Rating
Brazil risk rating
Current assessment · Model activity-rating-2
Computed: 2026-10-19 18:58:43 UTC · Valid until: 2026-10-19 20:58:43 UTC
Coverage is selective. Missing or expired assessments do not mean zero hazard. Scores are heuristic indices, not calibrated probabilities. Model cards and limits
- state:
- partial
- missing Country:
- unassessed
- country Limit:
- 100
- forecast:
- assessed
- population Metric:
- urban event exposures not unique people
The rating is a composite index of reported activity; it does not measure structural vulnerability or coping capacity. It shares inputs with the Calamity Forecast Index. Neither index is a calibrated event probability. Model cards and formulas.
Rating components
Recorded hazard contributions
Mean event index: 41/100 · Eligible records: 43
Rating history
- CtoDindex 53 → 691d agoCountry rating changed from C to D (score 53 → 69)Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 64); cause of change not attributedpopulation component 17.5 → 95.6
Country rating changed from C to D (score 53 → 69). Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 64); cause of change not attributed. population component 17.5 → 95.6. Context: EVENT: Extended satellite heat detection — BR Detected: 2026-10-17T17:56:00.000Z CalamityScore: 64/100 Severity: medium URBAN EXPOSURE INDEX: 328,728 weighted city population units; not unique people or a census of the affected area CONTEXT: Country: BR. Consult current official local emergency instructions. This automated index does not issue evacuation orders. No scenario matched the configured rules; this does not establish absence of risk.
- DtoCindex 69 → 531d agoCountry rating changed from D to C (score 69 → 53)Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 58); cause of change not attributedpopulation component 100.0 → 17.5
- CtoDindex 60 → 6913d agoCountry rating changed from C to D (score 60 → 69)Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 57); cause of change not attributedpopulation component 53.4 → 100.0
- DtoCindex 69 → 6013d agoCountry rating changed from D to C (score 69 → 60)Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 55); cause of change not attributedpopulation component 100.0 → 53.4
- DtoDindex 64 → 6914d agoActivity score changed from 64 to 69Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 57); cause of change not attributedpopulation component 74.3 → 100.0
- CtoDindex 60 → 6414d agoCountry rating changed from C to D (score 60 → 64)Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 57); cause of change not attributedpopulation component 54.5 → 74.3
- CtoCindex 50 → 6014d agoActivity score changed from 50 to 60Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 57); cause of change not attributedpopulation component 4.6 → 54.5
- CtoCindex 60 → 5014d agoActivity score changed from 60 to 50Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 55); cause of change not attributedpopulation component 54.5 → 4.6
- CtoCindex 52 → 6014d agoActivity score changed from 52 to 60Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 57); cause of change not attributedpopulation component 15.0 → 54.5
- DtoCindex 69 → 5214d agoCountry rating changed from D to C (score 69 → 52)Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 55); cause of change not attributedpopulation component 100.0 → 15.0
- DtoDindex 63 → 6915d agoActivity score changed from 63 to 69Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 59); cause of change not attributedpopulation component 69.9 → 100.0
- DtoDindex 66 → 63Red → Yellow15d agoOperational status changed from red to yellowCurrent dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 63); cause of change not attributedpopulation component 100.0 → 69.9forecast component 41.3 → 63.0
- DtoDindex 71 → 6618d agoActivity score changed from 71 to 66Current dominant event: Large Wildfire (CalamityScore 76); cause of change not attributedforecast component 70.5 → 41.3
- DtoDindex 66 → 7120d agoActivity score changed from 66 to 71Current dominant event: Major Wildfire (CalamityScore 68); cause of change not attributedforecast component 42.8 → 70.5
- DtoDindex 71 → 6621d agoActivity score changed from 71 to 66Current dominant event: Major Wildfire (CalamityScore 57); cause of change not attributedforecast component 70.5 → 42.8
- DtoDindex 66 → 7121d agoActivity score changed from 66 to 71Current dominant event: Major Wildfire (CalamityScore 66); cause of change not attributedforecast component 42.8 → 70.5
- DtoDindex 71 → 6622d agoActivity score changed from 71 to 66Current dominant event: Major Wildfire (CalamityScore 64); cause of change not attributedforecast component 70.5 → 42.8
- DtoDindex 66 → 7122d agoActivity score changed from 66 to 71Current dominant event: Major Wildfire (CalamityScore 64); cause of change not attributedforecast component 42.8 → 70.5
- DtoDindex 71 → 6623d agoActivity score changed from 71 to 66Current dominant event: Major Wildfire (CalamityScore 55); cause of change not attributedforecast component 70.5 → 42.8
- AtoDindex 5 → 71Green → Red36d agoCountry rating changed from A to D (score 5 → 71)Operational status changed from green to redModerate Wildfire (CalamityScore 64)