Calamity
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Rating

Congo risk rating

Last activity grade, not currentAindex 17.0/100
Operational statusGreen, expired
Last updated4d ago

Expired, last assessment only · Model activity-rating-2

Computed: 2026-10-14 23:39:51 UTC · Valid until: 2026-10-15 01:39:51 UTC

Coverage is selective. Missing or expired assessments do not mean zero hazard. Scores are heuristic indices, not calibrated probabilities. Model cards and limits

state:
partial
missing Country:
unassessed
country Limit:
100
forecast:
assessed
population Metric:
urban event exposures not unique people

This is a last assessment, not a current rating. Its validity has expired or was not recorded. That does not establish that no events or hazards are present.

The rating is a composite index of reported activity; it does not measure structural vulnerability or coping capacity. It shares inputs with the Calamity Forecast Index. Neither index is a calibrated event probability. Model cards and formulas.

Rating components

Summed event intensity1817.8/100
Scenario weight00.0/100
Cumulative urban PEI76.8/100
CFI activity proxy5454.0/100

Recorded hazard contributions

Fire

Mean event index: 45/100 · Eligible records: 2

Rating history

  1. BtoAindex 31 → 19Yellow → Green5d ago
    Country rating changed from B to A (score 31 → 19)Operational status changed from yellow to greenCurrent dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 53); cause of change not attributedseverity component 51.0 → 25.0population component 12.1 → 6.5

    Country rating changed from B to A (score 31 → 19). Operational status changed from yellow to green. Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 53); cause of change not attributed. severity component 51.0 → 25.0. population component 12.1 → 6.5. Context: EVENT: Extended satellite heat detection — CG Detected: 2026-10-13T13:23:00.000Z CalamityScore: 53/100 Severity: medium URBAN EXPOSURE INDEX: 64,958 weighted city population units; not unique people or a census of the affected area CONTEXT: Country: CG. Consult current official local emergency instructions. This automated index does not issue evacuation orders. No scenario matched the configured rules; this does not establish absence of risk.

  2. AtoBindex 11 → 31Green → Yellow6d ago
    Country rating changed from A to B (score 11 → 31)Operational status changed from green to yellowCurrent dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 53); cause of change not attributedseverity component 7.2 → 51.0population component 0.0 → 12.1forecast component 55.5 → 54.0
  3. CtoAindex 43 → 11Yellow → Green10d ago
    Country rating changed from C to A (score 43 → 11)Operational status changed from yellow to greenCurrent dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 36); cause of change not attributedseverity component 70.0 → 7.2population component 32.2 → 0.0
  4. BtoCindex 24 → 43Green → Yellow11d ago
    Country rating changed from B to C (score 24 → 43)Operational status changed from green to yellowCurrent dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 57); cause of change not attributedseverity component 31.2 → 70.0population component 17.0 → 32.2
  5. AtoBindex 14 → 2412d ago
    Country rating changed from A to B (score 14 → 24)Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 57); cause of change not attributedseverity component 14.0 → 31.2population component 0.0 → 17.0
  6. BtoAindex 22 → 14Yellow → Green13d ago
    Country rating changed from B to A (score 22 → 14)Operational status changed from yellow to greenCurrent dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 43); cause of change not attributedseverity component 32.6 → 14.0population component 4.6 → 0.0
  7. AtoBindex 13 → 22Green → Yellow14d ago
    Country rating changed from A to B (score 13 → 22)Operational status changed from green to yellowCurrent dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 48); cause of change not attributedseverity component 9.6 → 32.6population component 2.2 → 4.6
  8. BtoAindex 34 → 1315d ago
    Country rating changed from B to A (score 34 → 13)Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 48); cause of change not attributedseverity component 13.2 → 9.6population component 100.0 → 2.2
  9. AtoBindex 17 → 34Yellow → Green15d ago
    Country rating changed from A to B (score 17 → 34)Operational status changed from yellow to greenCurrent dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 66); cause of change not attributedseverity component 20.4 → 13.2population component 2.4 → 100.0
  10. BtoAindex 30 → 17Orange → Yellow15d ago
    Country rating changed from B to A (score 30 → 17)Operational status changed from orange to yellowCurrent dominant event: Large Wildfire (CalamityScore 39); cause of change not attributedseverity component 52.8 → 20.4population component 2.5 → 2.4
  11. BtoBindex 22 → 30Yellow → Orange16d ago
    Operational status changed from yellow to orangeCurrent dominant event: Large Wildfire (CalamityScore 39); cause of change not attributedseverity component 34.2 → 52.8population component 0.0 → 2.5
  12. AtoBindex 19 → 2216d ago
    Country rating changed from A to B (score 19 → 22)Current dominant event: Moderate Wildfire (CalamityScore 27); cause of change not attributedseverity component 27.0 → 34.2
  13. BtoAindex 23 → 1916d ago
    Country rating changed from B to A (score 23 → 19)Current dominant event: Moderate Wildfire (CalamityScore 27); cause of change not attributedseverity component 36.0 → 27.0
  14. AtoBindex 15 → 2317d ago
    Country rating changed from A to B (score 15 → 23)Current dominant event: Moderate Wildfire (CalamityScore 27); cause of change not attributedseverity component 16.2 → 36.0
  15. AtoAindex 11 → 15Green → Yellow17d ago
    Operational status changed from green to yellowCurrent dominant event: Moderate Wildfire (CalamityScore 18); cause of change not attributedseverity component 7.2 → 16.2
  16. CtoAindex 49 → 11Red → Green17d ago
    Country rating changed from C to A (score 49 → 11)Operational status changed from red to greenCurrent dominant event: Minor Wildfire (CalamityScore 18); cause of change not attributedseverity component 89.8 → 7.2population component 21.5 → 0.0
  17. DtoCindex 68 → 4918d ago
    Country rating changed from D to C (score 68 → 49)Current dominant event: Major Wildfire (CalamityScore 67); cause of change not attributedseverity component 96.8 → 89.8population component 100.0 → 21.5forecast component 60.0 → 55.5
  18. AtoDindex 10 → 68Green → Red19d ago
    Country rating changed from A to D (score 10 → 68)Operational status changed from green to redCurrent dominant event: Major Wildfire (CalamityScore 64); cause of change not attributedseverity component 1.8 → 96.8population component 0.0 → 100.0
  19. BtoAindex 29 → 10Red → Green19d ago
    Country rating changed from B to A (score 29 → 10)Operational status changed from red to greenCurrent dominant event: Moderate Wildfire (CalamityScore 9); cause of change not attributedseverity component 49.4 → 1.8population component 2.9 → 0.0
  20. BtoBindex 39 → 2920d ago
    Activity score changed from 39 to 29Current dominant event: Major Wildfire (CalamityScore 48); cause of change not attributedseverity component 72.6 → 49.4population component 3.3 → 2.9
Forecast for CongoActive events in Congo