 → 12Yellow → Green33d agoOperational status changed from yellow to greenMinor Wildfire (CalamityScore 18)
- AtoAindex 15 → 17Green → Yellow37d agoOperational status changed from green to yellowModerate Wildfire (CalamityScore 39)
- AtoAindex 14 → 16Green → Yellow59d agoOperational status changed from green to yellowModerate Wildfire (CalamityScore 27)
- AtoAindex 14 → 16Green → Yellow59d agoOperational status changed from green to yellowModerate Wildfire (CalamityScore 27)
- AtoAindex 14 → 16Green → Yellow59d agoOperational status changed from green to yellowModerate Wildfire (CalamityScore 27)
- AtoAindex 15 → 13Yellow → Green63d agoOperational status changed from yellow to greenModerate Wildfire (CalamityScore 18)
- AtoAindex 15 → 13Yellow → Green63d agoOperational status changed from yellow to greenModerate Wildfire (CalamityScore 18)
- BtoAindex 21 → 1963d agoCountry rating changed from B to A (score 21 → 19)Large Wildfire (CalamityScore 39)
- BtoAindex 21 → 1963d agoCountry rating changed from B to A (score 21 → 19)Large Wildfire (CalamityScore 39)
- AtoBindex 20 → 2164d agoCountry rating changed from A to B (score 20 → 21)Large Wildfire (CalamityScore 39)
- AtoBindex 20 → 2164d agoCountry rating changed from A to B (score 20 → 21)Large Wildfire (CalamityScore 39)
- BtoAindex 21 → 20Orange → Yellow64d agoCountry rating changed from B to A (score 21 → 20)Operational status changed from orange to yellowModerate Wildfire (CalamityScore 35)
- AtoAindex 14 → 20Green → Orange64d agoOperational status changed from green to orangeModerate Wildfire (CalamityScore 35)
- AtoAindex 14 → 20Green → Orange64d agoOperational status changed from green to orangeModerate Wildfire (CalamityScore 35)