Rating
South Sudan risk rating
Expired, last assessment only · Model activity-rating-2
Computed: 2026-10-11 23:31:59 UTC · Valid until: 2026-10-12 01:31:59 UTC
Coverage is selective. Missing or expired assessments do not mean zero hazard. Scores are heuristic indices, not calibrated probabilities. Model cards and limits
- state:
- partial
- missing Country:
- unassessed
- country Limit:
- 100
- forecast:
- assessed
- population Metric:
- urban event exposures not unique people
This is a last assessment, not a current rating. Its validity has expired or was not recorded. That does not establish that no events or hazards are present.
The rating is a composite index of reported activity; it does not measure structural vulnerability or coping capacity. It shares inputs with the Calamity Forecast Index. Neither index is a calibrated event probability. Model cards and formulas.
Rating components
Recorded hazard contributions
Mean event index: 43/100 · Eligible records: 4
Rating history
- CtoBindex 49 → 221d agoCountry rating changed from C to B (score 49 → 22)Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 50); cause of change not attributedseverity component 100.0 → 34.6population component 5.5 → 1.4
Country rating changed from C to B (score 49 → 22). Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 50); cause of change not attributed. severity component 100.0 → 34.6. population component 5.5 → 1.4. Context: EVENT: Extended satellite heat detection — SS Detected: 2026-10-10T11:45:00.000Z CalamityScore: 50/100 Severity: medium URBAN EXPOSURE INDEX: 3,852 weighted city population units; not unique people or a census of the affected area CONTEXT: Country: SS. Consult current official local emergency instructions. This automated index does not issue evacuation orders. No scenario matched the configured rules; this does not establish absence of risk.
- BtoCindex 25 → 492d agoCountry rating changed from B to C (score 25 → 49)Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 50); cause of change not attributedseverity component 42.4 → 100.0population component 0.0 → 5.5
- CtoBindex 42 → 252d agoCountry rating changed from C to B (score 42 → 25)Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 43); cause of change not attributedseverity component 86.0 → 42.4population component 0.2 → 0.0
- BtoCindex 38 → 423d agoCountry rating changed from B to C (score 38 → 42)Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 44); cause of change not attributedseverity component 75.6 → 86.0
- BtoBindex 31 → 383d agoActivity score changed from 31 to 38Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 44); cause of change not attributedseverity component 58.6 → 75.6population component 0.0 → 0.2
- CtoBindex 42 → 313d agoCountry rating changed from C to B (score 42 → 31)Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 43); cause of change not attributedseverity component 85.0 → 58.6population component 0.1 → 0.0
- BtoCindex 23 → 424d agoCountry rating changed from B to C (score 23 → 42)Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 43); cause of change not attributedseverity component 38.4 → 85.0population component 0.0 → 0.1
- BtoBindex 34 → 234d agoActivity score changed from 34 to 23Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 43); cause of change not attributedseverity component 64.8 → 38.4population component 0.4 → 0.0forecast component 51.0 → 52.5
- BtoBindex 24 → 345d agoActivity score changed from 24 to 34Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 44); cause of change not attributedseverity component 41.2 → 64.8population component 0.4 → 0.4
- CtoBindex 48 → 245d agoCountry rating changed from C to B (score 48 → 24)Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 44); cause of change not attributedseverity component 100.0 → 41.2population component 1.2 → 0.4
- CtoCindex 42 → 486d agoActivity score changed from 42 to 48Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 48); cause of change not attributedseverity component 84.8 → 100.0population component 0.0 → 1.2
- BtoCindex 32 → 426d agoCountry rating changed from B to C (score 32 → 42)Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 43); cause of change not attributedseverity component 61.8 → 84.8
- CtoBindex 51 → 326d agoCountry rating changed from C to B (score 51 → 32)Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 43); cause of change not attributedseverity component 93.2 → 61.8population component 29.4 → 0.0
- BtoCindex 35 → 517d agoCountry rating changed from B to C (score 35 → 51)Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 50); cause of change not attributedseverity component 67.2 → 93.2population component 2.8 → 29.4
- CtoBindex 54 → 357d agoCountry rating changed from C to B (score 54 → 35)Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 50); cause of change not attributedseverity component 100.0 → 67.2population component 31.4 → 2.8
- BtoCindex 27 → 548d agoCountry rating changed from B to C (score 27 → 54)Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 55); cause of change not attributedseverity component 47.0 → 100.0population component 0.5 → 31.4
- CtoBindex 53 → 27Red → Yellow8d agoCountry rating changed from C to B (score 53 → 27)Operational status changed from red to yellowCurrent dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 46); cause of change not attributedseverity component 100.0 → 47.0population component 20.7 → 0.5forecast component 57.0 → 51.0
- CtoCindex 48 → 53Orange → Red9d agoOperational status changed from orange to redCurrent dominant event: Large Wildfire (CalamityScore 48); cause of change not attributedpopulation component 0.4 → 20.7forecast component 54.0 → 57.0
- BtoCindex 39 → 489d agoCountry rating changed from B to C (score 39 → 48)Current dominant event: Major Wildfire (CalamityScore 43); cause of change not attributedseverity component 76.4 → 100.0population component 1.0 → 0.4forecast component 52.5 → 54.0
- CtoBindex 41 → 399d agoCountry rating changed from C to B (score 41 → 39)Current dominant event: Large Wildfire (CalamityScore 46); cause of change not attributedseverity component 81.2 → 76.4