Rating
Panama risk rating
Activity gradeAindex 5.0/100
Operational statusGreen
Last updated2m ago
Current assessment · Model activity-rating-2
Computed: 2026-10-12 13:59:51 UTC · Valid until: 2026-10-12 15:59:51 UTC
Coverage is selective. Missing or expired assessments do not mean zero hazard. Scores are heuristic indices, not calibrated probabilities. Model cards and limits
- state:
- partial
- missing Country:
- unassessed
- country Limit:
- 100
- forecast:
- assessed
- population Metric:
- urban event exposures not unique people
The rating is a composite index of reported activity; it does not measure structural vulnerability or coping capacity. It shares inputs with the Calamity Forecast Index. Neither index is a calibrated event probability. Model cards and formulas.
Rating components
Summed event intensity3.2/100
Scenario weight0.0/100
Cumulative urban PEI0.0/100
CFI activity proxy22.5/100
Recorded hazard contributions
Earthquake
Mean event index: 16/100 · Eligible records: 1
Rating history
- AtoAindex 14 → 5Yellow → Green3h agoOperational status changed from yellow to greenCurrent dominant event: M 5.0 Earthquake (CalamityScore 16); cause of change not attributedseverity component 22.2 → 3.2population component 0.9 → 0.0forecast component 30.0 → 22.5
Operational status changed from yellow to green. Current dominant event: M 5.0 Earthquake (CalamityScore 16); cause of change not attributed. severity component 22.2 → 3.2. population component 0.9 → 0.0. forecast component 30.0 → 22.5. Context: EVENT: M 5.0 Earthquake — PA Detected: 2026-10-11T01:50:52.350Z CalamityScore: 16/100 Severity: medium CONTEXT: Country: PA. Consult current official local emergency instructions. This automated index does not issue evacuation orders. No scenario matched the configured rules; this does not establish absence of risk.
- AtoAindex 8 → 14Green → Yellow7h agoOperational status changed from green to yellowCurrent dominant event: M 5.1 Earthquake (CalamityScore 24); cause of change not attributedseverity component 10.4 → 22.2population component 0.1 → 0.9forecast component 24.0 → 30.0
- AtoAindex 14 → 8Yellow → Green9h agoOperational status changed from yellow to greenCurrent dominant event: M 5.1 Earthquake (CalamityScore 20); cause of change not attributedseverity component 21.8 → 10.4population component 2.3 → 0.1forecast component 30.0 → 24.0
- AtoAindex 5 → 14Green → Yellow14h agoOperational status changed from green to yellowCurrent dominant event: M 6.1 Earthquake (CalamityScore 37); cause of change not attributedseverity component 3.4 → 21.8population component 0.0 → 2.3forecast component 24.0 → 30.0
- AtoAindex 11 → 5Yellow → Green1d agoOperational status changed from yellow to greenCurrent dominant event: M 5.1 Earthquake (CalamityScore 17); cause of change not attributedseverity component 16.2 → 3.4population component 2.4 → 0.0forecast component 25.5 → 24.0
- AtoAindex 20 → 112d agoActivity score changed from 20 to 11Current dominant event: M 6.0 Earthquake (CalamityScore 36); cause of change not attributedseverity component 36.8 → 16.2population component 6.7 → 2.4forecast component 26.3 → 25.5
- BtoAindex 27 → 202d agoCountry rating changed from B to A (score 27 → 20)Current dominant event: M 6.6 Earthquake (CalamityScore 41); cause of change not attributedseverity component 53.8 → 36.8population component 7.7 → 6.7forecast component 27.8 → 26.3
- CtoBindex 43 → 27Red → Yellow2d agoCountry rating changed from C to B (score 43 → 27)Operational status changed from red to yellowCurrent dominant event: M 6.6 Earthquake (CalamityScore 41); cause of change not attributedseverity component 71.8 → 53.8population component 49.4 → 7.7forecast component 28.5 → 27.8
- BtoCindex 39 → 432d agoCountry rating changed from B to C (score 39 → 43)Current dominant event: M 7.7 Earthquake (CalamityScore 59); cause of change not attributedseverity component 62.6 → 71.8population component 47.0 → 49.4forecast component 27.8 → 28.5
- CtoBindex 44 → 392d agoCountry rating changed from C to B (score 44 → 39)Current dominant event: M 7.7 Earthquake (CalamityScore 59); cause of change not attributedseverity component 70.8 → 62.6population component 57.7 → 47.0forecast component 28.5 → 27.8
- CtoCindex 41 → 44Orange → Red2d agoOperational status changed from orange to redCurrent dominant event: M 7.7 Earthquake (CalamityScore 59); cause of change not attributedseverity component 59.6 → 70.8forecast component 36.0 → 28.5
- BtoCindex 39 → 412d agoCountry rating changed from B to C (score 39 → 41)Current dominant event: M 7.7 Earthquake (CalamityScore 59); cause of change not attributedseverity component 56.0 → 59.6forecast component 34.5 → 36.0
- CtoBindex 42 → 392d agoCountry rating changed from C to B (score 42 → 39)Current dominant event: M 7.7 Earthquake (CalamityScore 59); cause of change not attributedseverity component 61.4 → 56.0population component 58.8 → 57.7forecast component 37.5 → 34.5
- BtoCindex 38 → 422d agoCountry rating changed from B to C (score 38 → 42)Current dominant event: M 7.7 Earthquake (CalamityScore 59); cause of change not attributedseverity component 53.0 → 61.4population component 57.4 → 58.8
- BtoBindex 27 → 382d agoActivity score changed from 27 to 38Current dominant event: M 7.7 Earthquake (CalamityScore 59); cause of change not attributedseverity component 32.2 → 53.0population component 43.2 → 57.4forecast component 34.5 → 37.5
- BtoBindex 22 → 272d agoActivity score changed from 22 to 27Current dominant event: M 7.7 Earthquake (CalamityScore 59); cause of change not attributedseverity component 23.8 → 32.2population component 42.4 → 43.2forecast component 30.0 → 34.5
- AtoBindex 16 → 222d agoCountry rating changed from A to B (score 16 → 22)Current dominant event: M 7.7 Earthquake (CalamityScore 59); cause of change not attributedseverity component 11.8 → 23.8population component 41.7 → 42.4forecast component 18.0 → 30.0
- BtoAindex 28 → 162d agoCountry rating changed from B to A (score 28 → 16)Current dominant event: M 7.7 Earthquake (CalamityScore 59); cause of change not attributedseverity component 14.0 → 11.8population component 100.0 → 41.7
- AtoBindex 3 → 28Green → Orange2d agoCountry rating changed from A to B (score 3 → 28)Operational status changed from green to orangeCurrent dominant event: M 8.0 Earthquake (CalamityScore 70); cause of change not attributedseverity component 1.8 → 14.0population component 0.0 → 100.0
- AtoAindex 12 → 15Green → Yellow205d agoOperational status changed from green to yellowMinor Wildfire (CalamityScore 18)