Rating
Colombia risk rating
Expired, last assessment only · Model activity-rating-2
Computed: 2026-10-14 23:39:51 UTC · Valid until: 2026-10-15 01:39:51 UTC
Coverage is selective. Missing or expired assessments do not mean zero hazard. Scores are heuristic indices, not calibrated probabilities. Model cards and limits
- state:
- partial
- missing Country:
- unassessed
- country Limit:
- 100
- forecast:
- assessed
- population Metric:
- urban event exposures not unique people
This is a last assessment, not a current rating. Its validity has expired or was not recorded. That does not establish that no events or hazards are present.
The rating is a composite index of reported activity; it does not measure structural vulnerability or coping capacity. It shares inputs with the Calamity Forecast Index. Neither index is a calibrated event probability. Model cards and formulas.
Rating components
Recorded hazard contributions
Mean event index: 32/100 · Eligible records: 2
Rating history
- AtoAindex 4 → 1011h agoActivity score changed from 4 to 10Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 27); cause of change not attributedseverity component 2.0 → 5.4forecast component 18.0 → 52.5
Activity score changed from 4 to 10. Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 27); cause of change not attributed. severity component 2.0 → 5.4. forecast component 18.0 → 52.5. Context: EVENT: Extended satellite heat detection — CO Detected: 2026-10-14T18:11:00.000Z CalamityScore: 27/100 Severity: medium CONTEXT: Country: CO. Consult current official local emergency instructions. This automated index does not issue evacuation orders. No scenario matched the configured rules; this does not establish absence of risk.
- AtoAindex 11 → 45d agoActivity score changed from 11 to 4Current dominant event: M 5.1 Earthquake (CalamityScore 10); cause of change not attributedseverity component 7.2 → 2.0forecast component 52.5 → 18.0
- AtoAindex 18 → 11Yellow → Green8d agoOperational status changed from yellow to greenCurrent dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 36); cause of change not attributedseverity component 27.0 → 7.2forecast component 51.0 → 52.5
- AtoAindex 12 → 1811d agoActivity score changed from 12 to 18Current dominant event: Moderate Wildfire (CalamityScore 18); cause of change not attributedseverity component 10.8 → 27.0
- AtoAindex 11 → 12Green → Yellow11d agoOperational status changed from green to yellowCurrent dominant event: Minor Wildfire (CalamityScore 18); cause of change not attributedseverity component 9.0 → 10.8
- AtoAindex 14 → 11Yellow → Green12d agoOperational status changed from yellow to greenCurrent dominant event: Minor Wildfire (CalamityScore 18); cause of change not attributedseverity component 14.4 → 9.0forecast component 52.5 → 51.0
- AtoAindex 12 → 14Green → Yellow13d agoOperational status changed from green to yellowCurrent dominant event: Moderate Wildfire (CalamityScore 18); cause of change not attributedseverity component 10.8 → 14.4
- CtoAindex 49 → 12Orange → Green13d agoCountry rating changed from C to A (score 49 → 12)Operational status changed from orange to greenCurrent dominant event: Minor Wildfire (CalamityScore 18); cause of change not attributedseverity component 100.0 → 10.8population component 1.9 → 0.0forecast component 55.5 → 52.5
- DtoCindex 64 → 4914d agoCountry rating changed from D to C (score 64 → 49)Current dominant event: Moderate Wildfire (CalamityScore 39); cause of change not attributedpopulation component 75.6 → 1.9forecast component 61.5 → 55.5
- CtoDindex 50 → 6414d agoCountry rating changed from C to D (score 50 → 64)Current dominant event: Large Wildfire (CalamityScore 53); cause of change not attributedpopulation component 2.5 → 75.6forecast component 63.0 → 61.5
- BtoCindex 22 → 50Yellow → Orange15d agoCountry rating changed from B to C (score 22 → 50)Operational status changed from yellow to orangeCurrent dominant event: Moderate Wildfire (CalamityScore 39); cause of change not attributedseverity component 34.2 → 100.0population component 0.0 → 2.5forecast component 57.0 → 63.0
- AtoBindex 16 → 2216d agoCountry rating changed from A to B (score 16 → 22)Current dominant event: Moderate Wildfire (CalamityScore 27); cause of change not attributedseverity component 19.8 → 34.2
- AtoAindex 10 → 16Green → Yellow16d agoOperational status changed from green to yellowCurrent dominant event: Moderate Wildfire (CalamityScore 27); cause of change not attributedseverity component 3.6 → 19.8
- AtoAindex 16 → 10Yellow → Green17d agoOperational status changed from yellow to greenCurrent dominant event: Moderate Wildfire (CalamityScore 9); cause of change not attributedseverity component 19.8 → 3.6
- BtoAindex 28 → 16Orange → Yellow18d agoCountry rating changed from B to A (score 28 → 16)Operational status changed from orange to yellowCurrent dominant event: Minor Wildfire (CalamityScore 27); cause of change not attributedseverity component 47.4 → 19.8population component 1.1 → 0.0
- BtoBindex 23 → 2818d agoActivity score changed from 23 to 28Current dominant event: Large Wildfire (CalamityScore 30); cause of change not attributedseverity component 36.6 → 47.4
- BtoBindex 21 → 23Yellow → Orange19d agoOperational status changed from yellow to orangeCurrent dominant event: Large Wildfire (CalamityScore 30); cause of change not attributedseverity component 30.6 → 36.6population component 0.0 → 1.1
- BtoBindex 29 → 21Orange → Yellow19d agoOperational status changed from orange to yellowCurrent dominant event: Large Wildfire (CalamityScore 27); cause of change not attributedseverity component 51.0 → 30.6population component 1.2 → 0.0
- BtoBindex 21 → 2919d agoActivity score changed from 21 to 29Current dominant event: Large Wildfire (CalamityScore 39); cause of change not attributedseverity component 31.2 → 51.0population component 1.9 → 1.2
- AtoBindex 19 → 2119d agoCountry rating changed from A to B (score 19 → 21)Current dominant event: Large Wildfire (CalamityScore 30); cause of change not attributedseverity component 25.8 → 31.2