Calamity
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Rating

Albania risk rating

Last activity grade, not currentAindex 10.0/100
Operational statusGreen, expired
Last updated4d ago

Expired, last assessment only · Model activity-rating-2

Computed: 2026-10-07 23:38:39 UTC · Valid until: 2026-10-08 01:38:39 UTC

Coverage is selective. Missing or expired assessments do not mean zero hazard. Scores are heuristic indices, not calibrated probabilities. Model cards and limits

state:
partial
missing Country:
unassessed
country Limit:
100
forecast:
assessed
population Metric:
urban event exposures not unique people

This is a last assessment, not a current rating. Its validity has expired or was not recorded. That does not establish that no events or hazards are present.

The rating is a composite index of reported activity; it does not measure structural vulnerability or coping capacity. It shares inputs with the Calamity Forecast Index. Neither index is a calibrated event probability. Model cards and formulas.

Rating components

Summed event intensity87.8/100
Scenario weight00.0/100
Cumulative urban PEI54.7/100
CFI activity proxy4242.0/100

Recorded hazard contributions

Fire

Mean event index: 39/100 · Eligible records: 1

Rating history

  1. AtoAindex 18 → 11Orange → Green8d ago
    Operational status changed from orange to greenCurrent dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 48); cause of change not attributedseverity component 17.4 → 9.6population component 22.3 → 4.8

    Operational status changed from orange to green. Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 48); cause of change not attributed. severity component 17.4 → 9.6. population component 22.3 → 4.8. Context: EVENT: Extended satellite heat detection — AL Detected: 2026-10-04T10:26:00.000Z CalamityScore: 48/100 Severity: medium URBAN EXPOSURE INDEX: 48,470 weighted city population units; not unique people or a census of the affected area CONTEXT: Country: AL. Consult current official local emergency instructions. This automated index does not issue evacuation orders. No scenario matched the configured rules; this does not establish absence of risk.

  2. BtoAindex 31 → 188d ago
    Country rating changed from B to A (score 31 → 18)Current dominant event: Large Wildfire (CalamityScore 48); cause of change not attributedseverity component 36.2 → 17.4population component 49.5 → 22.3
  3. BtoBindex 24 → 319d ago
    Activity score changed from 24 to 31Current dominant event: Major Wildfire (CalamityScore 64); cause of change not attributedseverity component 22.8 → 36.2population component 44.6 → 49.5
  4. AtoBindex 20 → 249d ago
    Country rating changed from A to B (score 20 → 24)Current dominant event: Major Wildfire (CalamityScore 57); cause of change not attributedpopulation component 20.6 → 44.6
  5. BtoAindex 24 → 209d ago
    Country rating changed from B to A (score 24 → 20)Current dominant event: Large Wildfire (CalamityScore 57); cause of change not attributedpopulation component 44.5 → 20.6
  6. BtoBindex 31 → 24Red → Orange9d ago
    Operational status changed from red to orangeCurrent dominant event: Major Wildfire (CalamityScore 57); cause of change not attributedseverity component 36.6 → 22.8population component 50.4 → 44.5
  7. BtoBindex 31 → 31Orange → Red10d ago
    Operational status changed from orange to redCurrent dominant event: Major Wildfire (CalamityScore 57); cause of change not attributedseverity component 32.8 → 36.6population component 58.0 → 50.4
  8. BtoBindex 26 → 3110d ago
    Activity score changed from 26 to 31Current dominant event: Major Wildfire (CalamityScore 68); cause of change not attributedseverity component 31.6 → 32.8population component 36.4 → 58.0forecast component 43.5 → 42.0
  9. AtoBindex 11 → 26Green → Orange11d ago
    Country rating changed from A to B (score 11 → 26)Operational status changed from green to orangeCurrent dominant event: Large Wildfire (CalamityScore 48); cause of change not attributedseverity component 10.8 → 31.6population component 0.0 → 36.4forecast component 42.0 → 43.5
  10. AtoAindex 12 → 11Yellow → Green11d ago
    Operational status changed from yellow to greenCurrent dominant event: Moderate Wildfire (CalamityScore 18); cause of change not attributedseverity component 12.6 → 10.8forecast component 46.5 → 42.0
  11. AtoAindex 8 → 12Green → Yellow13d ago
    Operational status changed from green to yellowCurrent dominant event: Minor Wildfire (CalamityScore 18); cause of change not attributedseverity component 1.8 → 12.6forecast component 48.0 → 46.5
  12. BtoAindex 22 → 8Orange → Green16d ago
    Country rating changed from B to A (score 22 → 8)Operational status changed from orange to greenCurrent dominant event: Moderate Wildfire (CalamityScore 9); cause of change not attributedseverity component 23.8 → 1.8population component 27.2 → 0.0forecast component 46.5 → 48.0
  13. BtoBindex 32 → 22Red → Orange17d ago
    Operational status changed from red to orangeCurrent dominant event: Large Wildfire (CalamityScore 57); cause of change not attributedseverity component 30.2 → 23.8population component 62.7 → 27.2
  14. BtoBindex 22 → 3218d ago
    Activity score changed from 22 to 32Current dominant event: Major Wildfire (CalamityScore 64); cause of change not attributedseverity component 21.0 → 30.2population component 31.6 → 62.7
  15. AtoBindex 17 → 22Orange → Red18d ago
    Country rating changed from A to B (score 17 → 22)Operational status changed from orange to redCurrent dominant event: Large Wildfire (CalamityScore 48); cause of change not attributedseverity component 15.0 → 21.0population component 19.7 → 31.6
  16. AtoAindex 19 → 17Red → Orange18d ago
    Operational status changed from red to orangeCurrent dominant event: Major Wildfire (CalamityScore 48); cause of change not attributedseverity component 21.0 → 15.0population component 16.7 → 19.7
  17. AtoAindex 12 → 19Orange → Red19d ago
    Operational status changed from orange to redCurrent dominant event: Large Wildfire (CalamityScore 48); cause of change not attributedseverity component 11.4 → 21.0population component 1.6 → 16.7
  18. AtoAindex 11 → 12Yellow → Orange19d ago
    Operational status changed from yellow to orangeCurrent dominant event: Large Wildfire (CalamityScore 48); cause of change not attributedseverity component 7.8 → 11.4population component 2.6 → 1.6
  19. AtoAindex 8 → 11Green → Yellow20d ago
    Operational status changed from green to yellowCurrent dominant event: Moderate Wildfire (CalamityScore 39); cause of change not attributedseverity component 3.6 → 7.8population component 0.0 → 2.6
  20. AtoAindex 13 → 8Yellow → Green20d ago
    Operational status changed from yellow to greenCurrent dominant event: Moderate Wildfire (CalamityScore 18); cause of change not attributedseverity component 10.6 → 3.6population component 6.4 → 0.0
Forecast for AlbaniaActive events in Albania