Rating
Sweden risk rating
Current assessment · Model activity-rating-2
Computed: 2026-10-13 15:51:51 UTC · Valid until: 2026-10-13 17:51:51 UTC
Coverage is selective. Missing or expired assessments do not mean zero hazard. Scores are heuristic indices, not calibrated probabilities. Model cards and limits
- state:
- partial
- missing Country:
- unassessed
- country Limit:
- 100
- forecast:
- assessed
- population Metric:
- urban event exposures not unique people
The rating is a composite index of reported activity; it does not measure structural vulnerability or coping capacity. It shares inputs with the Calamity Forecast Index. Neither index is a calibrated event probability. Model cards and formulas.
Rating components
Recorded hazard contributions
Mean event index: 21/100 · Eligible records: 6
Rating history
- AtoAindex 13 → 191h agoActivity score changed from 13 to 19Current dominant event: Moderate weather warning — Kattegat, Sweden (CalamityScore 32); cause of change not attributedseverity component 15.2 → 24.8population component 5.0 → 12.7forecast component 39.0 → 42.0
Activity score changed from 13 to 19. Current dominant event: Moderate weather warning — Kattegat, Sweden (CalamityScore 32); cause of change not attributed. severity component 15.2 → 24.8. population component 5.0 → 12.7. forecast component 39.0 → 42.0. Context: EVENT: Moderate weather warning — Kattegat, Sweden — SE Detected: 2026-10-13T14:00:00.000Z CalamityScore: 32/100 Severity: medium URBAN EXPOSURE INDEX: 77,045 weighted city population units; not unique people or a census of the affected area CONTEXT: Country: SE. Consult current official local emergency instructions. This automated index does not issue evacuation orders. No scenario matched the configured rules; this does not establish absence of risk.
- AtoAindex 7 → 13Green → Yellow7h agoOperational status changed from green to yellowCurrent dominant event: Wind in the alpine region — Southern Jämtland Mountains and northwestern Härjedal Mountains (CalamityScore 28); cause of change not attributedseverity component 5.6 → 15.2population component 2.3 → 5.0forecast component 28.5 → 39.0
- BtoAindex 31 → 74d agoCountry rating changed from B to A (score 31 → 7)Current dominant event: Wind — Northwest Gotland and up over Fårö (CalamityScore 28); cause of change not attributedseverity component 14.8 → 5.6population component 100.0 → 2.3forecast component 34.5 → 28.5
- AtoBindex 7 → 314d agoCountry rating changed from A to B (score 7 → 31)Current dominant event: Wind — Parts of eastern Svealand and Gävleborg County. (CalamityScore 46); cause of change not attributedseverity component 5.6 → 14.8population component 2.3 → 100.0forecast component 28.5 → 34.5
- AtoAindex 17 → 74d agoActivity score changed from 17 to 7Current dominant event: Wind — Fårösund and Fårö. (CalamityScore 28); cause of change not attributedseverity component 13.0 → 5.6population component 33.7 → 2.3forecast component 34.5 → 28.5
- BtoAindex 24 → 174d agoCountry rating changed from B to A (score 24 → 17)Current dominant event: Wind — Parts of Gävleborg and Uppsala counties. (CalamityScore 37); cause of change not attributedseverity component 20.4 → 13.0population component 49.3 → 33.7forecast component 37.5 → 34.5
- AtoBindex 20 → 245d agoCountry rating changed from A to B (score 20 → 24)Current dominant event: Wind — Parts of Gävleborg and Uppsala counties. (CalamityScore 37); cause of change not attributedseverity component 14.8 → 20.4population component 47.0 → 49.3forecast component 34.5 → 37.5
- AtoAindex 13 → 205d agoActivity score changed from 13 to 20Current dominant event: Wind — Parts of Gävleborg and Uppsala counties. (CalamityScore 37); cause of change not attributedseverity component 10.6 → 14.8population component 15.7 → 47.0
- AtoAindex 7 → 135d agoActivity score changed from 7 to 13Current dominant event: High water discharge — Bohuslän, Dalsland, and southwestern Värmland provinces (CalamityScore 37); cause of change not attributedseverity component 1.8 → 10.6population component 0.0 → 15.7forecast component 39.0 → 34.5
- AtoAindex 16 → 7Red → Green14d agoOperational status changed from red to greenCurrent dominant event: Moderate Wildfire (CalamityScore 9); cause of change not attributedseverity component 27.6 → 1.8forecast component 32.3 → 39.0
- AtoAindex 10 → 1623d agoActivity score changed from 10 to 16Current dominant event: Hazardous Air Quality — Sensor.Community (CalamityScore 43); cause of change not attributedseverity component 17.2 → 27.6forecast component 22.5 → 32.3
- AtoAindex 10 → 10Orange → Red27d agoOperational status changed from orange to redCurrent dominant event: Hazardous Air Quality — Sensor.Community (CalamityScore 43); cause of change not attributedseverity component 15.8 → 17.2
- AtoAindex 10 → 10Red → Orange28d agoOperational status changed from red to orangeCurrent dominant event: Hazardous Air Quality — Sensor.Community (CalamityScore 43); cause of change not attributedseverity component 17.2 → 15.8
- BtoAindex 21 → 2030d agoCountry rating changed from B to A (score 21 → 20)Hazardous Air Quality — Sensor.Community (CalamityScore 43)
- AtoBindex 20 → 2130d agoCountry rating changed from A to B (score 20 → 21)Hazardous Air Quality — Sensor.Community (CalamityScore 43)
- BtoAindex 23 → 2031d agoCountry rating changed from B to A (score 23 → 20)Hazardous Air Quality — Sensor.Community (CalamityScore 43)
- BtoBindex 23 → 23Orange → Red31d agoOperational status changed from orange to redHazardous Air Quality — Sensor.Community (CalamityScore 43)
- AtoBindex 18 → 2332d agoCountry rating changed from A to B (score 18 → 23)Hazardous Air Quality — Sensor.Community (CalamityScore 43)
- BtoAindex 23 → 1832d agoCountry rating changed from B to A (score 23 → 18)Hazardous Air Quality — Sensor.Community (CalamityScore 43)
- BtoBindex 23 → 23Red → Orange32d agoOperational status changed from red to orangeHazardous Air Quality — Sensor.Community (CalamityScore 43)