Rating

Kosovo risk rating

Last activity grade, not currentBindex 21.0/100
Operational statusGreen, expired
Last updated4d ago

Expired, last assessment only · Model activity-rating-2

Computed: 2026-10-07 23:38:39 UTC · Valid until: 2026-10-08 01:38:39 UTC

Coverage is selective. Missing or expired assessments do not mean zero hazard. Scores are heuristic indices, not calibrated probabilities. Model cards and limits

state:
partial
missing Country:
unassessed
country Limit:
100
forecast:
assessed
population Metric:
urban event exposures not unique people

This is a last assessment, not a current rating. Its validity has expired or was not recorded. That does not establish that no events or hazards are present.

The rating is a composite index of reported activity; it does not measure structural vulnerability or coping capacity. It shares inputs with the Calamity Forecast Index. Neither index is a calibrated event probability. Model cards and formulas.

Rating components

Summed event intensity1110.6/100
Scenario weight00.0/100
Cumulative urban PEI5858.0/100
CFI activity proxy3837.5/100

Recorded hazard contributions

Fire

Mean event index: 53/100 · Eligible records: 1

Rating history

  1. BtoBindex 34 → 225d ago
    Activity score changed from 34 to 22Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 53); cause of change not attributedseverity component 21.2 → 10.6population component 100.0 → 59.1forecast component 39.0 → 37.5

    Activity score changed from 34 to 22. Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 53); cause of change not attributed. severity component 21.2 → 10.6. population component 100.0 → 59.1. forecast component 39.0 → 37.5. Context: EVENT: Extended satellite heat detection — XK Detected: 2026-10-06T23:46:00.000Z CalamityScore: 53/100 Severity: medium URBAN EXPOSURE INDEX: 590,735 weighted city population units; not unique people or a census of the affected area CONTEXT: Country: XK. Consult current official local emergency instructions. This automated index does not issue evacuation orders. No scenario matched the configured rules; this does not establish absence of risk.

  2. AtoBindex 19 → 345d ago
    Country rating changed from A to B (score 19 → 34)Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 53); cause of change not attributedseverity component 9.6 → 21.2population component 47.1 → 100.0
  3. BtoAindex 23 → 197d ago
    Country rating changed from B to A (score 23 → 19)Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 48); cause of change not attributedseverity component 10.6 → 9.6population component 65.8 → 47.1
  4. AtoBindex 20 → 23Orange → Green7d ago
    Country rating changed from A to B (score 20 → 23)Operational status changed from orange to greenCurrent dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 53); cause of change not attributedpopulation component 51.3 → 65.8
  5. BtoAindex 28 → 20Red → Orange8d ago
    Country rating changed from B to A (score 28 → 20)Operational status changed from red to orangeCurrent dominant event: Large Wildfire (CalamityScore 53); cause of change not attributedseverity component 19.2 → 10.6population component 70.0 → 51.3
  6. AtoBindex 14 → 28Orange → Red8d ago
    Country rating changed from A to B (score 14 → 28)Operational status changed from orange to redCurrent dominant event: Large Wildfire (CalamityScore 48); cause of change not attributedseverity component 13.2 → 19.2population component 13.6 → 70.0
  7. AtoAindex 9 → 14Green → Orange9d ago
    Operational status changed from green to orangeCurrent dominant event: Large Wildfire (CalamityScore 48); cause of change not attributedseverity component 7.2 → 13.2population component 0.0 → 13.6
  8. AtoAindex 13 → 9Orange → Green9d ago
    Operational status changed from orange to greenCurrent dominant event: Moderate Wildfire (CalamityScore 18); cause of change not attributedseverity component 11.4 → 7.2population component 12.2 → 0.0
  9. AtoAindex 7 → 13Green → Orange9d ago
    Operational status changed from green to orangeCurrent dominant event: Large Wildfire (CalamityScore 39); cause of change not attributedseverity component 3.6 → 11.4population component 0.0 → 12.2
  10. AtoAindex 16 → 7Orange → Green10d ago
    Operational status changed from orange to greenCurrent dominant event: Moderate Wildfire (CalamityScore 18); cause of change not attributedseverity component 9.6 → 3.6population component 31.0 → 0.0
  11. AtoAindex 7 → 16Green → Orange11d ago
    Operational status changed from green to orangeCurrent dominant event: Moderate Wildfire (CalamityScore 48); cause of change not attributedseverity component 3.6 → 9.6population component 0.0 → 31.0
  12. AtoAindex 14 → 7Orange → Green11d ago
    Operational status changed from orange to greenCurrent dominant event: Moderate Wildfire (CalamityScore 18); cause of change not attributedseverity component 9.6 → 3.6population component 16.8 → 0.0forecast component 43.5 → 39.0
  13. AtoAindex 8 → 14Green → Orange12d ago
    Operational status changed from green to orangeCurrent dominant event: Moderate Wildfire (CalamityScore 48); cause of change not attributedseverity component 3.6 → 9.6population component 0.0 → 16.8
  14. AtoAindex 15 → 8Orange → Green12d ago
    Operational status changed from orange to greenCurrent dominant event: Moderate Wildfire (CalamityScore 18); cause of change not attributedseverity component 9.6 → 3.6population component 23.0 → 0.0
  15. AtoAindex 8 → 15Green → Orange12d ago
    Operational status changed from green to orangeCurrent dominant event: Moderate Wildfire (CalamityScore 48); cause of change not attributedseverity component 3.6 → 9.6population component 0.0 → 23.0
  16. AtoAindex 13 → 8Orange → Green13d ago
    Operational status changed from orange to greenCurrent dominant event: Minor Wildfire (CalamityScore 18); cause of change not attributedseverity component 9.6 → 3.6population component 14.9 → 0.0
  17. AtoAindex 8 → 13Green → Orange19d ago
    Operational status changed from green to orangeCurrent dominant event: Moderate Wildfire (CalamityScore 48); cause of change not attributedseverity component 3.6 → 9.6population component 0.0 → 14.9
  18. AtoAindex 16 → 8Orange → Green19d ago
    Operational status changed from orange to greenCurrent dominant event: Moderate Wildfire (CalamityScore 18); cause of change not attributedseverity component 9.6 → 3.6population component 27.9 → 0.0
  19. AtoAindex 8 → 16Green → Orange19d ago
    Operational status changed from green to orangeCurrent dominant event: Moderate Wildfire (CalamityScore 48); cause of change not attributedseverity component 3.6 → 9.6population component 0.0 → 27.9
  20. AtoAindex 19 → 8Orange → Green20d ago
    Operational status changed from orange to greenCurrent dominant event: Moderate Wildfire (CalamityScore 18); cause of change not attributedseverity component 9.6 → 3.6population component 44.9 → 0.0