Rating
Norway risk rating
Expired, last assessment only · Model activity-rating-2
Computed: 2026-10-11 23:31:59 UTC · Valid until: 2026-10-12 01:31:59 UTC
Coverage is selective. Missing or expired assessments do not mean zero hazard. Scores are heuristic indices, not calibrated probabilities. Model cards and limits
- state:
- partial
- missing Country:
- unassessed
- country Limit:
- 100
- forecast:
- assessed
- population Metric:
- urban event exposures not unique people
This is a last assessment, not a current rating. Its validity has expired or was not recorded. That does not establish that no events or hazards are present.
The rating is a composite index of reported activity; it does not measure structural vulnerability or coping capacity. It shares inputs with the Calamity Forecast Index. Neither index is a calibrated event probability. Model cards and formulas.
Rating components
Recorded hazard contributions
Mean event index: 16/100 · Eligible records: 1
Rating history
- AtoAindex 20 → 102d agoActivity score changed from 20 to 10Current dominant event: Kuling, gult nivå, Frøya - Rørvik, 2026-10-09T20:00:00+00:00, 2026-10-10T12:00:00+00:00 (CalamityScore 16); cause of change not attributedseverity component 13.8 → 6.4population component 35.4 → 0.0
Activity score changed from 20 to 10. Current dominant event: Kuling, gult nivå, Frøya - Rørvik, 2026-10-09T20:00:00+00:00, 2026-10-10T12:00:00+00:00 (CalamityScore 16); cause of change not attributed. severity component 13.8 → 6.4. population component 35.4 → 0.0. Context: EVENT: Kuling, gult nivå, Frøya - Rørvik, 2026-10-09T20:00:00+00:00, 2026-10-10T12:00:00+00:00 — NO Detected: 2026-10-09T20:00:00.000Z CalamityScore: 16/100 Severity: medium CONTEXT: Country: NO. Consult current official local emergency instructions. This automated index does not issue evacuation orders. No scenario matched the configured rules; this does not establish absence of risk.
- BtoAindex 23 → 20Yellow → Green2d agoCountry rating changed from B to A (score 23 → 20)Operational status changed from yellow to greenCurrent dominant event: Kuling, gult nivå, Slåtterøy - Fedje, 2026-10-09T20:00:00+00:00, 2026-10-09T23:00:00+00:00 (CalamityScore 37); cause of change not attributedseverity component 19.4 → 13.8population component 39.4 → 35.4
- AtoBindex 11 → 23Green → Yellow2d agoCountry rating changed from A to B (score 11 → 23)Operational status changed from green to yellowCurrent dominant event: Kuling, gult nivå, Slåtterøy - Fedje, 2026-10-09T20:00:00+00:00, 2026-10-09T23:00:00+00:00 (CalamityScore 37); cause of change not attributedseverity component 8.8 → 19.4population component 4.0 → 39.4
- AtoAindex 19 → 11Yellow → Green2d agoOperational status changed from yellow to greenCurrent dominant event: Kuling, gult nivå, Karmøy - Slåtterøy, 2026-10-09T14:00:00+00:00, 2026-10-09T21:00:00+00:00 (CalamityScore 28); cause of change not attributedseverity component 22.6 → 8.8population component 14.5 → 4.0
- BtoAindex 28 → 192d agoCountry rating changed from B to A (score 28 → 19)Current dominant event: Kuling, gult nivå, Åna-Sira - Karmøy, 2026-10-09T12:00:00+00:00, 2026-10-09T18:00:00+00:00 (CalamityScore 37); cause of change not attributedseverity component 34.2 → 22.6population component 35.6 → 14.5
- AtoBindex 18 → 28Green → Yellow2d agoCountry rating changed from A to B (score 18 → 28)Operational status changed from green to yellowCurrent dominant event: Kuling, Utsira Sør, 09 oktober 14:00 UTC til 09 oktober 17:00 UTC. (CalamityScore 37); cause of change not attributedseverity component 18.0 → 34.2population component 21.0 → 35.6
- AtoAindex 8 → 182d agoActivity score changed from 8 to 18Current dominant event: Kuling, Utsira Sør, 09 oktober 13:00 UTC til 09 oktober 17:00 UTC. (CalamityScore 37); cause of change not attributedseverity component 3.2 → 18.0population component 0.0 → 21.0
- AtoAindex 13 → 83d agoActivity score changed from 13 to 8Current dominant event: Snø, gult nivå, Fjelloverganger i deler av Troms og Finnmark, 2026-10-08T12:00:00+00:00, 2026-10-09T10:00:00+00:00 (CalamityScore 16); cause of change not attributedseverity component 10.6 → 3.2population component 10.5 → 0.0
- AtoAindex 20 → 13Yellow → Green3d agoOperational status changed from yellow to greenCurrent dominant event: Kuling, gult nivå, Åna-Sira - Obrestad, 2026-10-08T11:01:00+00:00, 2026-10-08T20:00:00+00:00 (CalamityScore 37); cause of change not attributedseverity component 21.2 → 10.6population component 21.0 → 10.5
- BtoAindex 21 → 203d agoCountry rating changed from B to A (score 21 → 20)Current dominant event: Kuling, gult nivå, Åna-Sira - Obrestad, 2026-10-08T11:01:00+00:00, 2026-10-08T20:00:00+00:00 (CalamityScore 37); cause of change not attributedseverity component 23.6 → 21.2population component 25.1 → 21.0
- AtoBindex 20 → 21Green → Yellow3d agoCountry rating changed from A to B (score 20 → 21)Operational status changed from green to yellowCurrent dominant event: Kuling, gult nivå, Åna-Sira - Slåtterøy, 2026-10-08T11:01:00+00:00, 2026-10-08T18:00:00+00:00 (CalamityScore 37); cause of change not attributedseverity component 20.4 → 23.6
- BtoAindex 26 → 203d agoCountry rating changed from B to A (score 26 → 20)Current dominant event: Kuling, gult nivå, Åna-Sira - Slåtterøy, 2026-10-08T11:01:00+00:00, 2026-10-08T18:00:00+00:00 (CalamityScore 37); cause of change not attributedpopulation component 53.0 → 25.1
- BtoBindex 27 → 26Yellow → Green3d agoOperational status changed from yellow to greenCurrent dominant event: Kuling, gult nivå, Åna-Sira - Karmøy, 2026-10-08T07:00:00+00:00, 2026-10-08T20:00:00+00:00 (CalamityScore 37); cause of change not attributedseverity component 23.6 → 20.4
- AtoBindex 19 → 27Green → Yellow3d agoCountry rating changed from A to B (score 19 → 27)Operational status changed from green to yellowCurrent dominant event: Kuling, gult nivå, Åna-Sira - Karmøy, 2026-10-08T07:00:00+00:00, 2026-10-08T20:00:00+00:00 (CalamityScore 37); cause of change not attributedseverity component 10.6 → 23.6population component 38.4 → 53.0
- BtoAindex 23 → 193d agoCountry rating changed from B to A (score 23 → 19)Current dominant event: Kuling, gult nivå, Svenskegrensa - Stavern, 2026-10-07T23:00:00+00:00, 2026-10-08T15:00:00+00:00 (CalamityScore 37); cause of change not attributedseverity component 17.0 → 10.6population component 44.5 → 38.4
- BtoBindex 24 → 23Yellow → Green4d agoOperational status changed from yellow to greenCurrent dominant event: Kuling, gult nivå, Svenskegrensa - Stavern, 2026-10-07T23:00:00+00:00, 2026-10-08T15:00:00+00:00 (CalamityScore 37); cause of change not attributedseverity component 20.2 → 17.0
- AtoBindex 13 → 24Green → Yellow4d agoCountry rating changed from A to B (score 13 → 24)Operational status changed from green to yellowCurrent dominant event: Kuling, gult nivå, Svenskegrensa - Stavern, 2026-10-07T23:00:00+00:00, 2026-10-08T15:00:00+00:00 (CalamityScore 37); cause of change not attributedseverity component 12.8 → 20.2population component 6.0 → 44.5
- AtoAindex 15 → 13Yellow → Green4d agoOperational status changed from yellow to greenCurrent dominant event: Kuling, gult nivå, Hekkingen - Loppa, 2026-10-07T17:45:00+00:00, 2026-10-08T06:00:00+00:00 (CalamityScore 32); cause of change not attributedseverity component 19.2 → 12.8population component 0.0 → 6.0
- AtoAindex 8 → 15Green → Yellow4d agoOperational status changed from green to yellowCurrent dominant event: Kuling, Nordkappbanken, 07 oktober 11:00 UTC til 07 oktober 22:00 UTC. (CalamityScore 16); cause of change not attributedseverity component 3.2 → 19.2
- AtoAindex 15 → 8Yellow → Green5d agoOperational status changed from yellow to greenCurrent dominant event: Kuling, gult nivå, Nordkapp - Grense Jakobselv, 2026-10-06T18:01:00+00:00, 2026-10-07T18:00:00+00:00 (CalamityScore 16); cause of change not attributedseverity component 19.2 → 3.2