Rating
Croatia risk rating
Last activity grade, not currentAindex 6.0/100
Operational statusGreen, expired
Last updated17h ago
Expired, last assessment only · Model activity-rating-2
Computed: 2026-10-17 04:00:55 UTC · Valid until: 2026-10-17 06:00:55 UTC
Coverage is selective. Missing or expired assessments do not mean zero hazard. Scores are heuristic indices, not calibrated probabilities. Model cards and limits
- state:
- partial
- missing Country:
- unassessed
- country Limit:
- 100
- forecast:
- assessed
- population Metric:
- urban event exposures not unique people
This is a last assessment, not a current rating. Its validity has expired or was not recorded. That does not establish that no events or hazards are present.
The rating is a composite index of reported activity; it does not measure structural vulnerability or coping capacity. It shares inputs with the Calamity Forecast Index. Neither index is a calibrated event probability. Model cards and formulas.
Rating components
Summed event intensity3.2/100
Scenario weight0.0/100
Cumulative urban PEI0.0/100
CFI activity proxy33.0/100
Recorded hazard contributions
Weather
Mean event index: 16/100 · Eligible records: 1
Rating history
- BtoAindex 27 → 6Yellow → Green19h agoCountry rating changed from B to A (score 27 → 6)Operational status changed from yellow to greenCurrent dominant event: Moderate weather warning — South Dalmatia region, Croatia (CalamityScore 16); cause of change not attributedseverity component 36.4 → 3.2population component 36.3 → 0.0forecast component 37.5 → 33.0
Country rating changed from B to A (score 27 → 6). Operational status changed from yellow to green. Current dominant event: Moderate weather warning — South Dalmatia region, Croatia (CalamityScore 16); cause of change not attributed. severity component 36.4 → 3.2. population component 36.3 → 0.0. forecast component 37.5 → 33.0. Context: EVENT: Moderate weather warning — South Dalmatia region, Croatia — HR Detected: 2026-10-16T22:01:01.000Z CalamityScore: 16/100 Severity: medium CONTEXT: Country: HR. Consult current official local emergency instructions. This automated index does not issue evacuation orders. No scenario matched the configured rules; this does not establish absence of risk.
- AtoBindex 8 → 27Green → Yellow1d agoCountry rating changed from A to B (score 8 → 27)Operational status changed from green to yellowCurrent dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 44); cause of change not attributedseverity component 7.2 → 36.4population component 0.0 → 36.3forecast component 36.0 → 37.5
- AtoAindex 18 → 82d agoActivity score changed from 18 to 8Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 36); cause of change not attributedseverity component 18.0 → 7.2population component 25.8 → 0.0forecast component 34.5 → 36.0
- BtoAindex 24 → 18Yellow → Green2d agoCountry rating changed from B to A (score 24 → 18)Operational status changed from yellow to greenCurrent dominant event: Moderate weather warning — Middle Dalmatia region, Croatia (CalamityScore 37); cause of change not attributedseverity component 27.6 → 18.0population component 35.6 → 25.8forecast component 39.0 → 34.5
- BtoBindex 30 → 243d agoActivity score changed from 30 to 24Current dominant event: Moderate weather warning — Middle Dalmatia region, Croatia (CalamityScore 37); cause of change not attributedseverity component 38.8 → 27.6population component 40.8 → 35.6forecast component 40.5 → 39.0
- AtoBindex 6 → 30Green → Yellow4d agoCountry rating changed from A to B (score 6 → 30)Operational status changed from green to yellowCurrent dominant event: Severe weather warning — Middle Dalmatia region, Croatia (CalamityScore 49); cause of change not attributedseverity component 1.8 → 38.8population component 0.0 → 40.8forecast component 36.0 → 40.5
- AtoAindex 10 → 6Yellow → Green15d agoOperational status changed from yellow to greenCurrent dominant event: Moderate Wildfire (CalamityScore 9); cause of change not attributedseverity component 9.6 → 1.8population component 1.3 → 0.0forecast component 42.0 → 36.0
- AtoAindex 7 → 10Green → Yellow17d agoOperational status changed from green to yellowCurrent dominant event: Minor Wildfire (CalamityScore 39); cause of change not attributedseverity component 1.8 → 9.6population component 0.0 → 1.3
- BtoAindex 23 → 7Yellow → Green23d agoCountry rating changed from B to A (score 23 → 7)Operational status changed from yellow to greenCurrent dominant event: Moderate Wildfire (CalamityScore 9); cause of change not attributedseverity component 23.0 → 1.8population component 35.8 → 0.0forecast component 41.3 → 42.0
- AtoBindex 17 → 2325d agoCountry rating changed from A to B (score 17 → 23)Current dominant event: Moderate weather warning — Split, Croatia (CalamityScore 37); cause of change not attributedseverity component 16.2 → 23.0population component 25.0 → 35.8forecast component 37.5 → 41.3
- AtoAindex 8 → 17Green → Yellow28d agoOperational status changed from green to yellowCurrent dominant event: Severe weather warning — Split, Croatia (CalamityScore 49); cause of change not attributedseverity component 3.6 → 16.2population component 0.0 → 25.0forecast component 42.0 → 37.5
- AtoAindex 13 → 829d agoActivity score changed from 13 to 8Current dominant event: Moderate Wildfire (CalamityScore 9); cause of change not attributedseverity component 11.0 → 3.6population component 10.8 → 0.0forecast component 39.8 → 42.0
- AtoAindex 8 → 1329d agoActivity score changed from 8 to 13Current dominant event: Moderate weather warning — Rijeka, Croatia (CalamityScore 37); cause of change not attributedseverity component 3.6 → 11.0population component 0.0 → 10.8forecast component 42.0 → 39.8
- AtoAindex 19 → 8Yellow → Green29d agoOperational status changed from yellow to greenCurrent dominant event: Moderate Wildfire (CalamityScore 9); cause of change not attributedseverity component 18.4 → 3.6population component 27.9 → 0.0forecast component 39.8 → 42.0
- AtoAindex 8 → 19Green → Yellow29d agoOperational status changed from green to yellowCurrent dominant event: Moderate weather warning — Rijeka, Croatia (CalamityScore 37); cause of change not attributedseverity component 3.6 → 18.4population component 0.0 → 27.9forecast component 42.0 → 39.8
- BtoAindex 27 → 8Yellow → Green29d agoCountry rating changed from B to A (score 27 → 8)Operational status changed from yellow to greenCurrent dominant event: Moderate Wildfire (CalamityScore 9); cause of change not attributedseverity component 25.8 → 3.6population component 50.7 → 0.0forecast component 41.3 → 42.0
- AtoBindex 8 → 27Green → Yellow29d agoCountry rating changed from A to B (score 8 → 27)Operational status changed from green to yellowCurrent dominant event: Moderate weather warning — Rijeka, Croatia (CalamityScore 37); cause of change not attributedseverity component 3.6 → 25.8population component 0.0 → 50.7forecast component 42.0 → 41.3
- AtoAindex 13 → 8Yellow → Green30d agoOperational status changed from yellow to greenCurrent dominant event: Moderate Wildfire (CalamityScore 9); cause of change not attributedseverity component 13.4 → 3.6population component 10.8 → 0.0forecast component 39.8 → 42.0
- AtoAindex 7 → 13Green → Yellow30d agoOperational status changed from green to yellowCurrent dominant event: Severe weather warning — Rijeka, Croatia (CalamityScore 49); cause of change not attributedseverity component 1.8 → 13.4population component 0.0 → 10.8forecast component 42.0 → 39.8
- AtoAindex 13 → 7Yellow → Green30d agoOperational status changed from yellow to greenCurrent dominant event: Moderate Wildfire (CalamityScore 9); cause of change not attributedseverity component 11.6 → 1.8population component 10.8 → 0.0forecast component 39.8 → 42.0