Rating
Paraguay risk rating
Expired, last assessment only · Model activity-rating-2
Computed: 2026-10-09 23:43:44 UTC · Valid until: 2026-10-10 01:43:44 UTC
Coverage is selective. Missing or expired assessments do not mean zero hazard. Scores are heuristic indices, not calibrated probabilities. Model cards and limits
- state:
- partial
- missing Country:
- unassessed
- country Limit:
- 100
- forecast:
- assessed
- population Metric:
- urban event exposures not unique people
This is a last assessment, not a current rating. Its validity has expired or was not recorded. That does not establish that no events or hazards are present.
The rating is a composite index of reported activity; it does not measure structural vulnerability or coping capacity. It shares inputs with the Calamity Forecast Index. Neither index is a calibrated event probability. Model cards and formulas.
Rating components
Recorded hazard contributions
Mean event index: 40/100 · Eligible records: 2
Rating history
- BtoAindex 34 → 11Orange → Green3d agoCountry rating changed from B to A (score 34 → 11)Operational status changed from orange to greenCurrent dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 36); cause of change not attributedseverity component 63.0 → 7.2
Country rating changed from B to A (score 34 → 11). Operational status changed from orange to green. Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 36); cause of change not attributed. severity component 63.0 → 7.2. Context: EVENT: Extended satellite heat detection — PY Detected: 2026-10-08T05:48:00.000Z CalamityScore: 36/100 Severity: medium CONTEXT: Country: PY. Consult current official local emergency instructions. This automated index does not issue evacuation orders. No scenario matched the configured rules; this does not establish absence of risk.
- CtoBindex 50 → 348d agoCountry rating changed from C to B (score 50 → 34)Current dominant event: Moderate Wildfire (CalamityScore 27); cause of change not attributedseverity component 100.0 → 63.0population component 9.7 → 0.0forecast component 57.0 → 55.5
- CtoCindex 45 → 509d agoActivity score changed from 45 to 50Current dominant event: Large Wildfire (CalamityScore 44); cause of change not attributedseverity component 87.8 → 100.0population component 9.9 → 9.7forecast component 55.5 → 57.0
- AtoCindex 15 → 45Yellow → Orange9d agoCountry rating changed from A to C (score 15 → 45)Operational status changed from yellow to orangeCurrent dominant event: Large Wildfire (CalamityScore 44); cause of change not attributedseverity component 16.2 → 87.8population component 0.0 → 9.9
- AtoAindex 10 → 159d agoActivity score changed from 10 to 15Current dominant event: Major Wildfire (CalamityScore 27); cause of change not attributedseverity component 3.6 → 16.2
- CtoAindex 47 → 10Orange → Yellow10d agoCountry rating changed from C to A (score 47 → 10)Operational status changed from orange to yellowCurrent dominant event: Large Wildfire (CalamityScore 18); cause of change not attributedseverity component 93.8 → 3.6population component 1.5 → 0.0forecast component 61.5 → 55.5
- CtoCindex 51 → 47Red → Orange12d agoOperational status changed from red to orangeCurrent dominant event: Large Wildfire (CalamityScore 43); cause of change not attributedseverity component 100.0 → 93.8population component 6.8 → 1.5forecast component 64.5 → 61.5
- CtoCindex 49 → 51Orange → Red13d agoOperational status changed from orange to redCurrent dominant event: Major Wildfire (CalamityScore 48); cause of change not attributedpopulation component 0.0 → 6.8forecast component 61.5 → 64.5
- CtoCindex 56 → 4916d agoActivity score changed from 56 to 49Current dominant event: Major Wildfire (CalamityScore 43); cause of change not attributedpopulation component 34.2 → 0.0forecast component 63.0 → 61.5
- CtoCindex 48 → 5617d agoActivity score changed from 48 to 56Current dominant event: Moderate Wildfire (CalamityScore 48); cause of change not attributedseverity component 98.6 → 100.0population component 0.0 → 34.2forecast component 60.0 → 63.0
- BtoCindex 37 → 4817d agoCountry rating changed from B to C (score 37 → 48)Current dominant event: Major Wildfire (CalamityScore 43); cause of change not attributedseverity component 69.8 → 98.6forecast component 58.5 → 60.0
- BtoBindex 32 → 3717d agoActivity score changed from 32 to 37Current dominant event: Major Wildfire (CalamityScore 43); cause of change not attributedseverity component 57.6 → 69.8
- BtoBindex 22 → 32Yellow → Orange18d agoOperational status changed from yellow to orangeCurrent dominant event: Large Wildfire (CalamityScore 36); cause of change not attributedseverity component 32.4 → 57.6
- AtoBindex 11 → 22Green → Yellow18d agoCountry rating changed from A to B (score 11 → 22)Operational status changed from green to yellowCurrent dominant event: Moderate Wildfire (CalamityScore 27); cause of change not attributedseverity component 5.4 → 32.4
- CtoAindex 41 → 11Orange → Green19d agoCountry rating changed from C to A (score 41 → 11)Operational status changed from orange to greenCurrent dominant event: Moderate Wildfire (CalamityScore 18); cause of change not attributedseverity component 80.0 → 5.4population component 0.9 → 0.0
- CtoCindex 48 → 4120d agoActivity score changed from 48 to 41Current dominant event: Major Wildfire (CalamityScore 43); cause of change not attributedseverity component 98.0 → 80.0
- CtoCindex 41 → 4820d agoActivity score changed from 41 to 48Current dominant event: Major Wildfire (CalamityScore 43); cause of change not attributedseverity component 80.2 → 98.0population component 0.0 → 0.9
- BtoCindex 33 → 4120d agoCountry rating changed from B to C (score 33 → 41)Current dominant event: Major Wildfire (CalamityScore 43); cause of change not attributedseverity component 60.8 → 80.2
- BtoBindex 22 → 3321d agoActivity score changed from 22 to 33Current dominant event: Major Wildfire (CalamityScore 43); cause of change not attributedseverity component 32.0 → 60.8
- AtoBindex 13 → 22Yellow → Orange21d agoCountry rating changed from A to B (score 13 → 22)Operational status changed from yellow to orangeCurrent dominant event: Large Wildfire (CalamityScore 43); cause of change not attributedseverity component 10.8 → 32.0