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Rating

Kazakhstan risk rating

Last activity grade, not currentAindex 7.0/100
Operational statusOrange, expired
Last updated17d ago

Expired, last assessment only · Model activity-rating-2

Computed: 2026-09-25 11:07:04 UTC · Valid until: 2026-09-25 13:07:04 UTC

Coverage is selective. Missing or expired assessments do not mean zero hazard. Scores are heuristic indices, not calibrated probabilities. Model cards and limits

state:
partial
missing Country:
unassessed
country Limit:
100
forecast:
assessed
population Metric:
urban event exposures not unique people

This is a last assessment, not a current rating. Its validity has expired or was not recorded. That does not establish that no events or hazards are present.

The rating is a composite index of reported activity; it does not measure structural vulnerability or coping capacity. It shares inputs with the Calamity Forecast Index. Neither index is a calibrated event probability. Model cards and formulas.

Rating components

Summed event intensity98.6/100
Scenario weight00.0/100
Cumulative urban PEI00.0/100
CFI activity proxy2121.0/100

Recorded hazard contributions

Air Quality

Mean event index: 43/100 · Eligible records: 1

Rating history

  1. AtoAindex 12 → 717d ago
    Activity score changed from 12 to 7Current dominant event: Hazardous Air Quality (AQI 500) (CalamityScore 43); cause of change not attributedseverity component 17.8 → 8.6population component 8.4 → 0.0

    Activity score changed from 12 to 7. Current dominant event: Hazardous Air Quality (AQI 500) (CalamityScore 43); cause of change not attributed. severity component 17.8 → 8.6. population component 8.4 → 0.0. Context: EVENT: Hazardous Air Quality (AQI 500) — KZ Detected: 2026-09-25T07:00:00.000Z CalamityScore: 43/100 Severity: critical HISTORICAL CONTEXT: This is a significant air_quality event requiring immediate attention. Location: KZ region. Consult current official local emergency instructions. This automated index does not issue evacuation orders. No scenario matched the configured rules; this does not establish absence of risk.

  2. AtoAindex 17 → 1218d ago
    Activity score changed from 17 to 12Current dominant event: Unhealthy Air Quality (AQI 154) (CalamityScore 46); cause of change not attributedseverity component 27.4 → 17.8population component 10.3 → 8.4forecast component 24.0 → 21.0
  3. AtoAindex 8 → 1719d ago
    Activity score changed from 8 to 17Current dominant event: Very Unhealthy Air Quality (AQI 207) (CalamityScore 53); cause of change not attributedseverity component 12.6 → 27.4population component 0.0 → 10.3forecast component 21.0 → 24.0
  4. AtoAindex 16 → 8Red → Orange19d ago
    Operational status changed from red to orangeCurrent dominant event: Hazardous Air Quality (AQI 500) (CalamityScore 43); cause of change not attributedseverity component 26.4 → 12.6population component 8.4 → 0.0forecast component 24.0 → 21.0
  5. AtoAindex 16 → 16Orange → Red20d ago
    Operational status changed from orange to redCurrent dominant event: Unhealthy Air Quality (AQI 163) (CalamityScore 46); cause of change not attributedseverity component 26.0 → 26.4population component 10.9 → 8.4
  6. AtoAindex 9 → 16Green → Orange21d ago
    Operational status changed from green to orangeCurrent dominant event: Unhealthy Air Quality (AQI 155) (CalamityScore 46); cause of change not attributedseverity component 9.2 → 26.0population component 8.4 → 10.9forecast component 21.0 → 24.0
  7. AtoAindex 10 → 9Orange → Green21d ago
    Operational status changed from orange to greenCurrent dominant event: Unhealthy Air Quality (AQI 152) (CalamityScore 46); cause of change not attributedseverity component 16.8 → 9.2population component 2.5 → 8.4
  8. AtoAindex 17 → 1022d ago
    Activity score changed from 17 to 10Current dominant event: Hazardous Air Quality (AQI 500) (CalamityScore 43); cause of change not attributedseverity component 26.0 → 16.8population component 12.7 → 2.5forecast component 24.0 → 21.0
  9. AtoAindex 10 → 1724d ago
    Activity score changed from 10 to 17Current dominant event: Unhealthy Air Quality (AQI 152) (CalamityScore 46); cause of change not attributedseverity component 16.8 → 26.0population component 2.5 → 12.7forecast component 21.0 → 24.0
  10. AtoAindex 19 → 1024d ago
    Activity score changed from 19 to 10Current dominant event: Hazardous Air Quality (AQI 500) (CalamityScore 43); cause of change not attributedseverity component 34.8 → 16.8population component 3.3 → 2.5forecast component 28.5 → 21.0
  11. AtoAindex 11 → 1925d ago
    Activity score changed from 11 to 19Current dominant event: Hazardous Air Quality (AQI 500) (CalamityScore 43); cause of change not attributedseverity component 18.2 → 34.8population component 1.9 → 3.3forecast component 21.0 → 28.5
  12. AtoAindex 16 → 1125d ago
    Activity score changed from 16 to 11Current dominant event: Hazardous Air Quality (AQI 336) (CalamityScore 55); cause of change not attributedseverity component 28.4 → 18.2forecast component 27.0 → 21.0
  13. AtoAindex 7 → 16Green → Orange26d ago
    Operational status changed from green to orangeCurrent dominant event: Hazardous Air Quality (AQI 500) (CalamityScore 43); cause of change not attributedseverity component 8.2 → 28.4population component 2.5 → 1.9forecast component 21.0 → 27.0
  14. AtoAindex 7 → 7Orange → Green27d ago
    Operational status changed from orange to greenCurrent dominant event: Unhealthy Air Quality (AQI 186) (CalamityScore 41); cause of change not attributedseverity component 8.6 → 8.2population component 0.0 → 2.5
  15. AtoAindex 11 → 7Red → Orange28d ago
    Operational status changed from red to orangeCurrent dominant event: Hazardous Air Quality (AQI 500) (CalamityScore 43); cause of change not attributedseverity component 19.6 → 8.6population component 1.3 → 0.0
  16. AtoBindex 19 → 23Green → Orange38d ago
    Country rating changed from A to B (score 19 → 23)Operational status changed from green to orangeHazardous Air Quality (AQI 500) (CalamityScore 43)
  17. AtoBindex 15 → 2139d ago
    Country rating changed from A to B (score 15 → 21)Unhealthy Air Quality (AQI 152) (CalamityScore 46)
  18. AtoAindex 9 → 7Red → Green45d ago
    Operational status changed from red to greenDrought is on going in China, Kazakhstan, Mongolia, Russia (CalamityScore 9)
  19. AtoAindex 4 → 6Green → Red45d ago
    Operational status changed from green to redHazardous Air Quality (AQI 500) (CalamityScore 14)
  20. AtoAindex 13 → 18Red → Orange46d ago
    Operational status changed from red to orangeUnhealthy Air Quality (AQI 188) (CalamityScore 31)
Forecast for KazakhstanActive events in Kazakhstan