Rating

Mauritania risk rating

Last activity grade, not currentAindex 11.0/100
Operational statusYellow, expired
Last updated9d ago

Expired, last assessment only · Model activity-rating-2

Computed: 2026-10-03 00:00:23 UTC · Valid until: 2026-10-03 02:00:23 UTC

Coverage is selective. Missing or expired assessments do not mean zero hazard. Scores are heuristic indices, not calibrated probabilities. Model cards and limits

state:
partial
missing Country:
unassessed
country Limit:
100
forecast:
assessed
population Metric:
urban event exposures not unique people

This is a last assessment, not a current rating. Its validity has expired or was not recorded. That does not establish that no events or hazards are present.

The rating is a composite index of reported activity; it does not measure structural vulnerability or coping capacity. It shares inputs with the Calamity Forecast Index. Neither index is a calibrated event probability. Model cards and formulas.

Rating components

Summed event intensity1312.6/100
Scenario weight00.0/100
Cumulative urban PEI00.0/100
CFI activity proxy3837.5/100

Recorded hazard contributions

Fire

Mean event index: 32/100 · Eligible records: 2

Rating history

  1. BtoAindex 30 → 11Orange → Yellow10d ago
    Country rating changed from B to A (score 30 → 11)Operational status changed from orange to yellowCurrent dominant event: Large Wildfire (CalamityScore 36); cause of change not attributedseverity component 15.4 → 12.6cascade component 70.0 → 0.0forecast component 40.5 → 37.5

    Country rating changed from B to A (score 30 → 11). Operational status changed from orange to yellow. Current dominant event: Large Wildfire (CalamityScore 36); cause of change not attributed. severity component 15.4 → 12.6. cascade component 70.0 → 0.0. forecast component 40.5 → 37.5. Context: EVENT: Large Wildfire — MR Detected: 2026-10-01T14:37:00.000Z CalamityScore: 36/100 Severity: high CONTEXT: Country: MR. Consult current official local emergency instructions. This automated index does not issue evacuation orders. No scenario matched the configured rules; this does not establish absence of risk.

  2. AtoBindex 11 → 30Yellow → Orange10d ago
    Country rating changed from A to B (score 11 → 30)Operational status changed from yellow to orangeCurrent dominant event: Large Wildfire (CalamityScore 50); cause of change not attributed1 new cascade alert(s)severity component 12.6 → 15.4cascade component 0.0 → 70.0
  3. AtoAindex 9 → 11Green → Yellow11d ago
    Operational status changed from green to yellowCurrent dominant event: Moderate Wildfire (CalamityScore 27); cause of change not attributedseverity component 7.2 → 12.6forecast component 42.0 → 40.5
  4. AtoAindex 8 → 9Yellow → Green12d ago
    Operational status changed from yellow to greenCurrent dominant event: Moderate Wildfire (CalamityScore 18); cause of change not attributedseverity component 5.4 → 7.2forecast component 40.5 → 42.0
  5. AtoAindex 8 → 8Green → Yellow16d ago
    Operational status changed from green to yellowCurrent dominant event: Moderate Wildfire (CalamityScore 27); cause of change not attributedseverity component 3.6 → 5.4
  6. AtoAindex 10 → 8Yellow → Green17d ago
    Operational status changed from yellow to greenCurrent dominant event: Moderate Wildfire (CalamityScore 18); cause of change not attributedseverity component 9.0 → 3.6forecast component 43.5 → 40.5
  7. AtoAindex 7 → 10Green → Yellow21d ago
    Operational status changed from green to yellowCurrent dominant event: Moderate Wildfire (CalamityScore 27); cause of change not attributedseverity component 3.6 → 9.0forecast component 39.0 → 43.5
  8. AtoAindex 12 → 7Yellow → Green21d ago
    Operational status changed from yellow to greenCurrent dominant event: Minor Wildfire (CalamityScore 18); cause of change not attributedseverity component 12.6 → 3.6forecast component 46.5 → 39.0
  9. AtoAindex 9 → 12Green → Yellow22d ago
    Operational status changed from green to yellowCurrent dominant event: Large Wildfire (CalamityScore 27); cause of change not attributedseverity component 7.2 → 12.6forecast component 43.5 → 46.5
  10. AtoAindex 12 → 9Yellow → Green22d ago
    Operational status changed from yellow to greenCurrent dominant event: Minor Wildfire (CalamityScore 18); cause of change not attributedseverity component 12.6 → 7.2forecast component 46.5 → 43.5
  11. AtoAindex 8 → 12Green → Yellow23d ago
    Operational status changed from green to yellowCurrent dominant event: Large Wildfire (CalamityScore 27); cause of change not attributedseverity component 3.6 → 12.6forecast component 43.5 → 46.5
  12. AtoAindex 12 → 14Green → Yellow131d ago
    Operational status changed from green to yellowMinor Wildfire (CalamityScore 27)
  13. AtoAindex 12 → 14Green → Yellow131d ago
    Operational status changed from green to yellowMinor Wildfire (CalamityScore 27)
  14. AtoAindex 12 → 14Green → Yellow131d ago
    Operational status changed from green to yellowMinor Wildfire (CalamityScore 27)
  15. AtoAindex 12 → 14Green → Yellow131d ago
    Operational status changed from green to yellowMinor Wildfire (CalamityScore 27)
  16. AtoAindex 12 → 14Green → Yellow131d ago
    Operational status changed from green to yellowMinor Wildfire (CalamityScore 27)
  17. AtoAindex 12 → 14Green → Yellow131d ago
    Operational status changed from green to yellowMinor Wildfire (CalamityScore 27)
  18. AtoAindex 12 → 14Green → Yellow131d ago
    Operational status changed from green to yellowMinor Wildfire (CalamityScore 27)
  19. AtoAindex 12 → 14Green → Yellow131d ago
    Operational status changed from green to yellowMinor Wildfire (CalamityScore 27)
  20. AtoAindex 12 → 14Green → Yellow131d ago
    Operational status changed from green to yellowMinor Wildfire (CalamityScore 27)