Rating

Uruguay risk rating

Last activity grade, not currentAindex 11.0/100
Operational statusOrange, expired
Last updated8d ago

Expired, last assessment only · Model activity-rating-2

Computed: 2026-10-03 23:34:45 UTC · Valid until: 2026-10-04 01:34:45 UTC

Coverage is selective. Missing or expired assessments do not mean zero hazard. Scores are heuristic indices, not calibrated probabilities. Model cards and limits

state:
partial
missing Country:
unassessed
country Limit:
100
forecast:
assessed
population Metric:
urban event exposures not unique people

This is a last assessment, not a current rating. Its validity has expired or was not recorded. That does not establish that no events or hazards are present.

The rating is a composite index of reported activity; it does not measure structural vulnerability or coping capacity. It shares inputs with the Calamity Forecast Index. Neither index is a calibrated event probability. Model cards and formulas.

Rating components

Summed event intensity1413.6/100
Scenario weight00.0/100
Cumulative urban PEI10.7/100
CFI activity proxy3837.5/100

Recorded hazard contributions

Fire

Mean event index: 34/100 · Eligible records: 2

Rating history

  1. AtoAindex 12 → 11Yellow → Orange9d ago
    Operational status changed from yellow to orangeCurrent dominant event: Large Wildfire (CalamityScore 46); cause of change not attributedseverity component 12.6 → 12.8population component 0.0 → 0.0forecast component 45.0 → 37.5

    Operational status changed from yellow to orange. Current dominant event: Large Wildfire (CalamityScore 46); cause of change not attributed. severity component 12.6 → 12.8. population component 0.0 → 0.0. forecast component 45.0 → 37.5. Context: EVENT: Large Wildfire — UY Detected: 2026-10-02T18:24:00.000Z CalamityScore: 46/100 Severity: critical URBAN EXPOSURE INDEX: 100 weighted city population units; not unique people or a census of the affected area CONTEXT: Country: UY. Consult current official local emergency instructions. This automated index does not issue evacuation orders. No scenario matched the configured rules; this does not establish absence of risk.

  2. AtoAindex 8 → 12Green → Yellow15d ago
    Operational status changed from green to yellowCurrent dominant event: Minor Wildfire (CalamityScore 27); cause of change not attributedseverity component 3.6 → 12.6forecast component 42.0 → 45.0
  3. AtoAindex 15 → 8Yellow → Green16d ago
    Operational status changed from yellow to greenCurrent dominant event: Moderate Wildfire (CalamityScore 18); cause of change not attributedseverity component 18.0 → 3.6forecast component 49.5 → 42.0
  4. AtoAindex 9 → 15Green → Yellow17d ago
    Operational status changed from green to yellowCurrent dominant event: Moderate Wildfire (CalamityScore 18); cause of change not attributedseverity component 7.2 → 18.0forecast component 42.0 → 49.5
  5. AtoAindex 8 → 9Yellow → Green18d ago
    Operational status changed from yellow to greenCurrent dominant event: Moderate Wildfire (CalamityScore 18); cause of change not attributedseverity component 5.4 → 7.2forecast component 40.5 → 42.0
  6. AtoAindex 8 → 8Green → Yellow18d ago
    Operational status changed from green to yellowCurrent dominant event: Moderate Wildfire (CalamityScore 27); cause of change not attributedseverity component 3.6 → 5.4
  7. AtoAindex 12 → 8Yellow → Green24d ago
    Operational status changed from yellow to greenCurrent dominant event: Minor Wildfire (CalamityScore 18); cause of change not attributedseverity component 12.6 → 3.6forecast component 48.0 → 40.5
  8. AtoAindex 16 → 12Orange → Yellow25d ago
    Operational status changed from orange to yellowCurrent dominant event: Moderate Wildfire (CalamityScore 18); cause of change not attributedseverity component 21.8 → 12.6population component 1.2 → 0.0
  9. AtoAindex 13 → 16Yellow → Orange26d ago
    Operational status changed from yellow to orangeCurrent dominant event: Moderate Wildfire (CalamityScore 55); cause of change not attributedseverity component 14.4 → 21.8population component 0.0 → 1.2
  10. BtoAindex 24 → 12Orange → Green30d ago
    Country rating changed from B to A (score 24 → 12)Operational status changed from orange to greenMinor Wildfire (CalamityScore 18)
  11. AtoBindex 15 → 25Green → Orange31d ago
    Country rating changed from A to B (score 15 → 25)Operational status changed from green to orangeModerate Wildfire (CalamityScore 48)
  12. AtoAindex 18 → 14Yellow → Green32d ago
    Operational status changed from yellow to greenModerate Wildfire (CalamityScore 18)
  13. AtoAindex 17 → 19Green → Yellow33d ago
    Operational status changed from green to yellowModerate Wildfire (CalamityScore 27)
  14. AtoAindex 15 → 17Yellow → Green33d ago
    Operational status changed from yellow to greenModerate Wildfire (CalamityScore 18)
  15. BtoAindex 21 → 13Yellow → Green38d ago
    Country rating changed from B to A (score 21 → 13)Operational status changed from yellow to greenModerate Wildfire (CalamityScore 18)
  16. AtoBindex 20 → 2138d ago
    Country rating changed from A to B (score 20 → 21)Moderate Wildfire (CalamityScore 27)
  17. AtoAindex 16 → 20Green → Yellow38d ago
    Operational status changed from green to yellowModerate Wildfire (CalamityScore 27)
  18. AtoAindex 20 → 16Yellow → Green38d ago
    Operational status changed from yellow to greenMinor Wildfire (CalamityScore 18)
  19. AtoAindex 16 → 20Green → Yellow39d ago
    Operational status changed from green to yellowModerate Wildfire (CalamityScore 27)
  20. AtoAindex 16 → 18Green → Yellow72d ago
    Operational status changed from green to yellowModerate Wildfire (CalamityScore 27)