Rating
Tanzania risk rating
Activity gradeDindex 69.0/100
Operational statusYellow
Last updated27m ago
Current assessment · Model activity-rating-2
Computed: 2026-10-12 21:01:22 UTC · Valid until: 2026-10-12 23:01:22 UTC
Coverage is selective. Missing or expired assessments do not mean zero hazard. Scores are heuristic indices, not calibrated probabilities. Model cards and limits
- state:
- partial
- missing Country:
- unassessed
- country Limit:
- 100
- forecast:
- assessed
- population Metric:
- urban event exposures not unique people
The rating is a composite index of reported activity; it does not measure structural vulnerability or coping capacity. It shares inputs with the Calamity Forecast Index. Neither index is a calibrated event probability. Model cards and formulas.
Rating components
Summed event intensity100.0/100
Scenario weight0.0/100
Cumulative urban PEI100.0/100
CFI activity proxy63.0/100
Recorded hazard contributions
Fire
Mean event index: 45/100 · Eligible records: 71
Rating history
- CtoDindex 59 → 698h agoCountry rating changed from C to D (score 59 → 69)Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 64); cause of change not attributedpopulation component 49.2 → 100.0
Country rating changed from C to D (score 59 → 69). Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 64); cause of change not attributed. population component 49.2 → 100.0. Context: EVENT: Extended satellite heat detection — TZ Detected: 2026-10-12T11:02:00.000Z CalamityScore: 64/100 Severity: medium URBAN EXPOSURE INDEX: 183,713 weighted city population units; not unique people or a census of the affected area CONTEXT: Country: TZ. Consult current official local emergency instructions. This automated index does not issue evacuation orders. No scenario matched the configured rules; this does not establish absence of risk.
- DtoCindex 66 → 5921h agoCountry rating changed from D to C (score 66 → 59)Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 64); cause of change not attributedpopulation component 81.0 → 49.2
- CtoDindex 57 → 664d agoCountry rating changed from C to D (score 57 → 66)Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 64); cause of change not attributedpopulation component 37.5 → 81.0
- DtoCindex 66 → 574d agoCountry rating changed from D to C (score 66 → 57)Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 64); cause of change not attributedpopulation component 81.3 → 37.5
- CtoDindex 54 → 666d agoCountry rating changed from C to D (score 54 → 66)Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 64); cause of change not attributedpopulation component 24.5 → 81.3
- DtoCindex 65 → 546d agoCountry rating changed from D to C (score 65 → 54)Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 55); cause of change not attributedpopulation component 78.9 → 24.5
- DtoDindex 69 → 65Red → Yellow8d agoOperational status changed from red to yellowCurrent dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 63); cause of change not attributedpopulation component 100.0 → 78.9
- EtoDindex 82 → 698d agoCountry rating changed from E to D (score 82 → 69)Current dominant event: Major Wildfire (CalamityScore 63); cause of change not attributedcascade component 70.0 → 0.0population component 84.1 → 100.0forecast component 53.3 → 63.0
- DtoEindex 65 → 828d agoCountry rating changed from D to E (score 65 → 82)Current dominant event: Major Wildfire (CalamityScore 63); cause of change not attributed1 new cascade alert(s)cascade component 0.0 → 70.0population component 78.9 → 84.1forecast component 63.0 → 53.3
- EtoDindex 82 → 659d agoCountry rating changed from E to D (score 82 → 65)Current dominant event: Major Wildfire (CalamityScore 58); cause of change not attributedcascade component 70.0 → 0.0forecast component 58.5 → 63.0
- DtoEindex 64 → 829d agoCountry rating changed from D to E (score 64 → 82)Current dominant event: Moderate Wildfire (CalamityScore 68); cause of change not attributed1 new cascade alert(s)cascade component 0.0 → 70.0population component 70.4 → 78.9forecast component 63.0 → 58.5
- DtoDindex 78 → 649d agoActivity score changed from 78 to 64Current dominant event: Major Wildfire (CalamityScore 58); cause of change not attributedcascade component 70.0 → 0.0population component 58.3 → 70.4forecast component 58.5 → 63.0
- DtoDindex 69 → 789d agoActivity score changed from 69 to 78Current dominant event: Moderate Wildfire (CalamityScore 68); cause of change not attributed1 new cascade alert(s)cascade component 0.0 → 70.0population component 100.0 → 58.3forecast component 63.0 → 58.5
- EtoDindex 85 → 6910d agoCountry rating changed from E to D (score 85 → 69)Current dominant event: Major Wildfire (CalamityScore 59); cause of change not attributedcascade component 70.0 → 0.0forecast component 53.3 → 63.0
- EtoEindex 94 → 8510d agoActivity score changed from 94 to 85Current dominant event: Major Wildfire (CalamityScore 63); cause of change not attributedcascade component 100.0 → 70.0forecast component 58.5 → 53.3
- DtoEindex 69 → 9410d agoCountry rating changed from D to E (score 69 → 94)Current dominant event: Major Wildfire (CalamityScore 77); cause of change not attributed14 new cascade alert(s)cascade component 0.0 → 100.0forecast component 63.0 → 58.5
- EtoDindex 94 → 6911d agoCountry rating changed from E to D (score 94 → 69)Current dominant event: Major Wildfire (CalamityScore 62); cause of change not attributedcascade component 100.0 → 0.0forecast component 58.5 → 63.0
- DtoEindex 67 → 9411d agoCountry rating changed from D to E (score 67 → 94)Current dominant event: Major Wildfire (CalamityScore 71); cause of change not attributed6 new cascade alert(s)cascade component 0.0 → 100.0population component 84.1 → 100.0forecast component 67.5 → 58.5
- DtoDindex 62 → 6714d agoActivity score changed from 62 to 67Current dominant event: Major Wildfire (CalamityScore 64); cause of change not attributedpopulation component 60.5 → 84.1
- DtoDindex 69 → 6214d agoActivity score changed from 69 to 62Current dominant event: Major Wildfire (CalamityScore 59); cause of change not attributedpopulation component 93.3 → 60.5