Rating
Bolivia risk rating
Activity gradeBindex 39.0/100
Operational statusYellow
Last updated13m ago
Current assessment · Model activity-rating-2
Computed: 2026-10-15 20:08:47 UTC · Valid until: 2026-10-15 22:08:47 UTC
Coverage is selective. Missing or expired assessments do not mean zero hazard. Scores are heuristic indices, not calibrated probabilities. Model cards and limits
- state:
- partial
- missing Country:
- unassessed
- country Limit:
- 100
- forecast:
- assessed
- population Metric:
- urban event exposures not unique people
The rating is a composite index of reported activity; it does not measure structural vulnerability or coping capacity. It shares inputs with the Calamity Forecast Index. Neither index is a calibrated event probability. Model cards and formulas.
Rating components
Summed event intensity69.8/100
Scenario weight0.0/100
Cumulative urban PEI8.2/100
CFI activity proxy61.5/100
Recorded hazard contributions
Fire
Mean event index: 39/100 · Eligible records: 9
Rating history
- CtoBindex 50 → 4020h agoCountry rating changed from C to B (score 50 → 40)Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 53); cause of change not attributedseverity component 98.4 → 74.2population component 7.5 → 7.9
Country rating changed from C to B (score 50 → 40). Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 53); cause of change not attributed. severity component 98.4 → 74.2. population component 7.5 → 7.9. Context: EVENT: Extended satellite heat detection — BO Detected: 2026-10-14T18:04:00.000Z CalamityScore: 53/100 Severity: medium URBAN EXPOSURE INDEX: 78,632 weighted city population units; not unique people or a census of the affected area CONTEXT: Country: BO. Consult current official local emergency instructions. This automated index does not issue evacuation orders. No scenario matched the configured rules; this does not establish absence of risk.
- BtoCindex 37 → 501d agoCountry rating changed from B to C (score 37 → 50)Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 59); cause of change not attributedseverity component 67.0 → 98.4population component 7.0 → 7.5
- BtoBindex 30 → 371d agoActivity score changed from 30 to 37Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 63); cause of change not attributedseverity component 49.2 → 67.0population component 6.8 → 7.0
- BtoBindex 24 → 301d agoActivity score changed from 24 to 30Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 59); cause of change not attributedseverity component 33.4 → 49.2population component 6.8 → 6.8
- BtoBindex 21 → 24Green → Yellow1d agoOperational status changed from green to yellowCurrent dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 59); cause of change not attributedseverity component 26.2 → 33.4
- AtoBindex 11 → 212d agoCountry rating changed from A to B (score 11 → 21)Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 59); cause of change not attributedseverity component 5.4 → 26.2population component 0.0 → 6.8
- BtoAindex 27 → 11Yellow → Green3d agoCountry rating changed from B to A (score 27 → 11)Operational status changed from yellow to greenCurrent dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 27); cause of change not attributedseverity component 42.0 → 5.4population component 7.2 → 0.0
- CtoBindex 49 → 274d agoCountry rating changed from C to B (score 49 → 27)Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 59); cause of change not attributedseverity component 96.0 → 42.0population component 8.5 → 7.2
- CtoCindex 43 → 495d agoActivity score changed from 43 to 49Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 53); cause of change not attributedseverity component 83.6 → 96.0population component 0.1 → 8.5
- BtoCindex 37 → 435d agoCountry rating changed from B to C (score 37 → 43)Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 43); cause of change not attributedseverity component 70.2 → 83.6population component 0.2 → 0.1
- CtoBindex 49 → 375d agoCountry rating changed from C to B (score 49 → 37)Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 43); cause of change not attributedseverity component 98.2 → 70.2population component 0.6 → 0.2
- CtoCindex 43 → 496d agoActivity score changed from 43 to 49Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 44); cause of change not attributedseverity component 83.8 → 98.2
- BtoCindex 36 → 436d agoCountry rating changed from B to C (score 36 → 43)Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 44); cause of change not attributedseverity component 66.2 → 83.8population component 0.6 → 0.6
- CtoBindex 53 → 366d agoCountry rating changed from C to B (score 53 → 36)Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 44); cause of change not attributedseverity component 100.0 → 66.2population component 18.6 → 0.6
- BtoCindex 37 → 537d agoCountry rating changed from B to C (score 37 → 53)Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 57); cause of change not attributedseverity component 67.0 → 100.0population component 4.4 → 18.6
- BtoBindex 32 → 377d agoActivity score changed from 32 to 37Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 55); cause of change not attributedseverity component 54.4 → 67.0population component 4.3 → 4.4
- CtoBindex 51 → 327d agoCountry rating changed from C to B (score 51 → 32)Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 55); cause of change not attributedseverity component 100.0 → 54.4population component 8.4 → 4.3
- CtoCindex 44 → 517d agoActivity score changed from 44 to 51Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 55); cause of change not attributedseverity component 79.2 → 100.0population component 17.6 → 8.4
- BtoCindex 30 → 448d agoCountry rating changed from B to C (score 30 → 44)Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 57); cause of change not attributedseverity component 49.6 → 79.2population component 2.2 → 17.6
- CtoBindex 52 → 308d agoCountry rating changed from C to B (score 52 → 30)Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 50); cause of change not attributedseverity component 100.0 → 49.6population component 11.7 → 2.2