Rating
Iraq risk rating
Activity gradeDindex 69.0/100
Operational statusYellow
Last updated4m ago
Current assessment · Model activity-rating-2
Computed: 2026-10-18 19:40:34 UTC · Valid until: 2026-10-18 21:40:34 UTC
Coverage is selective. Missing or expired assessments do not mean zero hazard. Scores are heuristic indices, not calibrated probabilities. Model cards and limits
- state:
- partial
- missing Country:
- unassessed
- country Limit:
- 100
- forecast:
- assessed
- population Metric:
- urban event exposures not unique people
The rating is a composite index of reported activity; it does not measure structural vulnerability or coping capacity. It shares inputs with the Calamity Forecast Index. Neither index is a calibrated event probability. Model cards and formulas.
Rating components
Summed event intensity100.0/100
Scenario weight0.0/100
Cumulative urban PEI100.0/100
CFI activity proxy58.5/100
Recorded hazard contributions
Fire
Mean event index: 56/100 · Eligible records: 10
Rating history
- CtoDindex 53 → 6717h agoCountry rating changed from C to D (score 53 → 67)Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 68); cause of change not attributedseverity component 59.6 → 95.8
Country rating changed from C to D (score 53 → 67). Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 68); cause of change not attributed. severity component 59.6 → 95.8. Context: EVENT: Extended satellite heat detection — IQ Detected: 2026-10-17T23:41:00.000Z CalamityScore: 68/100 Severity: medium URBAN EXPOSURE INDEX: 612,432 weighted city population units; not unique people or a census of the affected area CONTEXT: Country: IQ. Consult current official local emergency instructions. This automated index does not issue evacuation orders. No scenario matched the configured rules; this does not establish absence of risk.
- DtoCindex 61 → 5319h agoCountry rating changed from D to C (score 61 → 53)Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 64); cause of change not attributedseverity component 87.4 → 59.6population component 84.6 → 100.0
- CtoDindex 49 → 611d agoCountry rating changed from C to D (score 49 → 61)Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 64); cause of change not attributedseverity component 54.6 → 87.4population component 92.0 → 84.6
- CtoCindex 41 → 49Green → Yellow1d agoOperational status changed from green to yellowCurrent dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 64); cause of change not attributedseverity component 36.2 → 54.6population component 87.7 → 92.0
- CtoCindex 48 → 41Yellow → Green1d agoOperational status changed from yellow to greenCurrent dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 64); cause of change not attributedseverity component 54.6 → 36.2population component 88.7 → 87.7
- CtoCindex 41 → 482d agoActivity score changed from 41 to 48Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 64); cause of change not attributedseverity component 43.2 → 54.6population component 76.3 → 88.7
- BtoCindex 38 → 41Green → Yellow2d agoCountry rating changed from B to C (score 38 → 41)Operational status changed from green to yellowCurrent dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 64); cause of change not attributedseverity component 36.2 → 43.2population component 71.4 → 76.3
- BtoBindex 22 → 382d agoActivity score changed from 22 to 38Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 64); cause of change not attributedseverity component 11.4 → 36.2population component 42.5 → 71.4
- BtoBindex 37 → 222d agoActivity score changed from 37 to 22Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 57); cause of change not attributedseverity component 33.0 → 11.4population component 72.9 → 42.5
- BtoBindex 25 → 372d agoActivity score changed from 25 to 37Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 64); cause of change not attributedseverity component 22.4 → 33.0population component 36.5 → 72.9
- BtoBindex 37 → 252d agoActivity score changed from 37 to 25Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 64); cause of change not attributedseverity component 32.8 → 22.4population component 73.4 → 36.5
- CtoBindex 56 → 37Yellow → Green3d agoCountry rating changed from C to B (score 56 → 37)Operational status changed from yellow to greenCurrent dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 64); cause of change not attributedseverity component 68.2 → 32.8population component 100.0 → 73.4
- CtoCindex 51 → 564d agoActivity score changed from 51 to 56Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 64); cause of change not attributedseverity component 54.8 → 68.2
- BtoCindex 39 → 51Green → Yellow4d agoCountry rating changed from B to C (score 39 → 51)Operational status changed from green to yellowCurrent dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 67); cause of change not attributedseverity component 35.6 → 54.8population component 79.8 → 100.0
- BtoBindex 38 → 39Yellow → Green4d agoOperational status changed from yellow to greenCurrent dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 67); cause of change not attributedseverity component 38.2 → 35.6population component 70.9 → 79.8
- AtoBindex 11 → 38Green → Yellow4d agoCountry rating changed from A to B (score 11 → 38)Operational status changed from green to yellowCurrent dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 64); cause of change not attributedseverity component 5.4 → 38.2population component 0.0 → 70.9
- CtoAindex 51 → 11Yellow → Green4d agoCountry rating changed from C to A (score 51 → 11)Operational status changed from yellow to greenCurrent dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 27); cause of change not attributedseverity component 54.8 → 5.4population component 100.0 → 0.0
- DtoCindex 69 → 516d agoCountry rating changed from D to C (score 69 → 51)Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 64); cause of change not attributedseverity component 100.0 → 54.8
- DtoDindex 64 → 698d agoActivity score changed from 64 to 69Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 68); cause of change not attributedseverity component 88.2 → 100.0
- CtoDindex 50 → 648d agoCountry rating changed from C to D (score 50 → 64)Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 66); cause of change not attributedseverity component 52.2 → 88.2