Calamity
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Rating

Norway risk rating

Activity gradeBindex 28.0/100
Operational statusYellow
Last updated26m ago

Current assessment · Model activity-rating-2

Computed: 2026-10-12 21:01:22 UTC · Valid until: 2026-10-12 23:01:22 UTC

Coverage is selective. Missing or expired assessments do not mean zero hazard. Scores are heuristic indices, not calibrated probabilities. Model cards and limits

state:
partial
missing Country:
unassessed
country Limit:
100
forecast:
assessed
population Metric:
urban event exposures not unique people

The rating is a composite index of reported activity; it does not measure structural vulnerability or coping capacity. It shares inputs with the Calamity Forecast Index. Neither index is a calibrated event probability. Model cards and formulas.

Rating components

Summed event intensity3130.8/100
Scenario weight00.0/100
Cumulative urban PEI4645.9/100
CFI activity proxy4746.5/100

Recorded hazard contributions

Weather

Mean event index: 22/100 · Eligible records: 7

Rating history

  1. AtoBindex 16 → 2826m ago
    Country rating changed from A to B (score 16 → 28)Current dominant event: Moderate weather warning — Karmoey - Fedje, Norway (CalamityScore 37); cause of change not attributedseverity component 17.0 → 30.8population component 10.5 → 45.9

    Country rating changed from A to B (score 16 → 28). Current dominant event: Moderate weather warning — Karmoey - Fedje, Norway (CalamityScore 37); cause of change not attributed. severity component 17.0 → 30.8. population component 10.5 → 45.9. Context: EVENT: Moderate weather warning — Karmoey - Fedje, Norway — NO Detected: 2026-10-12T21:00:00.000Z CalamityScore: 37/100 Severity: medium URBAN EXPOSURE INDEX: 353,711 weighted city population units; not unique people or a census of the affected area CONTEXT: Country: NO. Consult current official local emergency instructions. This automated index does not issue evacuation orders. No scenario matched the configured rules; this does not establish absence of risk.

  2. AtoAindex 10 → 16Green → Yellow2h ago
    Operational status changed from green to yellowCurrent dominant event: Kuling, gult nivå, Åna-Sira - Karmøy, 2026-10-12T12:00:00+00:00, 2026-10-12T22:00:00+00:00 (CalamityScore 37); cause of change not attributedseverity component 6.4 → 17.0population component 0.0 → 10.5
  3. AtoAindex 20 → 102d ago
    Activity score changed from 20 to 10Current dominant event: Kuling, gult nivå, Frøya - Rørvik, 2026-10-09T20:00:00+00:00, 2026-10-10T12:00:00+00:00 (CalamityScore 16); cause of change not attributedseverity component 13.8 → 6.4population component 35.4 → 0.0
  4. BtoAindex 23 → 20Yellow → Green3d ago
    Country rating changed from B to A (score 23 → 20)Operational status changed from yellow to greenCurrent dominant event: Kuling, gult nivå, Slåtterøy - Fedje, 2026-10-09T20:00:00+00:00, 2026-10-09T23:00:00+00:00 (CalamityScore 37); cause of change not attributedseverity component 19.4 → 13.8population component 39.4 → 35.4
  5. AtoBindex 11 → 23Green → Yellow3d ago
    Country rating changed from A to B (score 11 → 23)Operational status changed from green to yellowCurrent dominant event: Kuling, gult nivå, Slåtterøy - Fedje, 2026-10-09T20:00:00+00:00, 2026-10-09T23:00:00+00:00 (CalamityScore 37); cause of change not attributedseverity component 8.8 → 19.4population component 4.0 → 39.4
  6. AtoAindex 19 → 11Yellow → Green3d ago
    Operational status changed from yellow to greenCurrent dominant event: Kuling, gult nivå, Karmøy - Slåtterøy, 2026-10-09T14:00:00+00:00, 2026-10-09T21:00:00+00:00 (CalamityScore 28); cause of change not attributedseverity component 22.6 → 8.8population component 14.5 → 4.0
  7. BtoAindex 28 → 193d ago
    Country rating changed from B to A (score 28 → 19)Current dominant event: Kuling, gult nivå, Åna-Sira - Karmøy, 2026-10-09T12:00:00+00:00, 2026-10-09T18:00:00+00:00 (CalamityScore 37); cause of change not attributedseverity component 34.2 → 22.6population component 35.6 → 14.5
  8. AtoBindex 18 → 28Green → Yellow3d ago
    Country rating changed from A to B (score 18 → 28)Operational status changed from green to yellowCurrent dominant event: Kuling, Utsira Sør, 09 oktober 14:00 UTC til 09 oktober 17:00 UTC. (CalamityScore 37); cause of change not attributedseverity component 18.0 → 34.2population component 21.0 → 35.6
  9. AtoAindex 8 → 183d ago
    Activity score changed from 8 to 18Current dominant event: Kuling, Utsira Sør, 09 oktober 13:00 UTC til 09 oktober 17:00 UTC. (CalamityScore 37); cause of change not attributedseverity component 3.2 → 18.0population component 0.0 → 21.0
  10. AtoAindex 13 → 84d ago
    Activity score changed from 13 to 8Current dominant event: Snø, gult nivå, Fjelloverganger i deler av Troms og Finnmark, 2026-10-08T12:00:00+00:00, 2026-10-09T10:00:00+00:00 (CalamityScore 16); cause of change not attributedseverity component 10.6 → 3.2population component 10.5 → 0.0
  11. AtoAindex 20 → 13Yellow → Green4d ago
    Operational status changed from yellow to greenCurrent dominant event: Kuling, gult nivå, Åna-Sira - Obrestad, 2026-10-08T11:01:00+00:00, 2026-10-08T20:00:00+00:00 (CalamityScore 37); cause of change not attributedseverity component 21.2 → 10.6population component 21.0 → 10.5
  12. BtoAindex 21 → 204d ago
    Country rating changed from B to A (score 21 → 20)Current dominant event: Kuling, gult nivå, Åna-Sira - Obrestad, 2026-10-08T11:01:00+00:00, 2026-10-08T20:00:00+00:00 (CalamityScore 37); cause of change not attributedseverity component 23.6 → 21.2population component 25.1 → 21.0
  13. AtoBindex 20 → 21Green → Yellow4d ago
    Country rating changed from A to B (score 20 → 21)Operational status changed from green to yellowCurrent dominant event: Kuling, gult nivå, Åna-Sira - Slåtterøy, 2026-10-08T11:01:00+00:00, 2026-10-08T18:00:00+00:00 (CalamityScore 37); cause of change not attributedseverity component 20.4 → 23.6
  14. BtoAindex 26 → 204d ago
    Country rating changed from B to A (score 26 → 20)Current dominant event: Kuling, gult nivå, Åna-Sira - Slåtterøy, 2026-10-08T11:01:00+00:00, 2026-10-08T18:00:00+00:00 (CalamityScore 37); cause of change not attributedpopulation component 53.0 → 25.1
  15. BtoBindex 27 → 26Yellow → Green4d ago
    Operational status changed from yellow to greenCurrent dominant event: Kuling, gult nivå, Åna-Sira - Karmøy, 2026-10-08T07:00:00+00:00, 2026-10-08T20:00:00+00:00 (CalamityScore 37); cause of change not attributedseverity component 23.6 → 20.4
  16. AtoBindex 19 → 27Green → Yellow4d ago
    Country rating changed from A to B (score 19 → 27)Operational status changed from green to yellowCurrent dominant event: Kuling, gult nivå, Åna-Sira - Karmøy, 2026-10-08T07:00:00+00:00, 2026-10-08T20:00:00+00:00 (CalamityScore 37); cause of change not attributedseverity component 10.6 → 23.6population component 38.4 → 53.0
  17. BtoAindex 23 → 194d ago
    Country rating changed from B to A (score 23 → 19)Current dominant event: Kuling, gult nivå, Svenskegrensa - Stavern, 2026-10-07T23:00:00+00:00, 2026-10-08T15:00:00+00:00 (CalamityScore 37); cause of change not attributedseverity component 17.0 → 10.6population component 44.5 → 38.4
  18. BtoBindex 24 → 23Yellow → Green4d ago
    Operational status changed from yellow to greenCurrent dominant event: Kuling, gult nivå, Svenskegrensa - Stavern, 2026-10-07T23:00:00+00:00, 2026-10-08T15:00:00+00:00 (CalamityScore 37); cause of change not attributedseverity component 20.2 → 17.0
  19. AtoBindex 13 → 24Green → Yellow4d ago
    Country rating changed from A to B (score 13 → 24)Operational status changed from green to yellowCurrent dominant event: Kuling, gult nivå, Svenskegrensa - Stavern, 2026-10-07T23:00:00+00:00, 2026-10-08T15:00:00+00:00 (CalamityScore 37); cause of change not attributedseverity component 12.8 → 20.2population component 6.0 → 44.5
  20. AtoAindex 15 → 13Yellow → Green4d ago
    Operational status changed from yellow to greenCurrent dominant event: Kuling, gult nivå, Hekkingen - Loppa, 2026-10-07T17:45:00+00:00, 2026-10-08T06:00:00+00:00 (CalamityScore 32); cause of change not attributedseverity component 19.2 → 12.8population component 0.0 → 6.0
Forecast for NorwayActive events in Norway