Rating

Angola risk rating

Activity gradeCindex 54.0/100
Operational statusYellow
Last updated30m ago

Current assessment · Model activity-rating-2

Computed: 2026-10-21 07:41:35 UTC · Valid until: 2026-10-21 09:41:35 UTC

Coverage is selective. Missing or expired assessments do not mean zero hazard. Scores are heuristic indices, not calibrated probabilities. Model cards and limits

state:
partial
missing Country:
unassessed
country Limit:
100
forecast:
assessed
population Metric:
urban event exposures not unique people

The rating is a composite index of reported activity; it does not measure structural vulnerability or coping capacity. It shares inputs with the Calamity Forecast Index. Neither index is a calibrated event probability. Model cards and formulas.

Rating components

Summed event intensity100100.0/100
Scenario weight00.0/100
Cumulative urban PEI2525.0/100
CFI activity proxy6363.0/100

Recorded hazard contributions

Fire

Mean event index: 43/100 · Eligible records: 15

Rating history

  1. BtoCindex 39 → 5616h ago
    Country rating changed from B to C (score 39 → 56)Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 64); cause of change not attributedseverity component 71.2 → 100.0population component 3.0 → 32.6

    Country rating changed from B to C (score 39 → 56). Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 64); cause of change not attributed. severity component 71.2 → 100.0. population component 3.0 → 32.6. Context: EVENT: Extended satellite heat detection — AO Detected: 2026-10-20T12:46:00.000Z CalamityScore: 64/100 Severity: medium URBAN EXPOSURE INDEX: 168,750 weighted city population units; not unique people or a census of the affected area CONTEXT: Country: AO. Consult current official local emergency instructions. This automated index does not issue evacuation orders. No scenario matched the configured rules; this does not establish absence of risk.

  2. BtoBindex 28 → 391d ago
    Activity score changed from 28 to 39Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 50); cause of change not attributedseverity component 45.4 → 71.2population component 2.1 → 3.0
  3. BtoBindex 39 → 281d ago
    Activity score changed from 39 to 28Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 48); cause of change not attributedseverity component 71.2 → 45.4population component 3.0 → 2.1
  4. CtoBindex 50 → 391d ago
    Country rating changed from C to B (score 50 → 39)Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 50); cause of change not attributedseverity component 100.0 → 71.2population component 1.6 → 3.0
  5. BtoCindex 31 → 503d ago
    Country rating changed from B to C (score 31 → 50)Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 50); cause of change not attributedseverity component 54.6 → 100.0population component 0.0 → 1.6
  6. CtoBindex 50 → 313d ago
    Country rating changed from C to B (score 50 → 31)Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 46); cause of change not attributedseverity component 100.0 → 54.6population component 1.6 → 0.0
  7. BtoCindex 31 → 503d ago
    Country rating changed from B to C (score 31 → 50)Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 50); cause of change not attributedseverity component 54.6 → 100.0population component 0.0 → 1.6
  8. CtoBindex 50 → 313d ago
    Country rating changed from C to B (score 50 → 31)Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 46); cause of change not attributedseverity component 100.0 → 54.6population component 1.6 → 0.0
  9. CtoCindex 55 → 503d ago
    Activity score changed from 55 to 50Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 50); cause of change not attributedpopulation component 28.5 → 1.6
  10. CtoCindex 49 → 553d ago
    Activity score changed from 49 to 55Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 57); cause of change not attributedseverity component 98.6 → 100.0population component 2.5 → 28.5
  11. BtoCindex 33 → 495d ago
    Country rating changed from B to C (score 33 → 49)Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 55); cause of change not attributedseverity component 58.0 → 98.6population component 1.0 → 2.5
  12. CtoBindex 51 → 335d ago
    Country rating changed from C to B (score 51 → 33)Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 54); cause of change not attributedseverity component 100.0 → 58.0population component 8.2 → 1.0
  13. CtoCindex 42 → 515d ago
    Activity score changed from 42 to 51Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 55); cause of change not attributedseverity component 77.8 → 100.0population component 6.2 → 8.2
  14. CtoCindex 53 → 426d ago
    Activity score changed from 53 to 42Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 55); cause of change not attributedseverity component 100.0 → 77.8population component 17.6 → 6.2
  15. AtoCindex 17 → 53Green → Yellow7d ago
    Country rating changed from A to C (score 17 → 53)Operational status changed from green to yellowCurrent dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 57); cause of change not attributedseverity component 16.8 → 100.0population component 4.0 → 17.6
  16. BtoAindex 24 → 17Yellow → Green8d ago
    Country rating changed from B to A (score 24 → 17)Operational status changed from yellow to greenCurrent dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 48); cause of change not attributedseverity component 33.6 → 16.8population component 5.4 → 4.0
  17. AtoBindex 17 → 24Green → Yellow8d ago
    Country rating changed from A to B (score 17 → 24)Operational status changed from green to yellowCurrent dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 48); cause of change not attributedseverity component 19.8 → 33.6population component 0.0 → 5.4
  18. CtoAindex 53 → 17Yellow → Green9d ago
    Country rating changed from C to A (score 53 → 17)Operational status changed from yellow to greenCurrent dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 36); cause of change not attributedseverity component 100.0 → 19.8population component 18.1 → 0.0
  19. DtoCindex 76 → 53Orange → Yellow10d ago
    Country rating changed from D to C (score 76 → 53)Operational status changed from orange to yellowCurrent dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 55); cause of change not attributedcascade component 100.0 → 0.0forecast component 49.5 → 63.0
  20. CtoDindex 54 → 76Yellow → Orange10d ago
    Country rating changed from C to D (score 54 → 76)Operational status changed from yellow to orangeCurrent dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 57); cause of change not attributed3 new cascade alert(s)cascade component 0.0 → 100.0population component 21.8 → 18.1forecast component 63.0 → 49.5