Rating
Pakistan risk rating
Expired, last assessment only · Model activity-rating-2
Computed: 2026-10-11 12:45:07 UTC · Valid until: 2026-10-11 14:45:07 UTC
Coverage is selective. Missing or expired assessments do not mean zero hazard. Scores are heuristic indices, not calibrated probabilities. Model cards and limits
- state:
- partial
- missing Country:
- unassessed
- country Limit:
- 100
- forecast:
- assessed
- population Metric:
- urban event exposures not unique people
This is a last assessment, not a current rating. Its validity has expired or was not recorded. That does not establish that no events or hazards are present.
The rating is a composite index of reported activity; it does not measure structural vulnerability or coping capacity. It shares inputs with the Calamity Forecast Index. Neither index is a calibrated event probability. Model cards and formulas.
Rating components
Recorded hazard contributions
Mean event index: 29/100 · Eligible records: 1
Rating history
- BtoAindex 32 → 6Yellow → Green12d agoCountry rating changed from B to A (score 32 → 6)Operational status changed from yellow to greenCurrent dominant event: Unhealthy Air Quality — Sensor.Community (CalamityScore 29); cause of change not attributedseverity component 42.6 → 5.8population component 55.8 → 0.0forecast component 27.0 → 25.5
Country rating changed from B to A (score 32 → 6). Operational status changed from yellow to green. Current dominant event: Unhealthy Air Quality — Sensor.Community (CalamityScore 29); cause of change not attributed. severity component 42.6 → 5.8. population component 55.8 → 0.0. forecast component 27.0 → 25.5. Context: EVENT: Unhealthy Air Quality — Sensor.Community — PK Detected: 2026-09-30T05:54:53.000Z CalamityScore: 29/100 Severity: medium CONTEXT: Country: PK. Consult current official local emergency instructions. This automated index does not issue evacuation orders. No scenario matched the configured rules; this does not establish absence of risk.
- BtoBindex 25 → 3217d agoActivity score changed from 25 to 32Current dominant event: Unhealthy Air Quality (AQI 164) (CalamityScore 50); cause of change not attributedseverity component 38.2 → 42.6population component 30.2 → 55.8
- CtoBindex 54 → 2518d agoCountry rating changed from C to B (score 54 → 25)Current dominant event: Unhealthy Air Quality (AQI 153) (CalamityScore 50); cause of change not attributedseverity component 74.2 → 38.2population component 100.0 → 30.2forecast component 31.5 → 27.0
- BtoCindex 34 → 5419d agoCountry rating changed from B to C (score 34 → 54)Current dominant event: Very Unhealthy Air Quality (AQI 220) (CalamityScore 57); cause of change not attributedseverity component 45.0 → 74.2population component 58.9 → 100.0forecast component 27.0 → 31.5
- CtoBindex 43 → 3419d agoCountry rating changed from C to B (score 43 → 34)Current dominant event: Unhealthy Air Quality (AQI 154) (CalamityScore 50); cause of change not attributedseverity component 64.4 → 45.0population component 62.6 → 58.9forecast component 31.5 → 27.0
- BtoCindex 29 → 4320d agoCountry rating changed from B to C (score 29 → 43)Current dominant event: Unhealthy Air Quality (AQI 167) (CalamityScore 50); cause of change not attributedseverity component 32.2 → 64.4population component 63.4 → 62.6forecast component 25.5 → 31.5
- CtoBindex 45 → 2920d agoCountry rating changed from C to B (score 45 → 29)Current dominant event: Unhealthy Air Quality (AQI 152) (CalamityScore 50); cause of change not attributedseverity component 63.0 → 32.2population component 73.5 → 63.4forecast component 31.5 → 25.5
- BtoCindex 39 → 4521d agoCountry rating changed from B to C (score 39 → 45)Current dominant event: Unhealthy Air Quality (AQI 162) (CalamityScore 50); cause of change not attributedseverity component 59.6 → 63.0population component 53.0 → 73.5forecast component 30.0 → 31.5
- CtoBindex 48 → 3921d agoCountry rating changed from C to B (score 48 → 39)Current dominant event: Unhealthy Air Quality (AQI 158) (CalamityScore 50); cause of change not attributedseverity component 63.8 → 59.6population component 89.1 → 53.0
- BtoCindex 35 → 4822d agoCountry rating changed from B to C (score 35 → 48)Current dominant event: Unhealthy Air Quality (AQI 156) (CalamityScore 50); cause of change not attributedseverity component 51.4 → 63.8population component 50.0 → 89.1forecast component 28.5 → 30.0
- BtoBindex 26 → 35Orange → Yellow22d agoOperational status changed from orange to yellowCurrent dominant event: Unhealthy Air Quality (AQI 166) (CalamityScore 50); cause of change not attributedseverity component 41.8 → 51.4population component 26.5 → 50.0forecast component 27.0 → 28.5
- AtoBindex 20 → 2622d agoCountry rating changed from A to B (score 20 → 26)Current dominant event: Unhealthy Air Quality (AQI 169) (CalamityScore 50); cause of change not attributedseverity component 34.2 → 41.8population component 14.0 → 26.5forecast component 25.5 → 27.0
- AtoAindex 19 → 20Yellow → Orange23d agoOperational status changed from yellow to orangeCurrent dominant event: Unhealthy Air Quality (AQI 170) (CalamityScore 46); cause of change not attributedseverity component 29.8 → 34.2population component 16.4 → 14.0
- AtoAindex 6 → 19Green → Yellow24d agoOperational status changed from green to yellowCurrent dominant event: Unhealthy Air Quality (AQI 152) (CalamityScore 50); cause of change not attributedseverity component 5.8 → 29.8population component 0.0 → 16.4
- BtoAindex 26 → 624d agoCountry rating changed from B to A (score 26 → 6)Current dominant event: Unhealthy Air Quality (AQI 163) (CalamityScore 29); cause of change not attributedseverity component 28.2 → 5.8population component 55.6 → 0.0
- AtoBindex 19 → 2624d agoCountry rating changed from A to B (score 19 → 26)Current dominant event: Unhealthy Air Quality (AQI 155) (CalamityScore 50); cause of change not attributedseverity component 24.0 → 28.2population component 27.3 → 55.6
- AtoAindex 14 → 1925d agoActivity score changed from 14 to 19Current dominant event: Unhealthy Air Quality (AQI 159) (CalamityScore 50); cause of change not attributedseverity component 22.2 → 24.0population component 7.0 → 27.3
- BtoAindex 32 → 14Orange → Green25d agoCountry rating changed from B to A (score 32 → 14)Operational status changed from orange to greenCurrent dominant event: Unhealthy Air Quality (AQI 154) (CalamityScore 41); cause of change not attributedseverity component 30.8 → 22.2population component 77.3 → 7.0
- BtoBindex 29 → 32Yellow → Orange26d agoOperational status changed from yellow to orangeCurrent dominant event: Hazardous Air Quality (AQI 360) (CalamityScore 68); cause of change not attributedseverity component 44.2 → 30.8population component 37.4 → 77.3forecast component 27.0 → 25.5
- BtoBindex 22 → 29Orange → Yellow26d agoOperational status changed from orange to yellowCurrent dominant event: Very Unhealthy Air Quality (AQI 237) (CalamityScore 53); cause of change not attributedseverity component 30.8 → 44.2population component 27.3 → 37.4forecast component 25.5 → 27.0