Rating
DR Congo risk rating
Activity gradeCindex 47.0/100
Operational statusYellow
Last updated28m ago
Current assessment · Model activity-rating-2
Computed: 2026-10-19 01:06:28 UTC · Valid until: 2026-10-19 03:06:28 UTC
Coverage is selective. Missing or expired assessments do not mean zero hazard. Scores are heuristic indices, not calibrated probabilities. Model cards and limits
- state:
- partial
- missing Country:
- unassessed
- country Limit:
- 100
- forecast:
- assessed
- population Metric:
- urban event exposures not unique people
The rating is a composite index of reported activity; it does not measure structural vulnerability or coping capacity. It shares inputs with the Calamity Forecast Index. Neither index is a calibrated event probability. Model cards and formulas.
Rating components
Summed event intensity73.0/100
Scenario weight0.0/100
Cumulative urban PEI39.8/100
CFI activity proxy63.0/100
Recorded hazard contributions
Fire
Mean event index: 46/100 · Eligible records: 8
Rating history
- BtoCindex 33 → 4728m agoCountry rating changed from B to C (score 33 → 47)Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 57); cause of change not attributedseverity component 53.0 → 73.0population component 10.9 → 39.8
Country rating changed from B to C (score 33 → 47). Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 57); cause of change not attributed. severity component 53.0 → 73.0. population component 10.9 → 39.8. Context: EVENT: Extended satellite heat detection — CD Detected: 2026-10-18T22:50:00.000Z CalamityScore: 57/100 Severity: medium URBAN EXPOSURE INDEX: 289,006 weighted city population units; not unique people or a census of the affected area CONTEXT: Country: CD. Consult current official local emergency instructions. This automated index does not issue evacuation orders. No scenario matched the configured rules; this does not establish absence of risk.
- CtoBindex 59 → 331h agoCountry rating changed from C to B (score 59 → 33)Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 53); cause of change not attributedseverity component 100.0 → 53.0population component 47.7 → 10.9
- BtoCindex 21 → 59Green → Yellow11h agoCountry rating changed from B to C (score 21 → 59)Operational status changed from green to yellowCurrent dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 57); cause of change not attributedseverity component 26.8 → 100.0population component 2.4 → 47.7
- AtoBindex 17 → 2112h agoCountry rating changed from A to B (score 17 → 21)Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 55); cause of change not attributedseverity component 18.2 → 26.8population component 2.5 → 2.4
- BtoAindex 38 → 17Yellow → Green1d agoCountry rating changed from B to A (score 38 → 17)Operational status changed from yellow to greenCurrent dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 48); cause of change not attributedseverity component 65.2 → 18.2population component 13.2 → 2.5
- BtoBindex 23 → 381d agoActivity score changed from 23 to 38Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 48); cause of change not attributedseverity component 28.6 → 65.2population component 8.8 → 13.2
- AtoBindex 14 → 23Green → Yellow1d agoCountry rating changed from A to B (score 14 → 23)Operational status changed from green to yellowCurrent dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 44); cause of change not attributedseverity component 12.6 → 28.6population component 0.0 → 8.8
- DtoAindex 69 → 14Yellow → Green2d agoCountry rating changed from D to A (score 69 → 14)Operational status changed from yellow to greenCurrent dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 36); cause of change not attributedseverity component 100.0 → 12.6population component 100.0 → 0.0
- CtoDindex 54 → 692d agoCountry rating changed from C to D (score 54 → 69)Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 64); cause of change not attributedseverity component 72.2 → 100.0population component 80.2 → 100.0
- CtoCindex 42 → 542d agoActivity score changed from 42 to 54Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 64); cause of change not attributedseverity component 62.6 → 72.2population component 37.8 → 80.2
- BtoCindex 37 → 423d agoCountry rating changed from B to C (score 37 → 42)Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 64); cause of change not attributedseverity component 60.4 → 62.6population component 16.4 → 37.8
- DtoBindex 69 → 373d agoCountry rating changed from D to B (score 69 → 37)Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 59); cause of change not attributedseverity component 100.0 → 60.4population component 100.0 → 16.4
- CtoDindex 54 → 693d agoCountry rating changed from C to D (score 54 → 69)Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 64); cause of change not attributedseverity component 89.8 → 100.0population component 44.1 → 100.0
- CtoCindex 59 → 544d agoActivity score changed from 59 to 54Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 64); cause of change not attributedseverity component 99.0 → 89.8population component 50.9 → 44.1
- DtoCindex 69 → 594d agoCountry rating changed from D to C (score 69 → 59)Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 64); cause of change not attributedseverity component 100.0 → 99.0population component 100.0 → 50.9
- DtoDindex 64 → 694d agoActivity score changed from 64 to 69Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 64); cause of change not attributedpopulation component 73.9 → 100.0
- CtoDindex 59 → 645d agoCountry rating changed from C to D (score 59 → 64)Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 67); cause of change not attributedpopulation component 48.8 → 73.9
- DtoCindex 69 → 595d agoCountry rating changed from D to C (score 69 → 59)Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 67); cause of change not attributedpopulation component 100.0 → 48.8
- BtoDindex 30 → 69Green → Yellow5d agoCountry rating changed from B to D (score 30 → 69)Operational status changed from green to yellowCurrent dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 66); cause of change not attributedseverity component 31.8 → 100.0population component 38.0 → 100.0
- CtoBindex 43 → 30Yellow → Green6d agoCountry rating changed from C to B (score 43 → 30)Operational status changed from yellow to greenCurrent dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 64); cause of change not attributedseverity component 59.0 → 31.8population component 51.7 → 38.0