Rating
New Caledonia risk rating
Expired, last assessment only · Model activity-rating-2
Computed: 2026-09-30 18:14:15 UTC · Valid until: 2026-09-30 20:14:15 UTC
Coverage is selective. Missing or expired assessments do not mean zero hazard. Scores are heuristic indices, not calibrated probabilities. Model cards and limits
- state:
- partial
- missing Country:
- unassessed
- country Limit:
- 100
- forecast:
- assessed
- population Metric:
- urban event exposures not unique people
This is a last assessment, not a current rating. Its validity has expired or was not recorded. That does not establish that no events or hazards are present.
The rating is a composite index of reported activity; it does not measure structural vulnerability or coping capacity. It shares inputs with the Calamity Forecast Index. Neither index is a calibrated event probability. Model cards and formulas.
Rating components
Recorded hazard contributions
Mean event index: 16/100 · Eligible records: 1
Rating history
- AtoAindex 12 → 7Yellow → Green15d agoOperational status changed from yellow to greenCurrent dominant event: M 5.2 Earthquake (CalamityScore 18); cause of change not attributedseverity component 17.6 → 7.4forecast component 33.0 → 24.0
Operational status changed from yellow to green. Current dominant event: M 5.2 Earthquake (CalamityScore 18); cause of change not attributed. severity component 17.6 → 7.4. forecast component 33.0 → 24.0. Context: EVENT: M 5.2 Earthquake — NC Detected: 2026-09-26T12:14:58.406Z CalamityScore: 18/100 Severity: medium CONTEXT: Country: NC. Consult current official local emergency instructions. This automated index does not issue evacuation orders. No scenario matched the configured rules; this does not establish absence of risk.
- AtoAindex 17 → 1215d agoActivity score changed from 17 to 12Current dominant event: M 5.4 Earthquake (CalamityScore 20); cause of change not attributedseverity component 28.2 → 17.6forecast component 36.0 → 33.0
- AtoAindex 11 → 1716d agoActivity score changed from 11 to 17Current dominant event: M 6.6 Earthquake (CalamityScore 29); cause of change not attributedseverity component 15.6 → 28.2forecast component 28.5 → 36.0
- AtoAindex 5 → 1116d agoActivity score changed from 5 to 11Current dominant event: M 6.6 Earthquake (CalamityScore 29); cause of change not attributedseverity component 5.8 → 15.6forecast component 18.0 → 28.5
- AtoAindex 13 → 10Orange → Green29d agoOperational status changed from orange to greenM 5.0 Earthquake (CalamityScore 16)
- AtoAindex 9 → 13Green → Orange29d agoOperational status changed from green to orangeHazardous Air Quality (AQI 500) (CalamityScore 43)
- AtoAindex 12 → 9Orange → Green32d agoOperational status changed from orange to greenDisaster — Vanuatu (CalamityScore 9)
- AtoAindex 7 → 7Yellow → Green167d agoOperational status changed from yellow to greenUnhealthy Air Quality (AQI 184) (CalamityScore 31)
- AtoAindex 7 → 7Orange → Yellow167d agoOperational status changed from orange to yellowVery Unhealthy Air Quality (AQI 285) (CalamityScore 31)