Rating
North Macedonia risk rating
Expired, last assessment only · Model activity-rating-2
Computed: 2026-10-10 12:16:22 UTC · Valid until: 2026-10-10 14:16:22 UTC
Coverage is selective. Missing or expired assessments do not mean zero hazard. Scores are heuristic indices, not calibrated probabilities. Model cards and limits
- state:
- partial
- missing Country:
- unassessed
- country Limit:
- 100
- forecast:
- assessed
- population Metric:
- urban event exposures not unique people
This is a last assessment, not a current rating. Its validity has expired or was not recorded. That does not establish that no events or hazards are present.
The rating is a composite index of reported activity; it does not measure structural vulnerability or coping capacity. It shares inputs with the Calamity Forecast Index. Neither index is a calibrated event probability. Model cards and formulas.
Rating components
Recorded hazard contributions
Mean event index: 20/100 · Eligible records: 1
Rating history
- BtoAindex 22 → 52d agoCountry rating changed from B to A (score 22 → 5)Current dominant event: Unhealthy Air Quality — Sensor.Community (CalamityScore 29); cause of change not attributedseverity component 12.4 → 5.8population component 55.4 → 0.0forecast component 39.0 → 18.0
Country rating changed from B to A (score 22 → 5). Current dominant event: Unhealthy Air Quality — Sensor.Community (CalamityScore 29); cause of change not attributed. severity component 12.4 → 5.8. population component 55.4 → 0.0. forecast component 39.0 → 18.0. Context: EVENT: Unhealthy Air Quality — Sensor.Community — MK Detected: 2026-10-10T03:29:59.000Z CalamityScore: 29/100 Severity: medium CONTEXT: Country: MK. Consult current official local emergency instructions. This automated index does not issue evacuation orders. No scenario matched the configured rules; this does not establish absence of risk.
- AtoBindex 17 → 226d agoCountry rating changed from A to B (score 17 → 22)Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 62); cause of change not attributedseverity component 12.8 → 12.4population component 32.4 → 55.4
- AtoAindex 12 → 177d agoActivity score changed from 12 to 17Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 64); cause of change not attributedseverity component 10.6 → 12.8population component 7.4 → 32.4
- AtoAindex 18 → 127d agoActivity score changed from 18 to 12Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 53); cause of change not attributedseverity component 22.0 → 10.6population component 17.4 → 7.4
- AtoAindex 9 → 188d agoActivity score changed from 9 to 18Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 57); cause of change not attributedseverity component 7.2 → 22.0population component 0.0 → 17.4
- AtoAindex 11 → 9Yellow → Green8d agoOperational status changed from yellow to greenCurrent dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 36); cause of change not attributedseverity component 11.4 → 7.2population component 3.8 → 0.0
- AtoAindex 7 → 11Green → Yellow9d agoOperational status changed from green to yellowCurrent dominant event: Moderate Wildfire (CalamityScore 39); cause of change not attributedseverity component 1.8 → 11.4population component 0.0 → 3.8
- AtoAindex 10 → 7Yellow → Green10d agoOperational status changed from yellow to greenCurrent dominant event: Moderate Wildfire (CalamityScore 9); cause of change not attributedseverity component 7.8 → 1.8population component 1.2 → 0.0forecast component 45.0 → 39.0
- AtoAindex 8 → 10Green → Yellow14d agoOperational status changed from green to yellowCurrent dominant event: Moderate Wildfire (CalamityScore 39); cause of change not attributedseverity component 3.6 → 7.8population component 0.0 → 1.2
- AtoAindex 11 → 8Yellow → Green14d agoOperational status changed from yellow to greenCurrent dominant event: Moderate Wildfire (CalamityScore 18); cause of change not attributedseverity component 7.8 → 3.6population component 3.9 → 0.0
- AtoAindex 8 → 11Green → Yellow19d agoOperational status changed from green to yellowCurrent dominant event: Moderate Wildfire (CalamityScore 39); cause of change not attributedseverity component 3.6 → 7.8population component 0.0 → 3.9
- AtoAindex 9 → 8Yellow → Green19d agoOperational status changed from yellow to greenCurrent dominant event: Moderate Wildfire (CalamityScore 18); cause of change not attributedseverity component 5.4 → 3.6
- AtoAindex 7 → 9Green → Yellow23d agoOperational status changed from green to yellowCurrent dominant event: Moderate Wildfire (CalamityScore 27); cause of change not attributedseverity component 1.8 → 5.4
- BtoBindex 21 → 31Orange → Red30d agoOperational status changed from orange to redMajor Wildfire (CalamityScore 57)
- AtoBindex 20 → 2331d agoCountry rating changed from A to B (score 20 → 23)Major Wildfire (CalamityScore 57)
- BtoAindex 21 → 2031d agoCountry rating changed from B to A (score 21 → 20)Major Wildfire (CalamityScore 48)
- AtoBindex 19 → 25Yellow → Orange32d agoCountry rating changed from A to B (score 19 → 25)Operational status changed from yellow to orangeMajor Wildfire (CalamityScore 48)
- BtoAindex 23 → 1932d agoCountry rating changed from B to A (score 23 → 19)Large Wildfire (CalamityScore 39)
- AtoBindex 19 → 2332d agoCountry rating changed from A to B (score 19 → 23)Unhealthy Air Quality (AQI 151) (CalamityScore 46)
- BtoAindex 40 → 19Red → Yellow32d agoCountry rating changed from B to A (score 40 → 19)Operational status changed from red to yellowLarge Wildfire (CalamityScore 39)