Rating
Australia risk rating
Activity gradeDindex 63.0/100
Operational statusYellow
Last updated1m ago
Current assessment · Model activity-rating-2
Computed: 2026-10-20 00:18:57 UTC · Valid until: 2026-10-20 02:18:57 UTC
Coverage is selective. Missing or expired assessments do not mean zero hazard. Scores are heuristic indices, not calibrated probabilities. Model cards and limits
- state:
- partial
- missing Country:
- unassessed
- country Limit:
- 100
- forecast:
- assessed
- population Metric:
- urban event exposures not unique people
The rating is a composite index of reported activity; it does not measure structural vulnerability or coping capacity. It shares inputs with the Calamity Forecast Index. Neither index is a calibrated event probability. Model cards and formulas.
Rating components
Summed event intensity100.0/100
Scenario weight0.0/100
Cumulative urban PEI67.7/100
CFI activity proxy63.0/100
Recorded hazard contributions
Fire
Mean event index: 41/100 · Eligible records: 26
Rating history
- DtoDindex 68 → 631m agoActivity score changed from 68 to 63Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 53); cause of change not attributedpopulation component 94.0 → 67.7
Activity score changed from 68 to 63. Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 53); cause of change not attributed. population component 94.0 → 67.7. Context: EVENT: Extended satellite heat detection — AU Detected: 2026-10-19T17:34:00.000Z CalamityScore: 53/100 Severity: medium URBAN EXPOSURE INDEX: 676,863 weighted city population units; not unique people or a census of the affected area CONTEXT: Country: AU. Consult current official local emergency instructions. This automated index does not issue evacuation orders. No scenario matched the configured rules; this does not establish absence of risk.
- DtoDindex 63 → 686h agoActivity score changed from 63 to 68Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 53); cause of change not attributedpopulation component 66.5 → 94.0
- CtoDindex 49 → 6315h agoCountry rating changed from C to D (score 49 → 63)Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 53); cause of change not attributedpopulation component 0.0 → 66.5
- DtoCindex 66 → 491d agoCountry rating changed from D to C (score 66 → 49)Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 43); cause of change not attributedpopulation component 83.9 → 0.0
- BtoDindex 40 → 661d agoCountry rating changed from B to D (score 40 → 66)Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 68); cause of change not attributedseverity component 76.6 → 100.0population component 0.0 → 83.9
- DtoBindex 69 → 401d agoCountry rating changed from D to B (score 69 → 40)Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 46); cause of change not attributedseverity component 100.0 → 76.6population component 100.0 → 0.0
- CtoDindex 50 → 692d agoCountry rating changed from C to D (score 50 → 69)Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 73); cause of change not attributedpopulation component 3.9 → 100.0
- CtoCindex 55 → 508d agoActivity score changed from 55 to 50Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 43); cause of change not attributedpopulation component 28.3 → 3.9
- DtoCindex 75 → 55Orange → Yellow8d agoCountry rating changed from D to C (score 75 → 55)Operational status changed from orange to yellowCurrent dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 48); cause of change not attributedcascade component 100.0 → 0.0population component 8.1 → 28.3forecast component 57.0 → 63.0
- EtoDindex 94 → 7515d agoCountry rating changed from E to D (score 94 → 75)Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 67); cause of change not attributedpopulation component 100.0 → 8.1
- EtoEindex 95 → 94Red → Orange15d agoOperational status changed from red to orangeCurrent dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 82); cause of change not attributed8 new cascade alert(s)forecast component 63.8 → 57.0
- DtoEindex 80 → 9516d agoCountry rating changed from D to E (score 80 → 95)Current dominant event: Major Wildfire (CalamityScore 86); cause of change not attributedpopulation component 25.1 → 100.0
- DtoDindex 78 → 80Orange → Red16d agoOperational status changed from orange to redCurrent dominant event: Major Wildfire (CalamityScore 67); cause of change not attributed2 new cascade alert(s)population component 18.1 → 25.1
- DtoDindex 78 → 78Red → Orange16d agoOperational status changed from red to orangeCurrent dominant event: Major Wildfire (CalamityScore 67); cause of change not attributed5 new cascade alert(s)population component 17.5 → 18.1
- DtoDindex 76 → 78Orange → Red17d agoOperational status changed from orange to redCurrent dominant event: Major Wildfire (CalamityScore 73); cause of change not attributedpopulation component 9.0 → 17.5
- EtoDindex 83 → 76Red → Orange18d agoCountry rating changed from E to D (score 83 → 76)Operational status changed from red to orangeCurrent dominant event: Major Wildfire (CalamityScore 67); cause of change not attributed4 new cascade alert(s)population component 44.5 → 9.0
- EtoEindex 82 → 83Orange → Red18d agoOperational status changed from orange to redCurrent dominant event: Major Wildfire (CalamityScore 67); cause of change not attributedpopulation component 37.6 → 44.5forecast component 62.3 → 63.8
- EtoEindex 83 → 82Red → Orange19d agoOperational status changed from red to orangeCurrent dominant event: Major Wildfire (CalamityScore 60); cause of change not attributed1 new cascade alert(s)population component 41.7 → 37.6forecast component 64.5 → 62.3
- DtoEindex 78 → 83Orange → Red19d agoCountry rating changed from D to E (score 78 → 83)Operational status changed from orange to redCurrent dominant event: Major Wildfire (CalamityScore 57); cause of change not attributedpopulation component 14.9 → 41.7
- EtoDindex 83 → 78Red → Orange20d agoCountry rating changed from E to D (score 83 → 78)Operational status changed from red to orangeCurrent dominant event: Major Wildfire (CalamityScore 57); cause of change not attributed8 new cascade alert(s)population component 44.1 → 14.9