Rating
Venezuela risk rating
Expired, last assessment only · Model activity-rating-2
Computed: 2026-10-11 23:31:59 UTC · Valid until: 2026-10-12 01:31:59 UTC
Coverage is selective. Missing or expired assessments do not mean zero hazard. Scores are heuristic indices, not calibrated probabilities. Model cards and limits
- state:
- partial
- missing Country:
- unassessed
- country Limit:
- 100
- forecast:
- assessed
- population Metric:
- urban event exposures not unique people
This is a last assessment, not a current rating. Its validity has expired or was not recorded. That does not establish that no events or hazards are present.
The rating is a composite index of reported activity; it does not measure structural vulnerability or coping capacity. It shares inputs with the Calamity Forecast Index. Neither index is a calibrated event probability. Model cards and formulas.
Rating components
Recorded hazard contributions
Mean event index: 41/100 · Eligible records: 6
Rating history
- BtoBindex 26 → 3720h agoActivity score changed from 26 to 37Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 59); cause of change not attributedseverity component 36.4 → 51.4population component 14.5 → 42.3
Activity score changed from 26 to 37. Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 59); cause of change not attributed. severity component 36.4 → 51.4. population component 14.5 → 42.3. Context: EVENT: Extended satellite heat detection — VE Detected: 2026-10-11T06:22:00.000Z CalamityScore: 59/100 Severity: medium URBAN EXPOSURE INDEX: 88,146 weighted city population units; not unique people or a census of the affected area CONTEXT: Country: VE. Consult current official local emergency instructions. This automated index does not issue evacuation orders. No scenario matched the configured rules; this does not establish absence of risk.
- BtoBindex 22 → 26Green → Yellow23h agoOperational status changed from green to yellowCurrent dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 59); cause of change not attributedseverity component 28.6 → 36.4population component 11.2 → 14.5
- DtoBindex 68 → 22Yellow → Green1d agoCountry rating changed from D to B (score 68 → 22)Operational status changed from yellow to greenCurrent dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 59); cause of change not attributedseverity component 98.8 → 28.6population component 100.0 → 11.2
- DtoDindex 63 → 681d agoActivity score changed from 63 to 68Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 64); cause of change not attributedseverity component 87.4 → 98.8
- CtoDindex 50 → 631d agoCountry rating changed from C to D (score 50 → 63)Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 64); cause of change not attributedseverity component 58.2 → 87.4population component 92.6 → 100.0
- CtoCindex 41 → 501d agoActivity score changed from 41 to 50Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 64); cause of change not attributedseverity component 37.4 → 58.2population component 86.8 → 92.6
- AtoCindex 20 → 41Green → Yellow1d agoCountry rating changed from A to C (score 20 → 41)Operational status changed from green to yellowCurrent dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 59); cause of change not attributedseverity component 24.6 → 37.4population component 10.1 → 86.8
- CtoAindex 51 → 20Yellow → Green2d agoCountry rating changed from C to A (score 51 → 20)Operational status changed from yellow to greenCurrent dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 48); cause of change not attributedseverity component 56.2 → 24.6population component 100.0 → 10.1
- BtoCindex 30 → 512d agoCountry rating changed from B to C (score 30 → 51)Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 64); cause of change not attributedseverity component 32.6 → 56.2population component 43.8 → 100.0
- BtoBindex 27 → 30Green → Yellow2d agoOperational status changed from green to yellowCurrent dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 53); cause of change not attributedseverity component 25.6 → 32.6population component 43.5 → 43.8
- AtoBindex 15 → 272d agoCountry rating changed from A to B (score 15 → 27)Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 53); cause of change not attributedseverity component 11.8 → 25.6population component 7.4 → 43.5
- AtoAindex 20 → 156d agoActivity score changed from 20 to 15Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 59); cause of change not attributedseverity component 20.6 → 11.8population component 17.1 → 7.4
- BtoAindex 21 → 206d agoCountry rating changed from B to A (score 21 → 20)Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 59); cause of change not attributedseverity component 21.4 → 20.6population component 18.7 → 17.1
- AtoBindex 14 → 216d agoCountry rating changed from A to B (score 14 → 21)Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 59); cause of change not attributedseverity component 11.8 → 21.4population component 6.6 → 18.7
- BtoAindex 21 → 146d agoCountry rating changed from B to A (score 21 → 14)Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 59); cause of change not attributedseverity component 21.4 → 11.8population component 23.0 → 6.6
- AtoBindex 15 → 216d agoCountry rating changed from A to B (score 15 → 21)Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 59); cause of change not attributedseverity component 11.8 → 21.4population component 8.1 → 23.0
- CtoAindex 44 → 15Yellow → Green7d agoCountry rating changed from C to A (score 44 → 15)Operational status changed from yellow to greenCurrent dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 59); cause of change not attributedseverity component 39.0 → 11.8population component 98.5 → 8.1
- BtoCindex 34 → 44Green → Yellow7d agoCountry rating changed from B to C (score 34 → 44)Operational status changed from green to yellowCurrent dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 59); cause of change not attributedseverity component 22.4 → 39.0population component 85.4 → 98.5
- BtoBindex 25 → 347d agoActivity score changed from 25 to 34Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 59); cause of change not attributedseverity component 21.4 → 22.4population component 39.7 → 85.4
- AtoBindex 14 → 257d agoCountry rating changed from A to B (score 14 → 25)Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 59); cause of change not attributedseverity component 10.6 → 21.4population component 9.4 → 39.7