Rating
Mozambique risk rating
Activity gradeDindex 69.0/100
Operational statusYellow
Last updated1m ago
Current assessment · Model activity-rating-2
Computed: 2026-10-20 00:18:57 UTC · Valid until: 2026-10-20 02:18:57 UTC
Coverage is selective. Missing or expired assessments do not mean zero hazard. Scores are heuristic indices, not calibrated probabilities. Model cards and limits
- state:
- partial
- missing Country:
- unassessed
- country Limit:
- 100
- forecast:
- assessed
- population Metric:
- urban event exposures not unique people
The rating is a composite index of reported activity; it does not measure structural vulnerability or coping capacity. It shares inputs with the Calamity Forecast Index. Neither index is a calibrated event probability. Model cards and formulas.
Rating components
Summed event intensity100.0/100
Scenario weight0.0/100
Cumulative urban PEI100.0/100
CFI activity proxy63.0/100
Recorded hazard contributions
Fire
Mean event index: 44/100 · Eligible records: 81
Rating history
- DtoDindex 64 → 6911h agoActivity score changed from 64 to 69Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 64); cause of change not attributedpopulation component 74.6 → 100.0
Activity score changed from 64 to 69. Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 64); cause of change not attributed. population component 74.6 → 100.0. Context: EVENT: Extended satellite heat detection — MZ Detected: 2026-10-19T10:28:00.000Z CalamityScore: 64/100 Severity: medium URBAN EXPOSURE INDEX: 136,085 weighted city population units; not unique people or a census of the affected area CONTEXT: Country: MZ. Consult current official local emergency instructions. This automated index does not issue evacuation orders. No scenario matched the configured rules; this does not establish absence of risk.
- DtoDindex 69 → 641d agoActivity score changed from 69 to 64Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 64); cause of change not attributedpopulation component 100.0 → 74.6
- CtoDindex 56 → 692d agoCountry rating changed from C to D (score 56 → 69)Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 64); cause of change not attributedpopulation component 31.6 → 100.0
- DtoCindex 69 → 562d agoCountry rating changed from D to C (score 69 → 56)Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 54); cause of change not attributedpopulation component 100.0 → 31.6
- DtoDindex 61 → 695d agoActivity score changed from 61 to 69Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 64); cause of change not attributedpopulation component 59.4 → 100.0
- CtoDindex 59 → 615d agoCountry rating changed from C to D (score 59 → 61)Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 58); cause of change not attributedpopulation component 47.9 → 59.4
- DtoCindex 69 → 596d agoCountry rating changed from D to C (score 69 → 59)Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 58); cause of change not attributedpopulation component 100.0 → 47.9
- EtoDindex 93 → 69Orange → Yellow8d agoCountry rating changed from E to D (score 93 → 69)Operational status changed from orange to yellowCurrent dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 64); cause of change not attributedcascade component 100.0 → 0.0forecast component 55.5 → 63.0
- EtoEindex 84 → 9312d agoActivity score changed from 84 to 93Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 64); cause of change not attributed8 new cascade alert(s)cascade component 70.0 → 100.0population component 95.5 → 100.0forecast component 51.0 → 55.5
- EtoEindex 92 → 8413d agoActivity score changed from 92 to 84Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 64); cause of change not attributedcascade component 100.0 → 70.0forecast component 53.3 → 51.0
- EtoEindex 87 → 9213d agoActivity score changed from 87 to 92Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 67); cause of change not attributed1 new cascade alert(s)cascade component 90.0 → 100.0population component 85.9 → 95.5forecast component 51.8 → 53.3
- DtoEindex 78 → 8713d agoCountry rating changed from D to E (score 78 → 87)Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 64); cause of change not attributedpopulation component 40.1 → 85.9
- EtoDindex 81 → 7813d agoCountry rating changed from E to D (score 81 → 78)Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 57); cause of change not attributedcascade component 100.0 → 90.0population component 40.0 → 40.1forecast component 55.5 → 51.8
- DtoEindex 74 → 8114d agoCountry rating changed from D to E (score 74 → 81)Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 71); cause of change not attributed10 new cascade alert(s)cascade component 70.0 → 100.0population component 43.1 → 40.0forecast component 51.0 → 55.5
- EtoDindex 82 → 7414d agoCountry rating changed from E to D (score 82 → 74)Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 58); cause of change not attributedcascade component 100.0 → 70.0forecast component 54.0 → 51.0
- DtoEindex 74 → 8214d agoCountry rating changed from D to E (score 74 → 82)Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 64); cause of change not attributed3 new cascade alert(s)cascade component 70.0 → 100.0forecast component 51.0 → 54.0
- CtoDindex 57 → 74Yellow → Orange14d agoCountry rating changed from C to D (score 57 → 74)Operational status changed from yellow to orangeCurrent dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 58); cause of change not attributed1 new cascade alert(s)cascade component 0.0 → 70.0population component 37.4 → 43.1forecast component 63.0 → 51.0
- AtoCindex 18 → 57Green → Yellow14d agoCountry rating changed from A to C (score 18 → 57)Operational status changed from green to yellowCurrent dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 57); cause of change not attributedseverity component 21.4 → 100.0population component 0.7 → 37.4
- BtoAindex 35 → 18Orange → Green14d agoCountry rating changed from B to A (score 35 → 18)Operational status changed from orange to greenCurrent dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 44); cause of change not attributedseverity component 24.2 → 21.4cascade component 70.0 → 0.0forecast component 51.0 → 63.0
- CtoBindex 41 → 3514d agoCountry rating changed from C to B (score 41 → 35)Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 44); cause of change not attributedseverity component 27.0 → 24.2cascade component 90.0 → 70.0forecast component 51.8 → 51.0