Calamity
Live Map

Rating

Morocco risk rating

Last activity grade, not currentAindex 10.0/100
Operational statusYellow, expired
Last updated10d ago

Expired, last assessment only · Model activity-rating-2

Computed: 2026-10-01 23:30:52 UTC · Valid until: 2026-10-02 01:30:52 UTC

Coverage is selective. Missing or expired assessments do not mean zero hazard. Scores are heuristic indices, not calibrated probabilities. Model cards and limits

state:
partial
missing Country:
unassessed
country Limit:
100
forecast:
assessed
population Metric:
urban event exposures not unique people

This is a last assessment, not a current rating. Its validity has expired or was not recorded. That does not establish that no events or hazards are present.

The rating is a composite index of reported activity; it does not measure structural vulnerability or coping capacity. It shares inputs with the Calamity Forecast Index. Neither index is a calibrated event probability. Model cards and formulas.

Rating components

Summed event intensity99.0/100
Scenario weight00.0/100
Cumulative urban PEI00.0/100
CFI activity proxy4545.0/100

Recorded hazard contributions

Fire

Mean event index: 9/100 · Eligible records: 5

Rating history

  1. AtoAindex 7 → 10Green → Yellow11d ago
    Operational status changed from green to yellowCurrent dominant event: Moderate Wildfire (CalamityScore 9); cause of change not attributedseverity component 3.6 → 9.0forecast component 37.5 → 45.0

    Operational status changed from green to yellow. Current dominant event: Moderate Wildfire (CalamityScore 9); cause of change not attributed. severity component 3.6 → 9.0. forecast component 37.5 → 45.0. Context: EVENT: Moderate Wildfire — MA Detected: 2026-10-01T03:23:00.000Z CalamityScore: 9/100 Severity: medium CONTEXT: Country: MA. Consult current official local emergency instructions. This automated index does not issue evacuation orders. No scenario matched the configured rules; this does not establish absence of risk.

  2. AtoAindex 10 → 7Yellow → Green11d ago
    Operational status changed from yellow to greenCurrent dominant event: Moderate Wildfire (CalamityScore 9); cause of change not attributedseverity component 7.2 → 3.6forecast component 48.0 → 37.5
  3. AtoAindex 7 → 10Green → Yellow12d ago
    Operational status changed from green to yellowCurrent dominant event: Moderate Wildfire (CalamityScore 9); cause of change not attributedseverity component 1.8 → 7.2forecast component 42.0 → 48.0
  4. AtoAindex 10 → 7Yellow → Green13d ago
    Operational status changed from yellow to greenCurrent dominant event: Moderate Wildfire (CalamityScore 9); cause of change not attributedseverity component 9.6 → 1.8population component 1.3 → 0.0
  5. AtoAindex 17 → 10Orange → Yellow14d ago
    Operational status changed from orange to yellowCurrent dominant event: Large Wildfire (CalamityScore 39); cause of change not attributedseverity component 20.2 → 9.6population component 11.5 → 1.3forecast component 45.0 → 42.0
  6. BtoAindex 21 → 1715d ago
    Country rating changed from B to A (score 21 → 17)Current dominant event: Major Wildfire (CalamityScore 48); cause of change not attributedseverity component 27.0 → 20.2population component 11.4 → 11.5forecast component 49.5 → 45.0
  7. AtoBindex 14 → 2115d ago
    Country rating changed from A to B (score 14 → 21)Current dominant event: Major Wildfire (CalamityScore 55); cause of change not attributedseverity component 15.0 → 27.0population component 3.5 → 11.4forecast component 48.0 → 49.5
  8. AtoAindex 11 → 14Yellow → Orange16d ago
    Operational status changed from yellow to orangeCurrent dominant event: Major Wildfire (CalamityScore 48); cause of change not attributedseverity component 9.0 → 15.0population component 0.0 → 3.5
  9. AtoAindex 10 → 11Green → Yellow17d ago
    Operational status changed from green to yellowCurrent dominant event: Minor Wildfire (CalamityScore 18); cause of change not attributedseverity component 7.2 → 9.0forecast component 45.0 → 48.0
  10. AtoAindex 15 → 10Yellow → Green17d ago
    Operational status changed from yellow to greenCurrent dominant event: Minor Wildfire (CalamityScore 18); cause of change not attributedseverity component 16.8 → 7.2population component 4.3 → 0.0forecast component 49.5 → 45.0
  11. BtoAindex 21 → 1518d ago
    Country rating changed from B to A (score 21 → 15)Current dominant event: Moderate Wildfire (CalamityScore 39); cause of change not attributedseverity component 27.4 → 16.8population component 9.5 → 4.3forecast component 52.5 → 49.5
  12. AtoBindex 19 → 2118d ago
    Country rating changed from A to B (score 19 → 21)Current dominant event: Moderate Wildfire (CalamityScore 44); cause of change not attributedseverity component 23.8 → 27.4forecast component 51.0 → 52.5
  13. AtoAindex 11 → 1918d ago
    Activity score changed from 11 to 19Current dominant event: Moderate Wildfire (CalamityScore 44); cause of change not attributedseverity component 8.8 → 23.8population component 5.3 → 9.5forecast component 40.5 → 51.0
  14. AtoAindex 17 → 1119d ago
    Activity score changed from 17 to 11Current dominant event: Moderate Wildfire (CalamityScore 44); cause of change not attributedseverity component 21.4 → 8.8population component 5.3 → 5.3forecast component 51.0 → 40.5
  15. AtoAindex 12 → 1719d ago
    Activity score changed from 12 to 17Current dominant event: Moderate Wildfire (CalamityScore 44); cause of change not attributedseverity component 10.8 → 21.4population component 0.0 → 5.3forecast component 48.0 → 51.0
  16. AtoAindex 8 → 12Green → Yellow20d ago
    Operational status changed from green to yellowCurrent dominant event: Minor Wildfire (CalamityScore 18); cause of change not attributedseverity component 5.4 → 10.8forecast component 42.0 → 48.0
  17. BtoAindex 31 → 8Orange → Green20d ago
    Country rating changed from B to A (score 31 → 8)Operational status changed from orange to greenCurrent dominant event: Minor Wildfire (CalamityScore 18); cause of change not attributedseverity component 23.2 → 5.4population component 71.1 → 0.0forecast component 49.5 → 42.0
  18. BtoBindex 26 → 3120d ago
    Activity score changed from 26 to 31Current dominant event: Large Wildfire (CalamityScore 62); cause of change not attributedseverity component 14.2 → 23.2population component 71.0 → 71.1forecast component 42.0 → 49.5
  19. AtoBindex 8 → 26Green → Orange22d ago
    Country rating changed from A to B (score 8 → 26)Operational status changed from green to orangeCurrent dominant event: Large Wildfire (CalamityScore 62); cause of change not attributedseverity component 3.6 → 14.2population component 0.0 → 71.0
  20. AtoAindex 10 → 8Yellow → Green23d ago
    Operational status changed from yellow to greenCurrent dominant event: Moderate Wildfire (CalamityScore 9); cause of change not attributedseverity component 7.2 → 3.6forecast component 48.0 → 42.0
Forecast for MoroccoActive events in Morocco