Rating

Peru risk rating

Activity gradeAindex 5.0/100
Operational statusGreen
Last updated20m ago

Current assessment · Model activity-rating-2

Computed: 2026-10-13 05:00:31 UTC · Valid until: 2026-10-13 07:00:31 UTC

Coverage is selective. Missing or expired assessments do not mean zero hazard. Scores are heuristic indices, not calibrated probabilities. Model cards and limits

state:
partial
missing Country:
unassessed
country Limit:
100
forecast:
assessed
population Metric:
urban event exposures not unique people

The rating is a composite index of reported activity; it does not measure structural vulnerability or coping capacity. It shares inputs with the Calamity Forecast Index. Neither index is a calibrated event probability. Model cards and formulas.

Rating components

Summed event intensity66.0/100
Scenario weight00.0/100
Cumulative urban PEI21.8/100
CFI activity proxy1818.0/100

Recorded hazard contributions

Earthquake

Mean event index: 30/100 · Eligible records: 1

Rating history

  1. BtoAindex 29 → 5Yellow → Green5h ago
    Country rating changed from B to A (score 29 → 5)Operational status changed from yellow to greenCurrent dominant event: M 5.2 Earthquake (CalamityScore 30); cause of change not attributedseverity component 50.4 → 6.0population component 14.6 → 1.8forecast component 39.0 → 18.0

    Country rating changed from B to A (score 29 → 5). Operational status changed from yellow to green. Current dominant event: M 5.2 Earthquake (CalamityScore 30); cause of change not attributed. severity component 50.4 → 6.0. population component 14.6 → 1.8. forecast component 39.0 → 18.0. Context: EVENT: M 5.2 Earthquake — PE Detected: 2026-10-11T13:43:00.700Z CalamityScore: 30/100 Severity: medium URBAN EXPOSURE INDEX: 18,260 weighted city population units; not unique people or a census of the affected area CONTEXT: Country: PE. Consult current official local emergency instructions. This automated index does not issue evacuation orders. No scenario matched the configured rules; this does not establish absence of risk.

  2. CtoBindex 54 → 291d ago
    Country rating changed from C to B (score 54 → 29)Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 59); cause of change not attributedseverity component 91.2 → 50.4population component 58.8 → 14.6
  3. BtoCindex 38 → 541d ago
    Country rating changed from B to C (score 38 → 54)Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 64); cause of change not attributedseverity component 65.0 → 91.2population component 14.5 → 58.8forecast component 60.0 → 39.0
  4. DtoBindex 66 → 382d ago
    Country rating changed from D to B (score 66 → 38)Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 59); cause of change not attributedseverity component 100.0 → 65.0population component 84.8 → 14.5
  5. CtoDindex 58 → 662d ago
    Country rating changed from C to D (score 58 → 66)Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 59); cause of change not attributedseverity component 87.8 → 100.0population component 69.8 → 84.8
  6. BtoCindex 38 → 582d ago
    Country rating changed from B to C (score 38 → 58)Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 59); cause of change not attributedseverity component 57.4 → 87.8population component 31.4 → 69.8
  7. BtoBindex 30 → 382d ago
    Activity score changed from 30 to 38Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 57); cause of change not attributedseverity component 43.6 → 57.4population component 17.2 → 31.4
  8. CtoBindex 57 → 303d ago
    Country rating changed from C to B (score 57 → 30)Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 57); cause of change not attributedseverity component 100.0 → 43.6population component 42.1 → 17.2
  9. CtoCindex 43 → 573d ago
    Activity score changed from 43 to 57Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 59); cause of change not attributedseverity component 73.2 → 100.0population component 23.4 → 42.1
  10. CtoCindex 60 → 434d ago
    Activity score changed from 60 to 43Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 59); cause of change not attributedseverity component 100.0 → 73.2population component 53.8 → 23.4
  11. CtoCindex 54 → 604d ago
    Activity score changed from 54 to 60Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 64); cause of change not attributedpopulation component 26.2 → 53.8
  12. CtoCindex 46 → 544d ago
    Activity score changed from 46 to 54Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 64); cause of change not attributedseverity component 84.0 → 100.0population component 18.6 → 26.2
  13. DtoCindex 69 → 465d ago
    Country rating changed from D to C (score 69 → 46)Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 64); cause of change not attributedseverity component 100.0 → 84.0population component 100.0 → 18.6
  14. DtoDindex 63 → 695d ago
    Activity score changed from 63 to 69Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 64); cause of change not attributedpopulation component 71.6 → 100.0
  15. DtoDindex 69 → 636d ago
    Activity score changed from 69 to 63Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 64); cause of change not attributedpopulation component 100.0 → 71.6
  16. DtoDindex 64 → 696d ago
    Activity score changed from 64 to 69Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 64); cause of change not attributedpopulation component 75.6 → 100.0
  17. CtoDindex 56 → 646d ago
    Country rating changed from C to D (score 56 → 64)Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 64); cause of change not attributedpopulation component 35.8 → 75.6
  18. DtoCindex 69 → 567d ago
    Country rating changed from D to C (score 69 → 56)Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 64); cause of change not attributedpopulation component 100.0 → 35.8
  19. CtoDindex 47 → 697d ago
    Country rating changed from C to D (score 47 → 69)Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 64); cause of change not attributedseverity component 74.8 → 100.0population component 41.4 → 100.0
  20. DtoCindex 69 → 477d ago
    Country rating changed from D to C (score 69 → 47)Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 57); cause of change not attributedseverity component 100.0 → 74.8population component 100.0 → 41.4