Rating
Namibia risk rating
Activity gradeBindex 22.0/100
Operational statusYellow
Last updated26m ago
Current assessment · Model activity-rating-2
Computed: 2026-10-12 21:01:22 UTC · Valid until: 2026-10-12 23:01:22 UTC
Coverage is selective. Missing or expired assessments do not mean zero hazard. Scores are heuristic indices, not calibrated probabilities. Model cards and limits
- state:
- partial
- missing Country:
- unassessed
- country Limit:
- 100
- forecast:
- assessed
- population Metric:
- urban event exposures not unique people
The rating is a composite index of reported activity; it does not measure structural vulnerability or coping capacity. It shares inputs with the Calamity Forecast Index. Neither index is a calibrated event probability. Model cards and formulas.
Rating components
Summed event intensity31.6/100
Scenario weight0.0/100
Cumulative urban PEI0.0/100
CFI activity proxy60.0/100
Recorded hazard contributions
Fire
Mean event index: 40/100 · Eligible records: 4
Rating history
- AtoBindex 15 → 22Green → Yellow5h agoCountry rating changed from A to B (score 15 → 22)Operational status changed from green to yellowCurrent dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 43); cause of change not attributedseverity component 14.4 → 31.6
Country rating changed from A to B (score 15 → 22). Operational status changed from green to yellow. Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 43); cause of change not attributed. severity component 14.4 → 31.6. Context: EVENT: Extended satellite heat detection — NA Detected: 2026-10-12T12:40:00.000Z CalamityScore: 43/100 Severity: medium CONTEXT: Country: NA. Consult current official local emergency instructions. This automated index does not issue evacuation orders. No scenario matched the configured rules; this does not establish absence of risk.
- BtoAindex 35 → 15Yellow → Green21h agoCountry rating changed from B to A (score 35 → 15)Operational status changed from yellow to greenCurrent dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 36); cause of change not attributedseverity component 64.4 → 14.4population component 3.1 → 0.0
- CtoBindex 52 → 35Orange → Yellow1d agoCountry rating changed from C to B (score 52 → 35)Operational status changed from orange to yellowCurrent dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 55); cause of change not attributedseverity component 67.2 → 64.4cascade component 70.0 → 0.0forecast component 45.8 → 60.0
- DtoCindex 65 → 521d agoCountry rating changed from D to C (score 65 → 52)Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 55); cause of change not attributedseverity component 78.4 → 67.2cascade component 100.0 → 70.0population component 3.1 → 3.1forecast component 50.3 → 45.8
- CtoDindex 56 → 651d agoCountry rating changed from C to D (score 56 → 65)Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 57); cause of change not attributedseverity component 58.8 → 78.4population component 0.1 → 3.1
- CtoCindex 49 → 561d agoActivity score changed from 49 to 56Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 58); cause of change not attributed1 new cascade alert(s)severity component 41.6 → 58.8population component 0.5 → 0.1forecast component 49.5 → 50.3
- CtoCindex 41 → 491d agoActivity score changed from 41 to 49Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 58); cause of change not attributed3 new cascade alert(s)severity component 40.4 → 41.6cascade component 70.0 → 100.0population component 0.5 → 0.5forecast component 45.8 → 49.5
- CtoCindex 47 → 412d agoActivity score changed from 47 to 41Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 50); cause of change not attributedseverity component 43.2 → 40.4cascade component 90.0 → 70.0forecast component 47.3 → 45.8
- BtoCindex 28 → 472d agoCountry rating changed from B to C (score 28 → 47)Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 58); cause of change not attributed1 new cascade alert(s)severity component 10.0 → 43.2cascade component 70.0 → 90.0population component 0.0 → 0.5forecast component 45.8 → 47.3
- DtoBindex 72 → 282d agoCountry rating changed from D to B (score 72 → 28)Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 50); cause of change not attributedseverity component 96.6 → 10.0cascade component 100.0 → 70.0population component 1.8 → 0.0forecast component 50.3 → 45.8
- DtoDindex 67 → 723d agoActivity score changed from 67 to 72Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 62); cause of change not attributedseverity component 87.0 → 96.6population component 0.0 → 1.8
- DtoDindex 73 → 673d agoActivity score changed from 73 to 67Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 57); cause of change not attributedseverity component 100.0 → 87.0population component 0.3 → 0.0
- CtoDindex 48 → 738d agoCountry rating changed from C to D (score 48 → 73)Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 57); cause of change not attributed4 new cascade alert(s)severity component 40.0 → 100.0population component 0.0 → 0.3forecast component 49.5 → 50.3
- DtoCindex 72 → 488d agoCountry rating changed from D to C (score 72 → 48)Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 50); cause of change not attributedseverity component 97.6 → 40.0forecast component 54.8 → 49.5
- DtoDindex 67 → 728d agoActivity score changed from 67 to 72Current dominant event: Large Wildfire (CalamityScore 50); cause of change not attributed3 new cascade alert(s)severity component 100.0 → 97.6cascade component 70.0 → 100.0population component 2.5 → 0.0forecast component 57.0 → 54.8
- DtoDindex 74 → 679d agoActivity score changed from 74 to 67Current dominant event: Major Wildfire (CalamityScore 69); cause of change not attributedcascade component 100.0 → 70.0population component 3.0 → 2.5
- DtoDindex 67 → 749d agoActivity score changed from 67 to 74Current dominant event: Major Wildfire (CalamityScore 69); cause of change not attributed1 new cascade alert(s)severity component 90.4 → 100.0cascade component 90.0 → 100.0population component 1.4 → 3.0
- CtoDindex 59 → 679d agoCountry rating changed from C to D (score 59 → 67)Current dominant event: Major Wildfire (CalamityScore 69); cause of change not attributed1 new cascade alert(s)severity component 81.0 → 90.4cascade component 70.0 → 90.0
- DtoCindex 71 → 599d agoCountry rating changed from D to C (score 71 → 59)Current dominant event: Major Wildfire (CalamityScore 72); cause of change not attributedseverity component 100.0 → 81.0cascade component 90.0 → 70.0population component 1.3 → 1.4
- DtoDindex 63 → 7110d agoActivity score changed from 63 to 71Current dominant event: Major Wildfire (CalamityScore 69); cause of change not attributedseverity component 80.6 → 100.0population component 0.7 → 1.3