Rating
Namibia risk rating
Activity gradeCindex 49.0/100
Operational statusYellow
Last updated16m ago
Current assessment · Model activity-rating-2
Computed: 2026-10-15 22:41:24 UTC · Valid until: 2026-10-16 00:41:24 UTC
Coverage is selective. Missing or expired assessments do not mean zero hazard. Scores are heuristic indices, not calibrated probabilities. Model cards and limits
- state:
- partial
- missing Country:
- unassessed
- country Limit:
- 100
- forecast:
- assessed
- population Metric:
- urban event exposures not unique people
The rating is a composite index of reported activity; it does not measure structural vulnerability or coping capacity. It shares inputs with the Calamity Forecast Index. Neither index is a calibrated event probability. Model cards and formulas.
Rating components
Summed event intensity100.0/100
Scenario weight0.0/100
Cumulative urban PEI1.9/100
CFI activity proxy60.0/100
Recorded hazard contributions
Fire
Mean event index: 39/100 · Eligible records: 16
Rating history
- BtoCindex 37 → 497h agoCountry rating changed from B to C (score 37 → 49)Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 50); cause of change not attributedseverity component 69.0 → 100.0population component 0.9 → 1.9
Country rating changed from B to C (score 37 → 49). Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 50); cause of change not attributed. severity component 69.0 → 100.0. population component 0.9 → 1.9. Context: EVENT: Extended satellite heat detection — NA Detected: 2026-10-15T12:40:00.000Z CalamityScore: 50/100 Severity: medium URBAN EXPOSURE INDEX: 6,326 weighted city population units; not unique people or a census of the affected area CONTEXT: Country: NA. Consult current official local emergency instructions. This automated index does not issue evacuation orders. No scenario matched the configured rules; this does not establish absence of risk.
- AtoBindex 19 → 37Green → Yellow9h agoCountry rating changed from A to B (score 19 → 37)Operational status changed from green to yellowCurrent dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 50); cause of change not attributedseverity component 24.6 → 69.0population component 1.0 → 0.9
- BtoAindex 26 → 19Yellow → Green22h agoCountry rating changed from B to A (score 26 → 19)Operational status changed from yellow to greenCurrent dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 44); cause of change not attributedseverity component 42.6 → 24.6population component 2.2 → 1.0
- AtoBindex 19 → 26Green → Yellow1d agoCountry rating changed from A to B (score 19 → 26)Operational status changed from green to yellowCurrent dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 50); cause of change not attributedseverity component 25.0 → 42.6population component 2.3 → 2.2
- AtoAindex 12 → 192d agoActivity score changed from 12 to 19Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 55); cause of change not attributedseverity component 7.2 → 25.0population component 0.0 → 2.3
- BtoAindex 22 → 12Yellow → Green2d agoCountry rating changed from B to A (score 22 → 12)Operational status changed from yellow to greenCurrent dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 36); cause of change not attributedseverity component 31.6 → 7.2
- AtoBindex 15 → 22Green → Yellow3d agoCountry rating changed from A to B (score 15 → 22)Operational status changed from green to yellowCurrent dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 43); cause of change not attributedseverity component 14.4 → 31.6
- BtoAindex 35 → 15Yellow → Green3d agoCountry rating changed from B to A (score 35 → 15)Operational status changed from yellow to greenCurrent dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 36); cause of change not attributedseverity component 64.4 → 14.4population component 3.1 → 0.0
- CtoBindex 52 → 35Orange → Yellow4d agoCountry rating changed from C to B (score 52 → 35)Operational status changed from orange to yellowCurrent dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 55); cause of change not attributedseverity component 67.2 → 64.4cascade component 70.0 → 0.0forecast component 45.8 → 60.0
- DtoCindex 65 → 524d agoCountry rating changed from D to C (score 65 → 52)Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 55); cause of change not attributedseverity component 78.4 → 67.2cascade component 100.0 → 70.0population component 3.1 → 3.1forecast component 50.3 → 45.8
- CtoDindex 56 → 654d agoCountry rating changed from C to D (score 56 → 65)Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 57); cause of change not attributedseverity component 58.8 → 78.4population component 0.1 → 3.1
- CtoCindex 49 → 564d agoActivity score changed from 49 to 56Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 58); cause of change not attributed1 new cascade alert(s)severity component 41.6 → 58.8population component 0.5 → 0.1forecast component 49.5 → 50.3
- CtoCindex 41 → 494d agoActivity score changed from 41 to 49Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 58); cause of change not attributed3 new cascade alert(s)severity component 40.4 → 41.6cascade component 70.0 → 100.0population component 0.5 → 0.5forecast component 45.8 → 49.5
- CtoCindex 47 → 415d agoActivity score changed from 47 to 41Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 50); cause of change not attributedseverity component 43.2 → 40.4cascade component 90.0 → 70.0forecast component 47.3 → 45.8
- BtoCindex 28 → 475d agoCountry rating changed from B to C (score 28 → 47)Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 58); cause of change not attributed1 new cascade alert(s)severity component 10.0 → 43.2cascade component 70.0 → 90.0population component 0.0 → 0.5forecast component 45.8 → 47.3
- DtoBindex 72 → 285d agoCountry rating changed from D to B (score 72 → 28)Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 50); cause of change not attributedseverity component 96.6 → 10.0cascade component 100.0 → 70.0population component 1.8 → 0.0forecast component 50.3 → 45.8
- DtoDindex 67 → 726d agoActivity score changed from 67 to 72Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 62); cause of change not attributedseverity component 87.0 → 96.6population component 0.0 → 1.8
- DtoDindex 73 → 676d agoActivity score changed from 73 to 67Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 57); cause of change not attributedseverity component 100.0 → 87.0population component 0.3 → 0.0
- CtoDindex 48 → 7311d agoCountry rating changed from C to D (score 48 → 73)Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 57); cause of change not attributed4 new cascade alert(s)severity component 40.0 → 100.0population component 0.0 → 0.3forecast component 49.5 → 50.3
- DtoCindex 72 → 4811d agoCountry rating changed from D to C (score 72 → 48)Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 50); cause of change not attributedseverity component 97.6 → 40.0forecast component 54.8 → 49.5