Rating
Uganda risk rating
Expired, last assessment only · Model activity-rating-2
Computed: 2026-10-09 23:43:44 UTC · Valid until: 2026-10-10 01:43:44 UTC
Coverage is selective. Missing or expired assessments do not mean zero hazard. Scores are heuristic indices, not calibrated probabilities. Model cards and limits
- state:
- partial
- missing Country:
- unassessed
- country Limit:
- 100
- forecast:
- assessed
- population Metric:
- urban event exposures not unique people
This is a last assessment, not a current rating. Its validity has expired or was not recorded. That does not establish that no events or hazards are present.
The rating is a composite index of reported activity; it does not measure structural vulnerability or coping capacity. It shares inputs with the Calamity Forecast Index. Neither index is a calibrated event probability. Model cards and formulas.
Rating components
Recorded hazard contributions
Mean event index: 42/100 · Eligible records: 2
Rating history
- AtoAindex 11 → 183d agoActivity score changed from 11 to 18Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 48); cause of change not attributedseverity component 8.6 → 25.4population component 0.0 → 2.2
Activity score changed from 11 to 18. Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 48); cause of change not attributed. severity component 8.6 → 25.4. population component 0.0 → 2.2. Context: EVENT: Extended satellite heat detection — UG Detected: 2026-10-08T10:41:00.000Z CalamityScore: 48/100 Severity: medium URBAN EXPOSURE INDEX: 22,124 weighted city population units; not unique people or a census of the affected area CONTEXT: Country: UG. Consult current official local emergency instructions. This automated index does not issue evacuation orders. No scenario matched the configured rules; this does not establish absence of risk.
- BtoAindex 22 → 11Yellow → Green4d agoCountry rating changed from B to A (score 22 → 11)Operational status changed from yellow to greenCurrent dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 43); cause of change not attributedseverity component 35.4 → 8.6population component 1.7 → 0.0
- AtoBindex 18 → 22Green → Yellow4d agoCountry rating changed from A to B (score 18 → 22)Operational status changed from green to yellowCurrent dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 50); cause of change not attributedseverity component 23.8 → 35.4population component 1.7 → 1.7
- BtoAindex 35 → 18Yellow → Green5d agoCountry rating changed from B to A (score 35 → 18)Operational status changed from yellow to greenCurrent dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 44); cause of change not attributedseverity component 59.0 → 23.8population component 20.0 → 1.7
- BtoBindex 27 → 355d agoActivity score changed from 27 to 35Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 55); cause of change not attributedseverity component 45.0 → 59.0population component 4.5 → 20.0
- AtoBindex 19 → 27Green → Yellow5d agoCountry rating changed from A to B (score 19 → 27)Operational status changed from green to yellowCurrent dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 55); cause of change not attributedseverity component 26.8 → 45.0population component 2.8 → 4.5
- CtoAindex 54 → 19Yellow → Green6d agoCountry rating changed from C to A (score 54 → 19)Operational status changed from yellow to greenCurrent dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 55); cause of change not attributedseverity component 100.0 → 26.8population component 30.2 → 2.8
- CtoCindex 47 → 546d agoActivity score changed from 47 to 54Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 64); cause of change not attributedseverity component 87.8 → 100.0population component 19.2 → 30.2
- CtoCindex 52 → 477d agoActivity score changed from 52 to 47Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 64); cause of change not attributedseverity component 100.0 → 87.8population component 19.7 → 19.2
- BtoCindex 32 → 527d agoCountry rating changed from B to C (score 32 → 52)Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 64); cause of change not attributedseverity component 59.0 → 100.0population component 2.9 → 19.7
- BtoBindex 22 → 327d agoActivity score changed from 22 to 32Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 50); cause of change not attributedseverity component 34.0 → 59.0population component 2.8 → 2.9
- CtoBindex 43 → 22Red → Yellow8d agoCountry rating changed from C to B (score 43 → 22)Operational status changed from red to yellowCurrent dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 58); cause of change not attributedseverity component 86.6 → 34.0population component 4.2 → 2.8
- CtoCindex 52 → 438d agoActivity score changed from 52 to 43Current dominant event: Major Wildfire (CalamityScore 58); cause of change not attributedseverity component 100.0 → 86.6population component 17.6 → 4.2forecast component 54.0 → 52.5
- BtoCindex 37 → 52Orange → Red8d agoCountry rating changed from B to C (score 37 → 52)Operational status changed from orange to redCurrent dominant event: Major Wildfire (CalamityScore 55); cause of change not attributedseverity component 72.0 → 100.0population component 2.7 → 17.6forecast component 52.5 → 54.0
- BtoBindex 32 → 378d agoActivity score changed from 32 to 37Current dominant event: Major Wildfire (CalamityScore 43); cause of change not attributedseverity component 58.8 → 72.0population component 2.5 → 2.7
- BtoBindex 37 → 329d agoActivity score changed from 37 to 32Current dominant event: Moderate Wildfire (CalamityScore 39); cause of change not attributedseverity component 71.2 → 58.8population component 5.4 → 2.5
- BtoBindex 25 → 379d agoActivity score changed from 25 to 37Current dominant event: Moderate Wildfire (CalamityScore 39); cause of change not attributedseverity component 43.0 → 71.2population component 0.9 → 5.4
- AtoBindex 14 → 25Yellow → Orange9d agoCountry rating changed from A to B (score 14 → 25)Operational status changed from yellow to orangeCurrent dominant event: Moderate Wildfire (CalamityScore 35); cause of change not attributedseverity component 14.2 → 43.0
- BtoAindex 33 → 14Orange → Yellow10d agoCountry rating changed from B to A (score 33 → 14)Operational status changed from orange to yellowCurrent dominant event: Moderate Wildfire (CalamityScore 35); cause of change not attributedseverity component 59.0 → 14.2population component 6.6 → 0.9
- BtoBindex 28 → 3310d agoActivity score changed from 28 to 33Current dominant event: Large Wildfire (CalamityScore 44); cause of change not attributedseverity component 49.0 → 59.0population component 2.5 → 6.6