Calamity
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Rating

Norway risk rating

Activity gradeCindex 60.0/100
Operational statusYellow
Last updated17m ago

Current assessment · Model activity-rating-2

Computed: 2026-10-13 07:12:22 UTC · Valid until: 2026-10-13 09:12:22 UTC

Coverage is selective. Missing or expired assessments do not mean zero hazard. Scores are heuristic indices, not calibrated probabilities. Model cards and limits

state:
partial
missing Country:
unassessed
country Limit:
100
forecast:
assessed
population Metric:
urban event exposures not unique people

The rating is a composite index of reported activity; it does not measure structural vulnerability or coping capacity. It shares inputs with the Calamity Forecast Index. Neither index is a calibrated event probability. Model cards and formulas.

Rating components

Summed event intensity9796.8/100
Scenario weight00.0/100
Cumulative urban PEI6766.7/100
CFI activity proxy5151.0/100

Recorded hazard contributions

Weather

Mean event index: 19/100 · Eligible records: 26

Rating history

  1. DtoCindex 61 → 6017m ago
    Country rating changed from D to C (score 61 → 60)Current dominant event: Moderate weather warning — Aana-Sira - Karmoey, Norway (CalamityScore 37); cause of change not attributedseverity component 100.0 → 96.8

    Country rating changed from D to C (score 61 → 60). Current dominant event: Moderate weather warning — Aana-Sira - Karmoey, Norway (CalamityScore 37); cause of change not attributed. severity component 100.0 → 96.8. Context: EVENT: Moderate weather warning — Aana-Sira - Karmoey, Norway — NO Detected: 2026-10-12T22:00:00.000Z CalamityScore: 37/100 Severity: medium URBAN EXPOSURE INDEX: 294,170 weighted city population units; not unique people or a census of the affected area CONTEXT: Country: NO. Consult current official local emergency instructions. This automated index does not issue evacuation orders. No scenario matched the configured rules; this does not establish absence of risk.

  2. CtoDindex 59 → 611h ago
    Country rating changed from C to D (score 59 → 61)Current dominant event: Moderate weather warning — Aana-Sira - Karmoey, Norway (CalamityScore 37); cause of change not attributedseverity component 96.4 → 100.0population component 64.8 → 66.7
  3. CtoCindex 52 → 593h ago
    Activity score changed from 52 to 59Current dominant event: Moderate weather warning — Aana-Sira - Karmoey, Norway (CalamityScore 37); cause of change not attributedseverity component 78.8 → 96.4forecast component 49.5 → 51.0
  4. CtoCindex 47 → 524h ago
    Activity score changed from 47 to 52Current dominant event: Moderate weather warning — Aana-Sira - Karmoey, Norway (CalamityScore 37); cause of change not attributedseverity component 66.0 → 78.8forecast component 48.0 → 49.5
  5. BtoCindex 39 → 477h ago
    Country rating changed from B to C (score 39 → 47)Current dominant event: Moderate weather warning — Aana-Sira - Karmoey, Norway (CalamityScore 37); cause of change not attributedseverity component 46.8 → 66.0forecast component 46.5 → 48.0
  6. BtoBindex 28 → 399h ago
    Activity score changed from 28 to 39Current dominant event: Moderate weather warning — Aana-Sira - Karmoey, Norway (CalamityScore 37); cause of change not attributedseverity component 30.8 → 46.8population component 45.9 → 64.8
  7. AtoBindex 16 → 2810h ago
    Country rating changed from A to B (score 16 → 28)Current dominant event: Moderate weather warning — Karmoey - Fedje, Norway (CalamityScore 37); cause of change not attributedseverity component 17.0 → 30.8population component 10.5 → 45.9
  8. AtoAindex 10 → 16Green → Yellow12h ago
    Operational status changed from green to yellowCurrent dominant event: Kuling, gult nivå, Åna-Sira - Karmøy, 2026-10-12T12:00:00+00:00, 2026-10-12T22:00:00+00:00 (CalamityScore 37); cause of change not attributedseverity component 6.4 → 17.0population component 0.0 → 10.5
  9. AtoAindex 20 → 103d ago
    Activity score changed from 20 to 10Current dominant event: Kuling, gult nivå, Frøya - Rørvik, 2026-10-09T20:00:00+00:00, 2026-10-10T12:00:00+00:00 (CalamityScore 16); cause of change not attributedseverity component 13.8 → 6.4population component 35.4 → 0.0
  10. BtoAindex 23 → 20Yellow → Green3d ago
    Country rating changed from B to A (score 23 → 20)Operational status changed from yellow to greenCurrent dominant event: Kuling, gult nivå, Slåtterøy - Fedje, 2026-10-09T20:00:00+00:00, 2026-10-09T23:00:00+00:00 (CalamityScore 37); cause of change not attributedseverity component 19.4 → 13.8population component 39.4 → 35.4
  11. AtoBindex 11 → 23Green → Yellow3d ago
    Country rating changed from A to B (score 11 → 23)Operational status changed from green to yellowCurrent dominant event: Kuling, gult nivå, Slåtterøy - Fedje, 2026-10-09T20:00:00+00:00, 2026-10-09T23:00:00+00:00 (CalamityScore 37); cause of change not attributedseverity component 8.8 → 19.4population component 4.0 → 39.4
  12. AtoAindex 19 → 11Yellow → Green3d ago
    Operational status changed from yellow to greenCurrent dominant event: Kuling, gult nivå, Karmøy - Slåtterøy, 2026-10-09T14:00:00+00:00, 2026-10-09T21:00:00+00:00 (CalamityScore 28); cause of change not attributedseverity component 22.6 → 8.8population component 14.5 → 4.0
  13. BtoAindex 28 → 193d ago
    Country rating changed from B to A (score 28 → 19)Current dominant event: Kuling, gult nivå, Åna-Sira - Karmøy, 2026-10-09T12:00:00+00:00, 2026-10-09T18:00:00+00:00 (CalamityScore 37); cause of change not attributedseverity component 34.2 → 22.6population component 35.6 → 14.5
  14. AtoBindex 18 → 28Green → Yellow3d ago
    Country rating changed from A to B (score 18 → 28)Operational status changed from green to yellowCurrent dominant event: Kuling, Utsira Sør, 09 oktober 14:00 UTC til 09 oktober 17:00 UTC. (CalamityScore 37); cause of change not attributedseverity component 18.0 → 34.2population component 21.0 → 35.6
  15. AtoAindex 8 → 183d ago
    Activity score changed from 8 to 18Current dominant event: Kuling, Utsira Sør, 09 oktober 13:00 UTC til 09 oktober 17:00 UTC. (CalamityScore 37); cause of change not attributedseverity component 3.2 → 18.0population component 0.0 → 21.0
  16. AtoAindex 13 → 84d ago
    Activity score changed from 13 to 8Current dominant event: Snø, gult nivå, Fjelloverganger i deler av Troms og Finnmark, 2026-10-08T12:00:00+00:00, 2026-10-09T10:00:00+00:00 (CalamityScore 16); cause of change not attributedseverity component 10.6 → 3.2population component 10.5 → 0.0
  17. AtoAindex 20 → 13Yellow → Green4d ago
    Operational status changed from yellow to greenCurrent dominant event: Kuling, gult nivå, Åna-Sira - Obrestad, 2026-10-08T11:01:00+00:00, 2026-10-08T20:00:00+00:00 (CalamityScore 37); cause of change not attributedseverity component 21.2 → 10.6population component 21.0 → 10.5
  18. BtoAindex 21 → 204d ago
    Country rating changed from B to A (score 21 → 20)Current dominant event: Kuling, gult nivå, Åna-Sira - Obrestad, 2026-10-08T11:01:00+00:00, 2026-10-08T20:00:00+00:00 (CalamityScore 37); cause of change not attributedseverity component 23.6 → 21.2population component 25.1 → 21.0
  19. AtoBindex 20 → 21Green → Yellow4d ago
    Country rating changed from A to B (score 20 → 21)Operational status changed from green to yellowCurrent dominant event: Kuling, gult nivå, Åna-Sira - Slåtterøy, 2026-10-08T11:01:00+00:00, 2026-10-08T18:00:00+00:00 (CalamityScore 37); cause of change not attributedseverity component 20.4 → 23.6
  20. BtoAindex 26 → 204d ago
    Country rating changed from B to A (score 26 → 20)Current dominant event: Kuling, gult nivå, Åna-Sira - Slåtterøy, 2026-10-08T11:01:00+00:00, 2026-10-08T18:00:00+00:00 (CalamityScore 37); cause of change not attributedpopulation component 53.0 → 25.1
Forecast for NorwayActive events in Norway