Rating

Pakistan risk rating

Last activity grade, not currentAindex 6.0/100
Operational statusGreen, expired
Last updated1d ago

Expired, last assessment only · Model activity-rating-2

Computed: 2026-10-11 12:45:07 UTC · Valid until: 2026-10-11 14:45:07 UTC

Coverage is selective. Missing or expired assessments do not mean zero hazard. Scores are heuristic indices, not calibrated probabilities. Model cards and limits

state:
partial
missing Country:
unassessed
country Limit:
100
forecast:
assessed
population Metric:
urban event exposures not unique people

This is a last assessment, not a current rating. Its validity has expired or was not recorded. That does not establish that no events or hazards are present.

The rating is a composite index of reported activity; it does not measure structural vulnerability or coping capacity. It shares inputs with the Calamity Forecast Index. Neither index is a calibrated event probability. Model cards and formulas.

Rating components

Summed event intensity65.8/100
Scenario weight00.0/100
Cumulative urban PEI00.0/100
CFI activity proxy2625.5/100

Recorded hazard contributions

Air Quality

Mean event index: 29/100 · Eligible records: 1

Rating history

  1. BtoAindex 32 → 6Yellow → Green12d ago
    Country rating changed from B to A (score 32 → 6)Operational status changed from yellow to greenCurrent dominant event: Unhealthy Air Quality — Sensor.Community (CalamityScore 29); cause of change not attributedseverity component 42.6 → 5.8population component 55.8 → 0.0forecast component 27.0 → 25.5

    Country rating changed from B to A (score 32 → 6). Operational status changed from yellow to green. Current dominant event: Unhealthy Air Quality — Sensor.Community (CalamityScore 29); cause of change not attributed. severity component 42.6 → 5.8. population component 55.8 → 0.0. forecast component 27.0 → 25.5. Context: EVENT: Unhealthy Air Quality — Sensor.Community — PK Detected: 2026-09-30T05:54:53.000Z CalamityScore: 29/100 Severity: medium CONTEXT: Country: PK. Consult current official local emergency instructions. This automated index does not issue evacuation orders. No scenario matched the configured rules; this does not establish absence of risk.

  2. BtoBindex 25 → 3217d ago
    Activity score changed from 25 to 32Current dominant event: Unhealthy Air Quality (AQI 164) (CalamityScore 50); cause of change not attributedseverity component 38.2 → 42.6population component 30.2 → 55.8
  3. CtoBindex 54 → 2518d ago
    Country rating changed from C to B (score 54 → 25)Current dominant event: Unhealthy Air Quality (AQI 153) (CalamityScore 50); cause of change not attributedseverity component 74.2 → 38.2population component 100.0 → 30.2forecast component 31.5 → 27.0
  4. BtoCindex 34 → 5419d ago
    Country rating changed from B to C (score 34 → 54)Current dominant event: Very Unhealthy Air Quality (AQI 220) (CalamityScore 57); cause of change not attributedseverity component 45.0 → 74.2population component 58.9 → 100.0forecast component 27.0 → 31.5
  5. CtoBindex 43 → 3419d ago
    Country rating changed from C to B (score 43 → 34)Current dominant event: Unhealthy Air Quality (AQI 154) (CalamityScore 50); cause of change not attributedseverity component 64.4 → 45.0population component 62.6 → 58.9forecast component 31.5 → 27.0
  6. BtoCindex 29 → 4320d ago
    Country rating changed from B to C (score 29 → 43)Current dominant event: Unhealthy Air Quality (AQI 167) (CalamityScore 50); cause of change not attributedseverity component 32.2 → 64.4population component 63.4 → 62.6forecast component 25.5 → 31.5
  7. CtoBindex 45 → 2920d ago
    Country rating changed from C to B (score 45 → 29)Current dominant event: Unhealthy Air Quality (AQI 152) (CalamityScore 50); cause of change not attributedseverity component 63.0 → 32.2population component 73.5 → 63.4forecast component 31.5 → 25.5
  8. BtoCindex 39 → 4521d ago
    Country rating changed from B to C (score 39 → 45)Current dominant event: Unhealthy Air Quality (AQI 162) (CalamityScore 50); cause of change not attributedseverity component 59.6 → 63.0population component 53.0 → 73.5forecast component 30.0 → 31.5
  9. CtoBindex 48 → 3921d ago
    Country rating changed from C to B (score 48 → 39)Current dominant event: Unhealthy Air Quality (AQI 158) (CalamityScore 50); cause of change not attributedseverity component 63.8 → 59.6population component 89.1 → 53.0
  10. BtoCindex 35 → 4822d ago
    Country rating changed from B to C (score 35 → 48)Current dominant event: Unhealthy Air Quality (AQI 156) (CalamityScore 50); cause of change not attributedseverity component 51.4 → 63.8population component 50.0 → 89.1forecast component 28.5 → 30.0
  11. BtoBindex 26 → 35Orange → Yellow22d ago
    Operational status changed from orange to yellowCurrent dominant event: Unhealthy Air Quality (AQI 166) (CalamityScore 50); cause of change not attributedseverity component 41.8 → 51.4population component 26.5 → 50.0forecast component 27.0 → 28.5
  12. AtoBindex 20 → 2622d ago
    Country rating changed from A to B (score 20 → 26)Current dominant event: Unhealthy Air Quality (AQI 169) (CalamityScore 50); cause of change not attributedseverity component 34.2 → 41.8population component 14.0 → 26.5forecast component 25.5 → 27.0
  13. AtoAindex 19 → 20Yellow → Orange23d ago
    Operational status changed from yellow to orangeCurrent dominant event: Unhealthy Air Quality (AQI 170) (CalamityScore 46); cause of change not attributedseverity component 29.8 → 34.2population component 16.4 → 14.0
  14. AtoAindex 6 → 19Green → Yellow24d ago
    Operational status changed from green to yellowCurrent dominant event: Unhealthy Air Quality (AQI 152) (CalamityScore 50); cause of change not attributedseverity component 5.8 → 29.8population component 0.0 → 16.4
  15. BtoAindex 26 → 624d ago
    Country rating changed from B to A (score 26 → 6)Current dominant event: Unhealthy Air Quality (AQI 163) (CalamityScore 29); cause of change not attributedseverity component 28.2 → 5.8population component 55.6 → 0.0
  16. AtoBindex 19 → 2624d ago
    Country rating changed from A to B (score 19 → 26)Current dominant event: Unhealthy Air Quality (AQI 155) (CalamityScore 50); cause of change not attributedseverity component 24.0 → 28.2population component 27.3 → 55.6
  17. AtoAindex 14 → 1925d ago
    Activity score changed from 14 to 19Current dominant event: Unhealthy Air Quality (AQI 159) (CalamityScore 50); cause of change not attributedseverity component 22.2 → 24.0population component 7.0 → 27.3
  18. BtoAindex 32 → 14Orange → Green25d ago
    Country rating changed from B to A (score 32 → 14)Operational status changed from orange to greenCurrent dominant event: Unhealthy Air Quality (AQI 154) (CalamityScore 41); cause of change not attributedseverity component 30.8 → 22.2population component 77.3 → 7.0
  19. BtoBindex 29 → 32Yellow → Orange26d ago
    Operational status changed from yellow to orangeCurrent dominant event: Hazardous Air Quality (AQI 360) (CalamityScore 68); cause of change not attributedseverity component 44.2 → 30.8population component 37.4 → 77.3forecast component 27.0 → 25.5
  20. BtoBindex 22 → 29Orange → Yellow26d ago
    Operational status changed from orange to yellowCurrent dominant event: Very Unhealthy Air Quality (AQI 237) (CalamityScore 53); cause of change not attributedseverity component 30.8 → 44.2population component 27.3 → 37.4forecast component 25.5 → 27.0