Rating

Suriname risk rating

Last activity grade, not currentAindex 8.0/100
Operational statusGreen, expired
Last updated21h ago

Expired, last assessment only · Model activity-rating-2

Computed: 2026-10-11 23:31:59 UTC · Valid until: 2026-10-12 01:31:59 UTC

Coverage is selective. Missing or expired assessments do not mean zero hazard. Scores are heuristic indices, not calibrated probabilities. Model cards and limits

state:
partial
missing Country:
unassessed
country Limit:
100
forecast:
assessed
population Metric:
urban event exposures not unique people

This is a last assessment, not a current rating. Its validity has expired or was not recorded. That does not establish that no events or hazards are present.

The rating is a composite index of reported activity; it does not measure structural vulnerability or coping capacity. It shares inputs with the Calamity Forecast Index. Neither index is a calibrated event probability. Model cards and formulas.

Rating components

Summed event intensity55.4/100
Scenario weight00.0/100
Cumulative urban PEI00.0/100
CFI activity proxy4140.5/100

Recorded hazard contributions

Fire

Mean event index: 27/100 · Eligible records: 1

Rating history

  1. BtoAindex 22 → 9Yellow → Green2d ago
    Country rating changed from B to A (score 22 → 9)Operational status changed from yellow to greenCurrent dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 36); cause of change not attributedseverity component 36.4 → 7.2population component 7.4 → 0.0forecast component 42.0 → 40.5

    Country rating changed from B to A (score 22 → 9). Operational status changed from yellow to green. Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 36); cause of change not attributed. severity component 36.4 → 7.2. population component 7.4 → 0.0. forecast component 42.0 → 40.5. Context: EVENT: Extended satellite heat detection — SR Detected: 2026-10-09T18:04:00.000Z CalamityScore: 36/100 Severity: medium CONTEXT: Country: SR. Consult current official local emergency instructions. This automated index does not issue evacuation orders. No scenario matched the configured rules; this does not establish absence of risk.

  2. AtoBindex 16 → 22Green → Yellow3d ago
    Country rating changed from A to B (score 16 → 22)Operational status changed from green to yellowCurrent dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 53); cause of change not attributedseverity component 24.4 → 36.4population component 0.7 → 7.4forecast component 40.5 → 42.0
  3. BtoAindex 24 → 16Yellow → Green3d ago
    Country rating changed from B to A (score 24 → 16)Operational status changed from yellow to greenCurrent dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 50); cause of change not attributedseverity component 36.4 → 24.4population component 14.0 → 0.7forecast component 42.0 → 40.5
  4. AtoBindex 20 → 244d ago
    Country rating changed from A to B (score 20 → 24)Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 57); cause of change not attributedseverity component 33.2 → 36.4population component 1.0 → 14.0
  5. AtoAindex 9 → 20Green → Yellow4d ago
    Operational status changed from green to yellowCurrent dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 44); cause of change not attributedseverity component 8.6 → 33.2population component 0.0 → 1.0forecast component 39.0 → 42.0
  6. BtoAindex 22 → 9Yellow → Green4d ago
    Country rating changed from B to A (score 22 → 9)Operational status changed from yellow to greenCurrent dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 43); cause of change not attributedseverity component 34.0 → 8.6population component 12.8 → 0.0forecast component 42.0 → 39.0
  7. AtoBindex 16 → 22Green → Yellow5d ago
    Country rating changed from A to B (score 16 → 22)Operational status changed from green to yellowCurrent dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 57); cause of change not attributedseverity component 24.0 → 34.0population component 3.3 → 12.8forecast component 39.0 → 42.0
  8. AtoAindex 9 → 165d ago
    Activity score changed from 9 to 16Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 48); cause of change not attributedseverity component 7.2 → 24.0population component 0.0 → 3.3
  9. AtoAindex 11 → 9Yellow → Green7d ago
    Operational status changed from yellow to greenCurrent dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 36); cause of change not attributedseverity component 12.6 → 7.2
  10. AtoAindex 18 → 11Orange → Yellow8d ago
    Operational status changed from orange to yellowCurrent dominant event: Moderate Wildfire (CalamityScore 27); cause of change not attributedseverity component 27.0 → 12.6forecast component 45.0 → 39.0
  11. AtoAindex 17 → 18Yellow → Orange9d ago
    Operational status changed from yellow to orangeCurrent dominant event: Large Wildfire (CalamityScore 27); cause of change not attributedseverity component 25.2 → 27.0
  12. BtoAindex 24 → 17Orange → Yellow9d ago
    Country rating changed from B to A (score 24 → 17)Operational status changed from orange to yellowCurrent dominant event: Large Wildfire (CalamityScore 27); cause of change not attributedseverity component 41.4 → 25.2forecast component 48.0 → 45.0
  13. AtoBindex 14 → 24Yellow → Orange10d ago
    Country rating changed from A to B (score 14 → 24)Operational status changed from yellow to orangeCurrent dominant event: Major Wildfire (CalamityScore 36); cause of change not attributedseverity component 18.0 → 41.4forecast component 42.0 → 48.0
  14. AtoAindex 18 → 14Orange → Yellow10d ago
    Operational status changed from orange to yellowCurrent dominant event: Moderate Wildfire (CalamityScore 27); cause of change not attributedseverity component 28.8 → 18.0forecast component 43.5 → 42.0
  15. AtoAindex 14 → 18Yellow → Orange11d ago
    Operational status changed from yellow to orangeCurrent dominant event: Major Wildfire (CalamityScore 36); cause of change not attributedseverity component 18.0 → 28.8forecast component 42.0 → 43.5
  16. AtoAindex 17 → 14Orange → Yellow11d ago
    Operational status changed from orange to yellowCurrent dominant event: Moderate Wildfire (CalamityScore 27); cause of change not attributedseverity component 23.4 → 18.0forecast component 49.5 → 42.0
  17. AtoAindex 13 → 17Yellow → Orange12d ago
    Operational status changed from yellow to orangeCurrent dominant event: Large Wildfire (CalamityScore 27); cause of change not attributedseverity component 14.4 → 23.4forecast component 45.0 → 49.5
  18. AtoAindex 8 → 13Green → Yellow12d ago
    Operational status changed from green to yellowCurrent dominant event: Moderate Wildfire (CalamityScore 27); cause of change not attributedseverity component 3.6 → 14.4forecast component 43.5 → 45.0
  19. AtoAindex 13 → 8Yellow → Green12d ago
    Operational status changed from yellow to greenCurrent dominant event: Minor Wildfire (CalamityScore 18); cause of change not attributedseverity component 16.2 → 3.6forecast component 46.5 → 43.5
  20. AtoAindex 10 → 13Green → Yellow13d ago
    Operational status changed from green to yellowCurrent dominant event: Minor Wildfire (CalamityScore 27); cause of change not attributedseverity component 9.0 → 16.2forecast component 45.0 → 46.5